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Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics27541.html
Published: 16:29:15 - 28/09/2012
Despite ambiguous public statements and perhaps in the result of this
ambiguity, the political leadership of Armenia, realizing the
catastrophe of the foreign policy, has actually made it clear, first
of all, for itself, that it won't participate in the Minsk
Group-mediated negotiations.
The Americans and Europeans confirmed this too who are interested in
disorganization of the regional policy of Turkey and Russia, as well
as in the blockade of Turkey and Azerbaijan in the geopolitical sense,
hence strengthening control on them.
The Minsk Group is a disputable foreign political resource for Russia
which will re-direct its initiatives quite rapidly and make new
efforts to compensate the weakening of its foothold due to the
liquidation of the Minsk Group. The U.S. and France will make attempts
to review the political ideology of the Minsk Group setting new aims
and tasks. This means a flawed policy of `settlement' will be replaced
by the task of achieving controlled security from the point of view of
the interests of the Western community.
Russia will either have to enter into a tough fight on the `Karabakh
issue', which is hardly possible, or to adjust itself to the new
situation.
We should not rule out that the current political leadership of
Armenia has different opinions and positions on the continuation of
negotiations. But those whose actions determine the future of the
state understand that no matter how `complementary' and `friendly' the
foreign support on the declarative readiness of Armenia to continue
negotiations is, it is so artificial and clear that real negotiations
will end up in a catastrophe not only for the country but also the
team.
These positions and opinions can't be ignored for a long time. The
Armenian society, or rather the marionettes and hirelings, continue to
promote the Minsk Group backed by Russia. It is hard to have a more
harmful and destructive position. At the same time, the differences
and boundaries of interests of rival political groups and companies
are completely erased.
One must be pathologically limited and mentally defective to see in
the position of Azerbaijan on the criticism and dissatisfaction of the
Minsk Group a sign and a landmark for reflections and choice of
Armenia's positions. For Azerbaijan, the OSCE Minsk Group is the only
motivation for its behavior in internal and external aspects, to avoid
war and unquestioned military defeat, to support the existence of the
regime.
For Turkey, the Minsk Group is the justification of the lack of
signals to launch a war, the explanation of its behavior to
Azerbaijan, elimination of bigger troubles, and most importantly, an
attempt not to get involved into a deeper geopolitical blockade and
isolation. Now Baku understands the reality just like Ankara. Time and
opportunities were enough for this.
The Minsk Group is suitable for the cowardly and dependent mentality
of Azeris and their historical leadership. For Azerbaijan the Minsk
Group is not only a format of negotiations but also the only thing
`connecting' it with Karabakh.
There are signs that it is time to change radically not only
international policies on Karabakh but also to tackle the definition
of the international status of Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, as well as a
real settlement for Lowland Karabakh, which is practically impossible
under the current ideology of the Minsk Group.
If the format and ideology of the Minsk Group on the Karabakh issue
does not change, negotiations on the anti-Armenian principles of
Madrid will eventually lead to a war with even tough consequences for
Armenia.
Igor Muradyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/politics27541.html
Published: 16:29:15 - 28/09/2012
Despite ambiguous public statements and perhaps in the result of this
ambiguity, the political leadership of Armenia, realizing the
catastrophe of the foreign policy, has actually made it clear, first
of all, for itself, that it won't participate in the Minsk
Group-mediated negotiations.
The Americans and Europeans confirmed this too who are interested in
disorganization of the regional policy of Turkey and Russia, as well
as in the blockade of Turkey and Azerbaijan in the geopolitical sense,
hence strengthening control on them.
The Minsk Group is a disputable foreign political resource for Russia
which will re-direct its initiatives quite rapidly and make new
efforts to compensate the weakening of its foothold due to the
liquidation of the Minsk Group. The U.S. and France will make attempts
to review the political ideology of the Minsk Group setting new aims
and tasks. This means a flawed policy of `settlement' will be replaced
by the task of achieving controlled security from the point of view of
the interests of the Western community.
Russia will either have to enter into a tough fight on the `Karabakh
issue', which is hardly possible, or to adjust itself to the new
situation.
We should not rule out that the current political leadership of
Armenia has different opinions and positions on the continuation of
negotiations. But those whose actions determine the future of the
state understand that no matter how `complementary' and `friendly' the
foreign support on the declarative readiness of Armenia to continue
negotiations is, it is so artificial and clear that real negotiations
will end up in a catastrophe not only for the country but also the
team.
These positions and opinions can't be ignored for a long time. The
Armenian society, or rather the marionettes and hirelings, continue to
promote the Minsk Group backed by Russia. It is hard to have a more
harmful and destructive position. At the same time, the differences
and boundaries of interests of rival political groups and companies
are completely erased.
One must be pathologically limited and mentally defective to see in
the position of Azerbaijan on the criticism and dissatisfaction of the
Minsk Group a sign and a landmark for reflections and choice of
Armenia's positions. For Azerbaijan, the OSCE Minsk Group is the only
motivation for its behavior in internal and external aspects, to avoid
war and unquestioned military defeat, to support the existence of the
regime.
For Turkey, the Minsk Group is the justification of the lack of
signals to launch a war, the explanation of its behavior to
Azerbaijan, elimination of bigger troubles, and most importantly, an
attempt not to get involved into a deeper geopolitical blockade and
isolation. Now Baku understands the reality just like Ankara. Time and
opportunities were enough for this.
The Minsk Group is suitable for the cowardly and dependent mentality
of Azeris and their historical leadership. For Azerbaijan the Minsk
Group is not only a format of negotiations but also the only thing
`connecting' it with Karabakh.
There are signs that it is time to change radically not only
international policies on Karabakh but also to tackle the definition
of the international status of Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, as well as a
real settlement for Lowland Karabakh, which is practically impossible
under the current ideology of the Minsk Group.
If the format and ideology of the Minsk Group on the Karabakh issue
does not change, negotiations on the anti-Armenian principles of
Madrid will eventually lead to a war with even tough consequences for
Armenia.