There Can Be Revolution Even Tomorrow
Siranuysh Papyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview27548.html
Published: 14:44:57 - 29/09/2012
Interview with Saro Saroyan, ACNIS expert, historian
Saro, following the prosecutor's motion to strip Vartan Oskanian of
immunity and bring accusations against him Republican Vazgen Khachikyan was
arrested. What is happening, what is the scenario?
First of all, let's keep in mind that we are entering into the pre-election
stage which has a logic stemming from the Armenian political process. The
head of the village improves roads a month before elections, the
administration headed by the president is laying out its path. Following
the tradition, several months before the elections there is an illusion is
that there is political will to end impunity and unlawfulness. However,
since there is a lack of confidence, words and preachers are not enough.
Steps aimed at redirection of finance should be interpreted by the media as
struggle against corruption, Khachikyan should be arrested, other similar
actions should be carried out.
As to Oskanian, there seems to be an intention to use him as a Trojan horse
in the upcoming election. This is not a matter of political persecution,
but a fresh political balloon is being blown. Perhaps it will blast after
the elections when it will become known that the RPA-PAP scramble was
intended to distract the public, and Oskanian was just another persecuted
embodiment of the oppositional idol who has to accept Serzh Sargsyan's
victory to end his persecution.
What developments should be expected?
Everything is moving along the path drawn by the regime. It is facilitated
by the meaningless existence of the opposition, its flawed and toothless
behavior. There is not a common idea, the parties seem to have run out of
human resources, the famous opposition figures seem to have lost their face
and enjoy miserable confidence, they are unable to put forth new mechanisms
for struggle. The civic
initiatives seem to
be stagnant recently. The last significant step was the
march to the house of Ruben Hairapetyan, which allowed destroying Nemets
Rubo's charisma and finally ruining him.
However, the thesis that involvement of party
membersin
independent civic initiatives would give them an impetus and lead to
essential changes did not come true because the party members lack the will
to give up their previous useless style of action. For them, the
culmination of any action is a march or a rally with minimum risk to their
own personality, they think so.
In this context, the regime's reproduction helps forecast developments. If
Serzh Sargsyan keeps moving at this rate, his election will be triumphant,
and there is no hope that the opposition will achieve a run-off election.
So what should be done? The answer to the question is the civic
initiatives. They
are able to turn the situation and topple the criminal and oligarchic
pyramid if new and topical ideas are put forth and mechanisms presupposing
self-denial are used.
Saro, what alternatives can the civil society propose?
It is impossible to unite the oppositional electorate to say no to the
regime or to achieve the victory of their own candidate when the entire
electoral process is organized and controlled by the ruling regime which
has no intention give up power and will hold on to it through force,
criminal ways. The elections turn the civil society into a stage of
struggle where the issue of
removalof the
regime is solved, not the victory of the opposition candidate. It
depends who the participants are, what goals they follow, what ideas they
put forth, what mechanisms they use, their will, determination,
self-denial, other characteristics. Today only the civic initiatives have
such experience who can be united by the idea not by a personality.
Does it mean to wait for another 4-5 years?
You apparently mean the parliamentary or presidential elections. The change
of government is usually linked to elections. However, I believe that the
only way of establishment of Constitutional order is the revolution which
is not time bound. I even believe that the society can write an obituary
for the criminal and oligarchic pyramid as soon as several dozens of
ideological young people with strong will are found who will use the
experience of toppling regimes through civil disobedience.
Then the next elections will legally ratify the revolutionary political
process. We will manage even by tomorrow if we find some thirty figures who
will act skillfully. Running ahead of your next question, I will say that
that most oppositionist figures almost do not differ from sleek and cynical
peddlers.
The real actors are the young people who were arrested in Mashtots Park
thanks to whom a lot of children can continue to play in this park. I tend
to think that those ANC youths whom the regime is trying to silence are
also actors. They will take the test of time. The change of government -
the political pensioners soaked in the soviet political culture - depends
on these young people.
Siranuysh Papyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/interview27548.html
Published: 14:44:57 - 29/09/2012
Interview with Saro Saroyan, ACNIS expert, historian
Saro, following the prosecutor's motion to strip Vartan Oskanian of
immunity and bring accusations against him Republican Vazgen Khachikyan was
arrested. What is happening, what is the scenario?
First of all, let's keep in mind that we are entering into the pre-election
stage which has a logic stemming from the Armenian political process. The
head of the village improves roads a month before elections, the
administration headed by the president is laying out its path. Following
the tradition, several months before the elections there is an illusion is
that there is political will to end impunity and unlawfulness. However,
since there is a lack of confidence, words and preachers are not enough.
Steps aimed at redirection of finance should be interpreted by the media as
struggle against corruption, Khachikyan should be arrested, other similar
actions should be carried out.
As to Oskanian, there seems to be an intention to use him as a Trojan horse
in the upcoming election. This is not a matter of political persecution,
but a fresh political balloon is being blown. Perhaps it will blast after
the elections when it will become known that the RPA-PAP scramble was
intended to distract the public, and Oskanian was just another persecuted
embodiment of the oppositional idol who has to accept Serzh Sargsyan's
victory to end his persecution.
What developments should be expected?
Everything is moving along the path drawn by the regime. It is facilitated
by the meaningless existence of the opposition, its flawed and toothless
behavior. There is not a common idea, the parties seem to have run out of
human resources, the famous opposition figures seem to have lost their face
and enjoy miserable confidence, they are unable to put forth new mechanisms
for struggle. The civic
initiatives seem to
be stagnant recently. The last significant step was the
march to the house of Ruben Hairapetyan, which allowed destroying Nemets
Rubo's charisma and finally ruining him.
However, the thesis that involvement of party
membersin
independent civic initiatives would give them an impetus and lead to
essential changes did not come true because the party members lack the will
to give up their previous useless style of action. For them, the
culmination of any action is a march or a rally with minimum risk to their
own personality, they think so.
In this context, the regime's reproduction helps forecast developments. If
Serzh Sargsyan keeps moving at this rate, his election will be triumphant,
and there is no hope that the opposition will achieve a run-off election.
So what should be done? The answer to the question is the civic
initiatives. They
are able to turn the situation and topple the criminal and oligarchic
pyramid if new and topical ideas are put forth and mechanisms presupposing
self-denial are used.
Saro, what alternatives can the civil society propose?
It is impossible to unite the oppositional electorate to say no to the
regime or to achieve the victory of their own candidate when the entire
electoral process is organized and controlled by the ruling regime which
has no intention give up power and will hold on to it through force,
criminal ways. The elections turn the civil society into a stage of
struggle where the issue of
removalof the
regime is solved, not the victory of the opposition candidate. It
depends who the participants are, what goals they follow, what ideas they
put forth, what mechanisms they use, their will, determination,
self-denial, other characteristics. Today only the civic initiatives have
such experience who can be united by the idea not by a personality.
Does it mean to wait for another 4-5 years?
You apparently mean the parliamentary or presidential elections. The change
of government is usually linked to elections. However, I believe that the
only way of establishment of Constitutional order is the revolution which
is not time bound. I even believe that the society can write an obituary
for the criminal and oligarchic pyramid as soon as several dozens of
ideological young people with strong will are found who will use the
experience of toppling regimes through civil disobedience.
Then the next elections will legally ratify the revolutionary political
process. We will manage even by tomorrow if we find some thirty figures who
will act skillfully. Running ahead of your next question, I will say that
that most oppositionist figures almost do not differ from sleek and cynical
peddlers.
The real actors are the young people who were arrested in Mashtots Park
thanks to whom a lot of children can continue to play in this park. I tend
to think that those ANC youths whom the regime is trying to silence are
also actors. They will take the test of time. The change of government -
the political pensioners soaked in the soviet political culture - depends
on these young people.