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TENSION ON BORDER AND INAUGURATION ON APRIL 9
The significant mobilization of Azerbaijani troops on the border
with Armenia, according to military psychologist David Jamalyan,
is determined by their wish to cause escalation on the eve of
Serzh Sargsyan's inauguration. He says since Serzh Sargsyan is a
pro-Armenian figure who has a more categorical view on the Karabakh
issue, Azerbaijan would like him to weaken so that people are afraid
of sending their sons to the line of contact accusing Serzh Sargsyan
of lack of security.
Last week, representatives of the ministry of defense stated several
times about growing deployment of Azerbaijani troops on the border
and warned about possible attacks. This information caused doubts in
lots of Armenian experts that on April 9, while the opposition will
be holding its inauguration, the Karabakh card will be played.
This card has been played very often in the Armenian political life.
At the tensest times for the government, the situation at the border
escalated, and opponents were immediately accused of splitting national
unity, threatening national security. There have been subversive
acts which killed dozens of innocent youths. As a result, opponents
announced they did not intend to act against national security as
no one could tell for sure whether it was an artificial tension or
Azerbaijan was preparing another provocation.
It is not known whether current tension on the border will be another
platform for national unity. We wish everything ends without victims
and destruction.
Nevertheless, certain underwater processes are happening in the
Karabakh conflict. The Minsk Group co-chairs who visited Armenia and
Artsakh last week said that they had some new ideas. Today they will
discuss them in Baku. Then they will go to Artsakh and will probably
issue a relevant statement there.
It is unlikely that these ideas contain a final settlement of the
conflict, not least because elections in Azerbaijan are due in autumn.
But some proposals for open communications and participation in common
regional projects are likely. In any case, the Azerbaijani foreign
minister hinted that Armenia join Baku, Ankara and Tbilisi project. Of
course, if "they withdraw from the occupied territories." Here is
another bluff as Armenia will never agree to such conditions.
Interestingly, AzeriDefence.com reported that Russia and Azerbaijan
have suspended negotiations over weapon supply. It is noted that
Azerbaijan refused buying new rescue helicopters, T-90S tanks and
armored vehicles BMP T, air missiles and other. So, it is not ruled
out that Russia is also interested in boosting tension on the border
between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
Naira Hayrumyan 17:56 02/04/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/politics/view/29491
The significant mobilization of Azerbaijani troops on the border
with Armenia, according to military psychologist David Jamalyan,
is determined by their wish to cause escalation on the eve of
Serzh Sargsyan's inauguration. He says since Serzh Sargsyan is a
pro-Armenian figure who has a more categorical view on the Karabakh
issue, Azerbaijan would like him to weaken so that people are afraid
of sending their sons to the line of contact accusing Serzh Sargsyan
of lack of security.
Last week, representatives of the ministry of defense stated several
times about growing deployment of Azerbaijani troops on the border
and warned about possible attacks. This information caused doubts in
lots of Armenian experts that on April 9, while the opposition will
be holding its inauguration, the Karabakh card will be played.
This card has been played very often in the Armenian political life.
At the tensest times for the government, the situation at the border
escalated, and opponents were immediately accused of splitting national
unity, threatening national security. There have been subversive
acts which killed dozens of innocent youths. As a result, opponents
announced they did not intend to act against national security as
no one could tell for sure whether it was an artificial tension or
Azerbaijan was preparing another provocation.
It is not known whether current tension on the border will be another
platform for national unity. We wish everything ends without victims
and destruction.
Nevertheless, certain underwater processes are happening in the
Karabakh conflict. The Minsk Group co-chairs who visited Armenia and
Artsakh last week said that they had some new ideas. Today they will
discuss them in Baku. Then they will go to Artsakh and will probably
issue a relevant statement there.
It is unlikely that these ideas contain a final settlement of the
conflict, not least because elections in Azerbaijan are due in autumn.
But some proposals for open communications and participation in common
regional projects are likely. In any case, the Azerbaijani foreign
minister hinted that Armenia join Baku, Ankara and Tbilisi project. Of
course, if "they withdraw from the occupied territories." Here is
another bluff as Armenia will never agree to such conditions.
Interestingly, AzeriDefence.com reported that Russia and Azerbaijan
have suspended negotiations over weapon supply. It is noted that
Azerbaijan refused buying new rescue helicopters, T-90S tanks and
armored vehicles BMP T, air missiles and other. So, it is not ruled
out that Russia is also interested in boosting tension on the border
between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
Naira Hayrumyan 17:56 02/04/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/politics/view/29491