RUSSIA IS DISMANTLING CIS
Moscow's efforts to keep the post-Soviet states in its orbit look
such only at first sight. In reality, they are planned steps aimed
at the collapse of the CIS and final break-up of post-Soviet states
with Russia.
"Punitive" methods applied to Ukraine, particularly the recent decision
of the Russian customs service to stop exports from Ukraine entailed
even more determination in Kiev to end its dependence on Moscow as
soon as possible.
Sale of Smerch missiles to Azerbaijan, presumably a "punitive" measure
for Armenia, eventually shattered the belief of Armenians in the
"strategic partnership with Russia".
Other methods of repealing are applied to Central Asian states. In
particular, the recent migration initiatives of Russia, setup of
humiliating ghettos for Central Asian migrant workers caused outrage
even in countries which are usually loyal to Russia. "If Russia
sincerely treats us as humans, why is it hiding from us our first
president who encroached on the wealth of the state? Why does it allow
calls like "Russia for the Russians", while our compatriots have to
huddle together on 12 square meters in groups of 20?" a Kirgizia-based
newspaper writes.
CIS is absolutely unviable. There are neither economic, nor political
relations between some of its members, such as Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Ukraine has not signed the charter of CIS, neither did Turkmenistan.
It is notable that Georgia's leaving of the CIS in 2009 did not harm
the union because the union exists in papers only.
CSTO was set up to ensure security in the CIS but half of the CIS
members did not join CSTO, which means that the CIS does not have a
unified system of security. Moreover, some CIS members are in a state
of conflict.
In the Kremlin they understand the situation therefore they have
initiated new unions, first the Customs Union, then the Eurasian
Union. These unions, if established, will deprive the CIS of a meaning,
and now even in Moscow they are waiting any of the post-Soviet states
to leave the CIS. At least, Moscow will do everything to facilitate
that.
In the result of the collapse of the CIS a new group of countries will
escape Russian influence. If after the collapse of the USSR only the
Baltic States were able to break up with Russia, after the collapse
of the CIS only some Central Asian states and Belarus will stick to
Moscow. Perhaps, Putin was trying to keep Azerbaijan but this attempt
will hardly succeed.
CSTO looks more viable than the CIS. Although after signing of the
Association Agreement with the EU the four post-Soviet states -
Armenia, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine - will need to review their
membership to certain unions.
Naira Hayrumyan 15:12 16/08/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/politics/view/30713
Moscow's efforts to keep the post-Soviet states in its orbit look
such only at first sight. In reality, they are planned steps aimed
at the collapse of the CIS and final break-up of post-Soviet states
with Russia.
"Punitive" methods applied to Ukraine, particularly the recent decision
of the Russian customs service to stop exports from Ukraine entailed
even more determination in Kiev to end its dependence on Moscow as
soon as possible.
Sale of Smerch missiles to Azerbaijan, presumably a "punitive" measure
for Armenia, eventually shattered the belief of Armenians in the
"strategic partnership with Russia".
Other methods of repealing are applied to Central Asian states. In
particular, the recent migration initiatives of Russia, setup of
humiliating ghettos for Central Asian migrant workers caused outrage
even in countries which are usually loyal to Russia. "If Russia
sincerely treats us as humans, why is it hiding from us our first
president who encroached on the wealth of the state? Why does it allow
calls like "Russia for the Russians", while our compatriots have to
huddle together on 12 square meters in groups of 20?" a Kirgizia-based
newspaper writes.
CIS is absolutely unviable. There are neither economic, nor political
relations between some of its members, such as Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Ukraine has not signed the charter of CIS, neither did Turkmenistan.
It is notable that Georgia's leaving of the CIS in 2009 did not harm
the union because the union exists in papers only.
CSTO was set up to ensure security in the CIS but half of the CIS
members did not join CSTO, which means that the CIS does not have a
unified system of security. Moreover, some CIS members are in a state
of conflict.
In the Kremlin they understand the situation therefore they have
initiated new unions, first the Customs Union, then the Eurasian
Union. These unions, if established, will deprive the CIS of a meaning,
and now even in Moscow they are waiting any of the post-Soviet states
to leave the CIS. At least, Moscow will do everything to facilitate
that.
In the result of the collapse of the CIS a new group of countries will
escape Russian influence. If after the collapse of the USSR only the
Baltic States were able to break up with Russia, after the collapse
of the CIS only some Central Asian states and Belarus will stick to
Moscow. Perhaps, Putin was trying to keep Azerbaijan but this attempt
will hardly succeed.
CSTO looks more viable than the CIS. Although after signing of the
Association Agreement with the EU the four post-Soviet states -
Armenia, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine - will need to review their
membership to certain unions.
Naira Hayrumyan 15:12 16/08/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/politics/view/30713