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DAVIT HARUTIUNYAN'S SENSATION
Davit Harutiunyan, chairman of the Standing Committee of State and
Legal Affairs, stated that a few months later a referendum on changes
to the Constitution may be held which will set down transition to
parliamentary governance. He did not rule out that in 2017 Serzh
Sargsyan may run in the parliamentary election on the Republican list
and aspire to the post of prime minister.
A few days ago there was a leakage which did not make a stir though.
And perhaps therefore the decision to state it officially was made. It
did not make a stir either and merely confirmed earlier forecasts.
Why isn't this decision a sensation? Perhaps because there are no
political forces in Armenia that would wish to oppose such a decision.
On the eve of the 2012-2013 national elections almost all the political
forces supported the proposal to adopt parliamentary governance. And
now hardly anyone will oppose.
There may hardly be any obstacles to amendments, of course, unless
the public boycotts the referendum like the previous referendums and
the decisions made by the government. There may occur "hindrances"
to the next parliamentary election which may become competitive.
However, while the constitutional changes are being discussed,
Serzh Sargsyan will be able to resolve some issues. Besides finding
himself a job he will find a way of bringing the political parties
into a single format where it will be possible to discuss not only
parliamentary governance but also the priorities of foreign policy.
Besides, he will temporize and create premises for signing the
Association Agreement while experts do not rule out a coup to prevent
the signing.
Certainly, it is possible that in 2017 Serzh Sargsyan will lose the
election, and the next prime minister might be the one who will
publish from the prison cell a video of humiliating treatment of
prisoners by the police ten days before the voting. However, Serzh
Sargsyan will win anyway because he will have in his background the
initialed Association Agreement and separation from Russia and the
100th anniversary of the Genocide and many other things which will
ensure his place in history. If not, he will not be able to top the
Republican list.
In this regard, a consensus should be expected in autumn. Raffi
Hovannisian may agree to lead the Constitutional commission (he had
received an offer), Gagik Tsarukyan who awarded Taron Margaryan with
a cup with Serzh Sargsyan may form a coalition government while others
may have to refuse to join the commission and become marginal or join
the process.
Naira Hayrumyan 20:11 28/08/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30750
Davit Harutiunyan, chairman of the Standing Committee of State and
Legal Affairs, stated that a few months later a referendum on changes
to the Constitution may be held which will set down transition to
parliamentary governance. He did not rule out that in 2017 Serzh
Sargsyan may run in the parliamentary election on the Republican list
and aspire to the post of prime minister.
A few days ago there was a leakage which did not make a stir though.
And perhaps therefore the decision to state it officially was made. It
did not make a stir either and merely confirmed earlier forecasts.
Why isn't this decision a sensation? Perhaps because there are no
political forces in Armenia that would wish to oppose such a decision.
On the eve of the 2012-2013 national elections almost all the political
forces supported the proposal to adopt parliamentary governance. And
now hardly anyone will oppose.
There may hardly be any obstacles to amendments, of course, unless
the public boycotts the referendum like the previous referendums and
the decisions made by the government. There may occur "hindrances"
to the next parliamentary election which may become competitive.
However, while the constitutional changes are being discussed,
Serzh Sargsyan will be able to resolve some issues. Besides finding
himself a job he will find a way of bringing the political parties
into a single format where it will be possible to discuss not only
parliamentary governance but also the priorities of foreign policy.
Besides, he will temporize and create premises for signing the
Association Agreement while experts do not rule out a coup to prevent
the signing.
Certainly, it is possible that in 2017 Serzh Sargsyan will lose the
election, and the next prime minister might be the one who will
publish from the prison cell a video of humiliating treatment of
prisoners by the police ten days before the voting. However, Serzh
Sargsyan will win anyway because he will have in his background the
initialed Association Agreement and separation from Russia and the
100th anniversary of the Genocide and many other things which will
ensure his place in history. If not, he will not be able to top the
Republican list.
In this regard, a consensus should be expected in autumn. Raffi
Hovannisian may agree to lead the Constitutional commission (he had
received an offer), Gagik Tsarukyan who awarded Taron Margaryan with
a cup with Serzh Sargsyan may form a coalition government while others
may have to refuse to join the commission and become marginal or join
the process.
Naira Hayrumyan 20:11 28/08/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30750