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Davutoglu and Mammedyarov Are Coming To Take Territories From
On December 12 the foreign minister of Turkey Ahmed Davutoglu will
visit Yerevan. The Azerbaijan foreign minister Mammedyarov may also
arrive. At least, it has been stated that all the BSEC member states
will attend the session.
The two ministers visit Armenia in a period of tug of war in both
Armenian-Turkish normalization and the Karabakh movement. Both the
West and Russia are trying to use the Armenian issues to achieve their
goals.
The West wants to restore communication between Armenia and Turkey and
Iran without changing the status quo in Karabakh because communication
between Armenia and Azerbaijan does not interest the West. In this
case the role of Armenia of a geopolitical restraint plays a role.
Russia is trying to open communication with Azerbaijan to have access
to Iran and Turkey via Armenia. On the other hand, Russia keeps
Armenia's borders under control and they will try to open the borders
`under its own conditions', preventing diversification of the economy
and communication channels of Armenia.
Turkey is trying to play on these two trends and achieve its goals:
grab several regions from Karabakh and reduce the pressure of the West
that may increase in 2015. Therefore, Turkey needs to boost Russia's
pressure on Armenia, which is possible if Azerbaijan agrees to open
the border in return for several territories of Karabakh.
Although sovereignty and the craving for transferring to Russia all of
Russia's the strategic assets, Armenia remains a geopolitical factor
and may play its own game. And for this reason one need not run from
one master to another but to protect one's own interests.
Armenia's interests are clear: restoring relations with neighbors
without preconditions, maintain the status quo in Karabakh and toughen
claims to Turkey.
The visit of Davutoglu and Mammedyarov to Yerevan has created a `good
will' atmosphere in return for which they will demand `gifts' from
Armenia. However, the answer to a visit could be another visit rather
than `difficult decisions' and deployment of troops. The Armenian
society should display it to Turkey, as it displayed to Russia on
December 2.
Naira Hayrumyan
16:26 07/12/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31492
On December 12 the foreign minister of Turkey Ahmed Davutoglu will
visit Yerevan. The Azerbaijan foreign minister Mammedyarov may also
arrive. At least, it has been stated that all the BSEC member states
will attend the session.
The two ministers visit Armenia in a period of tug of war in both
Armenian-Turkish normalization and the Karabakh movement. Both the
West and Russia are trying to use the Armenian issues to achieve their
goals.
The West wants to restore communication between Armenia and Turkey and
Iran without changing the status quo in Karabakh because communication
between Armenia and Azerbaijan does not interest the West. In this
case the role of Armenia of a geopolitical restraint plays a role.
Russia is trying to open communication with Azerbaijan to have access
to Iran and Turkey via Armenia. On the other hand, Russia keeps
Armenia's borders under control and they will try to open the borders
`under its own conditions', preventing diversification of the economy
and communication channels of Armenia.
Turkey is trying to play on these two trends and achieve its goals:
grab several regions from Karabakh and reduce the pressure of the West
that may increase in 2015. Therefore, Turkey needs to boost Russia's
pressure on Armenia, which is possible if Azerbaijan agrees to open
the border in return for several territories of Karabakh.
Although sovereignty and the craving for transferring to Russia all of
Russia's the strategic assets, Armenia remains a geopolitical factor
and may play its own game. And for this reason one need not run from
one master to another but to protect one's own interests.
Armenia's interests are clear: restoring relations with neighbors
without preconditions, maintain the status quo in Karabakh and toughen
claims to Turkey.
The visit of Davutoglu and Mammedyarov to Yerevan has created a `good
will' atmosphere in return for which they will demand `gifts' from
Armenia. However, the answer to a visit could be another visit rather
than `difficult decisions' and deployment of troops. The Armenian
society should display it to Turkey, as it displayed to Russia on
December 2.
Naira Hayrumyan
16:26 07/12/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31492