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ANKARA:Davutoglu's Yerevan Visit

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  • ANKARA:Davutoglu's Yerevan Visit

    DAVUTOGLU'S YEREVAN VISIT

    Hurriyet Daily News, Turkey
    Dec 10 2013

    SEMİH İDİZ

    Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu's visit to Yerevan on Thursday for
    a meeting of the Organization for Black Sea Economic Cooperation has
    stirred quite a debate in Armenia, judging by Vercihan Ziflioglu's
    article in Monday's Hurriyet Daily News.

    Many in that country say this visit is part of Turkey's "2015
    maneuvers."

    The reference is to the anniversary of the 1915 events, which
    Armenians and many in the West and elsewhere consider to be the year
    when Armenians suffered genocide at the hands of Ottoman Turks. Turks
    deny this saying they suffered as much during World War One, the
    difference being that they ultimately came out victorious in Anatolia.

    The belief among hardline Armenians is that 2015 is going to be the
    watershed year when Turkey is finally put in the dock and made to
    atone for systematically denying the genocide. Those who believe this
    say that anything Turkey does today that may appear positive vis-a-vis
    Turkish-Armenian ties is merely a ploy to ensure that Armenian plans
    for 2015 fail.

    Born in the 1950s my generation has lived with the "Armenian problem"
    since an old Armenian gunned down the Turkish consul and his young
    deputy in Los Angeles in 1973. We knew nothing about what happened
    in 1915 before that. The killing of the Turkish diplomats in 1973,
    however, changed all that.

    It also marked the start of a campaign of terrorism by Armenians that
    left a large number of Turkish diplomats or members of their families
    dead. Seeing Armenians hammering their point home with bullets also
    killed off any chance of empathy among Turks for Armenian suffering
    in the past, making "the blood feud of the century," as one Turkish
    historian has called it, even more intractable.

    Many Turks continue to see that campaign of terror as confirmation
    that whatever Armenians may have suffered in the past, this did not
    transpire in a vacuum. Some even see divine retribution in the fact
    that Turks ultimately came out victorious in Anatolia against all odds,
    the country having ended World War One on its knees.

    Nearly a century later Turks and Armenians remain locked in a zero-sum
    game. For one side to win the other must lose. In the meantime, all
    international efforts to force Turkey into the corner on this score
    have also failed, notwithstanding the diplomatic headaches these have
    caused for Ankara.

    Turkey withstood these pressures in the 1980s and 1990s mainly
    due to its strategic placing during the Cold War, which it used as
    counter-pressure against countries that were coming down on it over
    the Armenian issue. The Cold War is over but Turkey's importance for
    the West has not diminished.

    Landlocked and resource-poor Armenia, on the other hand, has generated
    little strategic and economic value since gaining independence from
    the Soviet Union. Armenia's war with oil-rich Azerbaijan, whose
    regional clout continues to grow, has not helped. This problem is
    preventing the activation of the Zurich Protocols signed between
    Ankara and Yerevan in 2009, although this is not the only reason why
    these protocols remain dead letters.

    Armenians are a proud people, no less so than the Turks, and will
    refuse to bow to pressures that leave them looking as if they have
    caved into Turkey. There has to be a way to break this cycle if these
    two nations are to be reconciled, if indeed they want to be.

    One hopes (against hope unfortunately) that Davutoglu's visit will
    produce some positive results on the bilateral level. Judging by what
    some in that country are saying, however, and the continuing cultural
    animosity among Turks towards Armenians, which has increased due to
    the Karabakh issue, it is hard to be optimistic.

    It seems 2015 will have to pass before anything new can even be
    considered between these two estranged nations, even if daily contacts
    between ordinary Turks and Armenians are increasing, and a growing
    number of Turks are coming around to realizing that genocidal events
    did occur in 1915.

    December/10/2013

    http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/davutoglus-yerevan-visit.aspx?pageID=449&nID=59290&NewsCatID=416

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