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Armenia Thwarted 100th Anniversary
The Turkish foreign minister Davutoglu has announced that the
deportation of 1915 was wrong, noting at the same time that the
Armenian-Turkish relations do not have a past like that of the
German-Jewish relations. On the one hand, Turkey speaks about just
memory, on the other hand, it administers an obvious injustice of
memory. How come that the Armenian-Turkish relations do not have a
past like that of the German-Jewish relations?
The past of the German-Jewish relations is the genocide of the Jews,
the Holocaust. It underlies the German-Jewish relations of the past
few decades. Germany has recognized the genocide of the Jews and has
recently paid out the contribution to Israel.
By saying that deportations of 1915 were wrong Davutoglu denied the
genocide of Armenians in Ottoman Turkey. Or maybe the Turkish foreign
minister thinks it was wrong to deport, it was necessary to kill them
altogether; later there would be no Armenian Diaspora, and the
Diaspora would not have caused problems for the republic of Turkey.
Perhaps therefore Davutoglu is dissatisfied with deportation.
Despite the economic and cultural progress of the Turkish republic,
Turkey's flexibility and wiliness in diplomacy are mythical because
they are overly predictable. Turkey is always wily in the same way.
The purpose of Davutoglu's `just memory' is crisp and clear. Ankara
has launched a policy that intends to involve the Armenian government
in any negotiation framework ahead of 2015 or at least touch the world
and show how Turkey bothers itself to improve the relations with
Armenians and that there is no need to spoil everything by unnecessary
claims on the Armenian issue.
At this point Ankara needs Moscow's support. Moscow may use its
influence on the Armenian government to push Yerevan to meet with
Ankara at least. Turkey does not need much, only meetings that bring
nothing. Moscow can ensure that. In return for this Ankara may agree
to the idea of deployment of Russian peacekeepers in Artsakh. Ankara
may offer Russia its influence on Baku. This influence is not equal to
Russia's influence on Yerevan but it should be given a try.
Ankara hopes, of course, that this option will not come true. Turkey
needs to start a process that will last till May 2015. Over this
period Ankara also hopes to start another process, Western
counteraction to the plan of Russian peacekeepers. Ankara is obviously
waiting for the West to try to agree with Ankara to make sure it will
not support the Russian plan. In other words, Turkey expects to start
two parallel processes to rid of the `jubilee' pressure of the
Armenian issue and, on the other hand, boost tensions between Russia
and the West to benefit from them.
The West, namely the United States is down another road. It is trying
to involve Iran in the game and Europe keeps up with the United
States. Recently the European Parliament has decided to send a
delegation to Tehran to start negotiations. On the other hand, the
West could not discard the idea of reaching an agreement with Ankara.
Simply by involving Iran in the game the West expects that Ankara will
be more interested in reaching an agreement than the West.
Armenia is the middle link. Possibilities are big but there is no
sovereignty. Yerevan has to give up on its `jubilee' claims,
transforming this process from a political one to a purely cultural
one. In political terms, this process, a popular one a few months ago,
is now something unnecessary and disturbing because Armenia that was
going to hold the lead position has chosen Russia to be its leader.
Therefore, Turkey resorts to the old, beaten wile revealed one
thousand times, knowing very well that though everyone knows it is
clear hypocrisy it will be worn but will work this time thanks to
Armenia's inadequacy.
Hakob Badalyan
22:15 13/12/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31548
From: Baghdasarian
The Turkish foreign minister Davutoglu has announced that the
deportation of 1915 was wrong, noting at the same time that the
Armenian-Turkish relations do not have a past like that of the
German-Jewish relations. On the one hand, Turkey speaks about just
memory, on the other hand, it administers an obvious injustice of
memory. How come that the Armenian-Turkish relations do not have a
past like that of the German-Jewish relations?
The past of the German-Jewish relations is the genocide of the Jews,
the Holocaust. It underlies the German-Jewish relations of the past
few decades. Germany has recognized the genocide of the Jews and has
recently paid out the contribution to Israel.
By saying that deportations of 1915 were wrong Davutoglu denied the
genocide of Armenians in Ottoman Turkey. Or maybe the Turkish foreign
minister thinks it was wrong to deport, it was necessary to kill them
altogether; later there would be no Armenian Diaspora, and the
Diaspora would not have caused problems for the republic of Turkey.
Perhaps therefore Davutoglu is dissatisfied with deportation.
Despite the economic and cultural progress of the Turkish republic,
Turkey's flexibility and wiliness in diplomacy are mythical because
they are overly predictable. Turkey is always wily in the same way.
The purpose of Davutoglu's `just memory' is crisp and clear. Ankara
has launched a policy that intends to involve the Armenian government
in any negotiation framework ahead of 2015 or at least touch the world
and show how Turkey bothers itself to improve the relations with
Armenians and that there is no need to spoil everything by unnecessary
claims on the Armenian issue.
At this point Ankara needs Moscow's support. Moscow may use its
influence on the Armenian government to push Yerevan to meet with
Ankara at least. Turkey does not need much, only meetings that bring
nothing. Moscow can ensure that. In return for this Ankara may agree
to the idea of deployment of Russian peacekeepers in Artsakh. Ankara
may offer Russia its influence on Baku. This influence is not equal to
Russia's influence on Yerevan but it should be given a try.
Ankara hopes, of course, that this option will not come true. Turkey
needs to start a process that will last till May 2015. Over this
period Ankara also hopes to start another process, Western
counteraction to the plan of Russian peacekeepers. Ankara is obviously
waiting for the West to try to agree with Ankara to make sure it will
not support the Russian plan. In other words, Turkey expects to start
two parallel processes to rid of the `jubilee' pressure of the
Armenian issue and, on the other hand, boost tensions between Russia
and the West to benefit from them.
The West, namely the United States is down another road. It is trying
to involve Iran in the game and Europe keeps up with the United
States. Recently the European Parliament has decided to send a
delegation to Tehran to start negotiations. On the other hand, the
West could not discard the idea of reaching an agreement with Ankara.
Simply by involving Iran in the game the West expects that Ankara will
be more interested in reaching an agreement than the West.
Armenia is the middle link. Possibilities are big but there is no
sovereignty. Yerevan has to give up on its `jubilee' claims,
transforming this process from a political one to a purely cultural
one. In political terms, this process, a popular one a few months ago,
is now something unnecessary and disturbing because Armenia that was
going to hold the lead position has chosen Russia to be its leader.
Therefore, Turkey resorts to the old, beaten wile revealed one
thousand times, knowing very well that though everyone knows it is
clear hypocrisy it will be worn but will work this time thanks to
Armenia's inadequacy.
Hakob Badalyan
22:15 13/12/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31548
From: Baghdasarian