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Final Decision Has Been Made

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  • Final Decision Has Been Made

    FINAL DECISION HAS BEEN MADE

    Second Round of Blockade

    No matter how good the quality of political analysis is, realistic
    information is irreplaceable and is always valuable. One way or
    another, our friends of Europe answer complicated and delicate
    questions the answers to which are usually more multifold than to the
    problems that are in the focus of global events. One has to admit that
    "September 3" is so strange that it would be wrong to ignore such a
    category as "insult". It is hard not to take into account these moods
    that are not easy to veil but apparently will have to be veiled in the
    framework of a more or less general review of the factor of "insult"
    to Armenia as an essential factor.

    However, "insult" in this case looks quite politicized, which means
    that Serzh Sargsyan and his team are no longer partners of Europe
    and the United States, and the Armenian president merely ensures
    appearance of wellbeing in foreign policy. The Europeans have already
    managed to react to this act of the Armenian president through the
    decision of the European court on the denial of the genocide which
    was a shock for the Armenian community in Europe.

    Funding of reform programs affirmed earlier cannot indicate anything
    regarding the policy of the European Union. These are trifles. There
    are more significant circumstances. At least, two divisions of the
    EU's external service have conveyed to the European Commission their
    visions on Armenia. It is believed that there can be no proposals
    on behalf of Armenia because the Armenian government is not capable
    of any behavior that requires minimum sovereignty. On the eve of
    "September 3" the EU officials got in touch with the representatives
    of Armenia and they relayed to their leadership reassuring messages
    so their professional situation is now quite complicated.

    Our friends of Europe could not disagree that the documents and
    opinions of the European Commission were highly detached from
    the policy and positions of the leading European states, in the
    result of which the European Union was not ready to cope with these
    developments. Among the existing controversies the countries of Europe
    were skeptical about expansion of association with the countries of
    Eastern Europe.

    This is a studied and apprehensible issue but it need not be
    overestimated. The European Union has officially approved this policy
    and was ready to develop these relations consistently, as well as
    finance different projects. In such a huge political structure as the
    European Union there are always controversies but as to the Eastern
    Partnership project, now there are favorable conditions for their
    implementation if we do not take into account geopolitical conditions.

    Is coordination of the activities of the United States and the
    European Union on the destiny of Armenia possible? There were no more
    or less substantial negotiations on this and they will hardly ever
    take place. However, there was an exchange of opinions and points
    of view. First of all, partnership with the current leadership of
    Armenia is ruled out. Therefore, one can conclude that the political
    leadership of Armenia is doomed to follow Russia's directions under
    any condition all the way through.

    No more or less apprehensible proposals have been received from
    Armenia's political circles, and it was crucial to making the final
    decision on Armenia. The United States is making efforts to correct
    geopolitical realities in the region, and Armenia, despite its current
    situation, is viewed as an element of a future system, more exactly
    a system that is under construction now. This is a strange attitude
    to the reality but there is no need to forget that the world centers
    of power are such until they generate a new reality.

    It is believed that the United States bewares the political marsh of
    Europe, including Eastern Europe. The United States is undertaking
    more large-scale plans of isolation and blockade of Russia with the
    help of different approaches and developments in the regions. For the
    United States, Armenia remains an interesting polygon of accomplishment
    of the new geopolitical configuration of the region.

    The decision of the Western community on the "secondary filtration" of
    the civil society in Armenia seems belated but new active groups may
    emerge in the result of these initiatives. The European governments
    receive information that a new wave of social activeness awaits
    Armenia, and the West may react toughly to the activities of the
    government. Most probably, there is not a detailed plan but it may
    occur and be implemented.

    What approach will the West have towards Armenia? It is obvious -
    leveling the decisions of the Armenian political leadership. In
    other words, it means deterioration of Armenia, an experiment of
    neutralization of its development and international isolation. Neither
    the United States, nor Europe has any problems with Armenia and the
    Armenian society despite its complete disorientation. The problem is
    the government's being a subject.

    Now nationalism - the old ideology "banned" by liberal democracy
    - will return to the arena of Eastern Europe. Unfortunately, no
    information is allowed out of Ukraine but political patriotism and
    nationalism is strengthening there, which has a radically anti-Russian
    character. The Western community understands that in this situation
    it must support the nationalism of nations which are forced to join
    the empire. In this game search for more radical nationalists, as
    well as participants of the national liberation movement is underway.

    No doubt Russia will support the government of Armenia, supplying it
    with military equipment and trying at the same time to restructure
    their relations so as not to lose a dollar in regard to Armenia over
    a more or less visible period of time (5-7 years). In other words,
    this is another device of blockade. Hence, double blockade is taking
    place but it is the first round.

    In this situation the Armenian patriots must think on what they
    could do for the sake of liberation of the homeland from Russian
    colonialism. Nobody except them will fulfill this task.

    Igor Muradyan 22:14 25/12/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31635

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