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TER-PETROSYAN "DETHRONES" TSARUKYAN
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/28854
18:40 07/02/2013
Levon Ter-Petrosyan dismissed the word "revolution" from his
word stock in 2009 or 2010. Since then the word stock of the
Armenian National Congress has been rather uncertain. By declaring
about the establishment of a political party Levon Ter-Petrosyan
actually challenges Prosperous Armenia. Not because the PAP follows
social-liberalism. The bounty killer who shot at Hairikyan will be
disclosed sooner than PAP's ideology will be defined.
Ter-Petrosyan puts forth an application for the position of second
force as he follows Prosperous Armenia falling from this position.
Moreover, Ter-Petrosyan helped accelerate its fall by generating
Gagik Tsarukyan's image of "savior". Ter-Petrosyan played a double
game with Tsarukyan. Were it possible to run in the election in a
bloc, it is good, were it not, by generating the image of "savior"
a and raising Tsarukyan possibly higher Ter-Petrosyan would ensure
that he falls much lower and farther.
This is happening with PAP now. At the same time, PAP may be unwanted
for Serzh Sargsyan because it carries germs of a coup d'etat. The PAP
needs to be dissolved or acceded by the RPA, which are the same thing,
in fact.
Foreign partners obviously give up the PAP, realizing that it is not
the right force to tackle challenges facing Armenia amid new internal
and foreign settings, new requirements and global transformations.
Hence, Ter-Petrosyan's application for a new political party has not
come out of nowhere because the second party is increasingly becoming
an urgent issue of the Armenian political agenda. The West set to
resolve this issue a few years ago in order to ensure political and
economic evolution through checks and balances. Certainly, it can
hardly be referred to as the best way of reform of Armenia but it is
the ultimate means in the arsenal of the West considering Russia's
readiness for tough counteraction in case of use of a tougher method.
Currently there are plenty of pretenders to the "second force". They
can be divided to four categories. The first is inside the government.
There is a serious clash of interests there which is expressed in
differences in worldviews and values. The second force may emerge
in the government and the state of affairs may proceed along the
mechanism of internal checks and balances. So far it has had only
cosmetic benefits but in 2017-2018 the picture may change because the
government will face a more tangible issue - transfer or elimination
of the post of president. It will suppose the emergence of a new
"PAP" in government.
The second category is PAP which tries to fight for its place but has
made some mistakes appearing in a hopeless situation, and Ter-Petrosyan
makes an application as Hrant Bagratyan, Raffi Hovannisian and Paruir
Hairikyan are trying to appear among aspirants for the second force.
It is not accidental, of course, that Ter-Petrosyan tries to maneuver
from Russia to the West. He tolls the loss of independence and
annexation by Russia while he describes his party by referring to
the model of the U.S. Democratic Party naming two of its central
figures, Clinton and Obama, as well as notes that the West lacks a
clear strategy on the Caucasus. Thus, Ter-Petrosyan tries to justify
the Russian line it followed together with PAP. The ANC leader also
hints to the West that the Russian line is merely the consequence of
the West's lack of a clear line on the Caucasus.
What will Prosperous Armenia do? Will it join the RPA or ANC or one
of the presidential candidates "emeritus" or will he announce about
its transformation to a political party?
HAKOB BADALYAN
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/28854
18:40 07/02/2013
Levon Ter-Petrosyan dismissed the word "revolution" from his
word stock in 2009 or 2010. Since then the word stock of the
Armenian National Congress has been rather uncertain. By declaring
about the establishment of a political party Levon Ter-Petrosyan
actually challenges Prosperous Armenia. Not because the PAP follows
social-liberalism. The bounty killer who shot at Hairikyan will be
disclosed sooner than PAP's ideology will be defined.
Ter-Petrosyan puts forth an application for the position of second
force as he follows Prosperous Armenia falling from this position.
Moreover, Ter-Petrosyan helped accelerate its fall by generating
Gagik Tsarukyan's image of "savior". Ter-Petrosyan played a double
game with Tsarukyan. Were it possible to run in the election in a
bloc, it is good, were it not, by generating the image of "savior"
a and raising Tsarukyan possibly higher Ter-Petrosyan would ensure
that he falls much lower and farther.
This is happening with PAP now. At the same time, PAP may be unwanted
for Serzh Sargsyan because it carries germs of a coup d'etat. The PAP
needs to be dissolved or acceded by the RPA, which are the same thing,
in fact.
Foreign partners obviously give up the PAP, realizing that it is not
the right force to tackle challenges facing Armenia amid new internal
and foreign settings, new requirements and global transformations.
Hence, Ter-Petrosyan's application for a new political party has not
come out of nowhere because the second party is increasingly becoming
an urgent issue of the Armenian political agenda. The West set to
resolve this issue a few years ago in order to ensure political and
economic evolution through checks and balances. Certainly, it can
hardly be referred to as the best way of reform of Armenia but it is
the ultimate means in the arsenal of the West considering Russia's
readiness for tough counteraction in case of use of a tougher method.
Currently there are plenty of pretenders to the "second force". They
can be divided to four categories. The first is inside the government.
There is a serious clash of interests there which is expressed in
differences in worldviews and values. The second force may emerge
in the government and the state of affairs may proceed along the
mechanism of internal checks and balances. So far it has had only
cosmetic benefits but in 2017-2018 the picture may change because the
government will face a more tangible issue - transfer or elimination
of the post of president. It will suppose the emergence of a new
"PAP" in government.
The second category is PAP which tries to fight for its place but has
made some mistakes appearing in a hopeless situation, and Ter-Petrosyan
makes an application as Hrant Bagratyan, Raffi Hovannisian and Paruir
Hairikyan are trying to appear among aspirants for the second force.
It is not accidental, of course, that Ter-Petrosyan tries to maneuver
from Russia to the West. He tolls the loss of independence and
annexation by Russia while he describes his party by referring to
the model of the U.S. Democratic Party naming two of its central
figures, Clinton and Obama, as well as notes that the West lacks a
clear strategy on the Caucasus. Thus, Ter-Petrosyan tries to justify
the Russian line it followed together with PAP. The ANC leader also
hints to the West that the Russian line is merely the consequence of
the West's lack of a clear line on the Caucasus.
What will Prosperous Armenia do? Will it join the RPA or ANC or one
of the presidential candidates "emeritus" or will he announce about
its transformation to a political party?