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  • Karabakh Air Defense Roulette

    Nezavisimaya Gazeta, No 15, Russia
    Jan 30 2013


    KARABAKH AIR DEFENSE ROULETTE

    by Vladimir Mukhin

    AZERBAIJAN MIGHT USE RUSSIAN WEAPONS IN AN ARMED CONFLICT WITH
    ARMENIA; Azerbaijan developed the capacity to control Nagorno-Karabakh
    airspace.

    Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu's visit to Armenia, his first in the
    new capacity, ended yesterday. Sources within the Defense Ministry
    call the visit planned even though it took place against the
    background of deterioration of the Armenian-Azerbaijani relations.

    Moscow was greatly upset to hear from official Baku that Azerbaijani
    Antiaircraft Forces had been ordered to shoot down trespassing
    civilian planes. Azerbaijan made it clear that the matter concerned
    airspace above Nagorno-Karabakh.

    Russian experts warn that it might spark hostilities between
    Azerbaijan and Armenia all over again.

    Azerbaijani Antiaircraft Forces developed this capacity to kill planes
    above Karabakh in 2010, when Premier Dmitry Medvedev Enhanced Coverage
    LinkingDmitry Medvedev -Search using:Biographies Plus NewsNews, Most
    Recent 60 Daysordered the sale of two divisions of Favorites to the
    Azerbaijanis. Without analogs anywhere in the world, these
    antiaircraft complexes give the Azerbaijanis control over Karabakh
    airspace. Sources within the Russian Defense Ministry say that when
    the negotiations between Moscow and Baku over Gabala radar
    installation failed, Vladimir Putin revoked the decision to sell the
    third division of antiaircraft complexes to Azerbaijan. The use of the
    Favorites already sold to Baku might escalate the conflict between
    Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh.

    Armenian media outlets reported already that a civilian airport was to
    be opened with Yerevan's help near Stepanakert, the capital of
    Nagorno-Karabakh. A Russian Defense Ministry officer said, "That
    missiles launched by S-300PMU2 Favorites have a nearly guaranteed
    ability to kill any aerial target within the range of 150 kilometers
    is common knowledge. In other words, it will only take an order to
    open fire for the Azerbaijanis to shoot down any plane, civilian or
    not, that appears above Nagorno-Karabakh." The officer questioned
    validity of Armenian Defense Minister Seiran Oganesjan's statement to
    the effect that the republican Antiaircraft Forces were ready to
    defend civilian planes on the regular run from Yerevan to Stepanakert.
    "The Armenian may only hope to defend their territory or objects from
    enemy aircraft. When Favorites are brought into play, this capacity
    goes out the window."

    Insiders within the Russian Defense Ministry claim that the Russian
    delegation accompanying Shoigu to Yerevan did its best to discourage
    the Armenians from organizing regular runs of civilian planes to
    Stepanakert. It is known that the delegation included Igor Karavayev,
    Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade, and Nikolai Bordyuzha, CSTO
    Secretary General.

    "It's finally happening. Russia is turning to its principal ally in
    the southern part of the Caucasus... namely to Armenia. Its military
    potential is a guarantee of regional stability. It is Armenia that
    keeps in check Azerbaijan with its willingness to solve the problem of
    Nagorno-Karabakh by sheer strength of arms," said Lieutenant General
    Yuri Netkachev, once Russian Army Group in the Caucasus
    Second-in-Command.

    "This sale of the Favorites initially assembled for Iran to
    Azerbaijan... was a political mistake or rather geopolitical error
    made by Medvedev. Lots of them were made then... As for Azerbaijan, it
    is clear I believe that this country is boosting its military
    potential and acting against the interests of Russia and its allies,"
    said Colonel General Leonid Ivashov, President of the Academy of
    Geopolitical Problems.

    [Translated from Russian]



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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