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  • Armenian Vote Favors Incumbent

    ARMENIAN VOTE FAVORS INCUMBENT

    The International Herald Tribune, France
    February 19, 2013 Tuesday

    Victory would promote stability for ally of U.S. and aid in watching Iran

    DAVID M. HERSZENHORN
    MOSCOW

    ABSTRACT
    A second term for President Serzh Sargsyan would maintain stability in
    a country that has become an increasingly important American ally

    FULL TEXT
    Armenians voted on Monday in a presidential election that seemed
    certain to return President Serzh Sargsyan to office for a second
    five-year term, and to maintain stability in a country that has become
    an increasingly important, if uneasy, American ally in monitoring
    Iran's nuclear ambitions.

    Mr. Sargsyan, 58, a veteran politician, is generally viewed as having
    presided over modest economic improvements in recent years, though
    Armenia has struggled because of closed borders with Turkey and with
    Azerbaijan, its enemy in a continuing war over the disputed territory
    of Nagorno-Karabakh.

    Mr. Sargsyan faced relatively weak competition after his two strongest
    potential challengers and their parties announced last year that they
    would not compete in the election - former President Levon
    Ter-Petrossian of the Armenian National Congress and Gagik Tsarukyan
    of the Prosperous Armenia Party. Mr. Tsarukyan is a wealthy
    businessman, lawmaker and the head of Armenia's national Olympic
    committee.

    An exit poll of 19,130 voters conducted by Gallup International and
    carried by ArmNews TV showed Ms. Sargsyan winning 58 percent of the
    vote, The Associated Press reported. The closest of his six rivals,
    Raffi Hovanissian, who was born in the United States and was
    post-Soviet Armenia's first foreign minister, was shown with 32
    percent.

    But while Mr. Sargysan's victory has been predicted for months, there
    have been some unexpected developments in the campaign. One
    challenger, Andreas Ghukasian, a political commentator who manages a
    radio station in the capital, Yerevan, has been on a hunger strike
    demanding that Mr. Sargsyan be removed from the ballot.

    Another challenger, Paruir A. Airikyan, was shot in the shoulder in
    late January in what the authorities described as an assassination
    attempt, although there was no known motive. Mr. Airikyan is a former
    Soviet dissident who promoted Armenian independence and has run
    unsuccessfully for president several times. He briefly considered
    invoking a constitutional provision to delay the election for two
    weeks as a result of his wound but ultimately decided to allow the
    balloting to proceed.

    Mr. Sargsyan's expected second term will be watched closely for any
    sign of progress in resolving the war with Azerbaijan, and for any
    indication that Armenia is reducing support for economic sanctions
    against Iran, as those sanctions make life more difficult in both
    countries.

    The conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh continues at a simmer, with
    periodic violence along the line of contact, including frequent
    exchanges of gunfire and occasional casualties. Peace talks led by the
    so-called Minsk Group, which is led by the United States, Russia and
    France, have mostly stalled.

    With the border with Turkey still closed because of historic
    animosities and Turkey's ties with Azerbaijan, Armenia has
    traditionally relied heavily on Iran as an economic partner, but those
    ties are now constrained by sanctions over Iran's nuclear program.

    Western powers accuse Tehran of seeking the technology to build
    nuclear weapons, but Iran denies the charges. The suspicions about the
    program have prompted the imposition of a broadening array of United
    States, United Nations and European Union sanctions.

    Armenia has supported the measures, while continuing to engage in
    permissible economic activity, such as swapping electricity for
    natural gas from Iran with no money changing hands.

    "Having Iran as your economic lifeline is not a good position to be
    in," said a senior Western diplomat, who asked not to be identified
    to avoid creating any tension with players in the region. "They have
    been very, very careful, very, very good, at some cost to Armenia, to
    honor international U.N., U.S. and E.U. sanctions against Iran. But
    it's increasingly difficult for them to do that."

    International election observers have fanned out across Armenia in
    recent days. Initial reports suggested that Mr. Sargsyan's party had
    made some inappropriate use of government resources to promote his
    candidacy, a common criticism of incumbent candidates in former Soviet
    republics. But observers say the overall climate has improved, with
    opposition candidates, for instance, enjoying better access to
    coverage by the news media.

    Armenia faces a peculiar problem when it comes to potential election
    fraud because of the hundreds of thousands of Armenia citizens who
    live abroad, including in the United States - one of the largest
    diasporas in the world, by percentage, given Armenia's population of
    3.1 million, according to the World Bank.

    With few exceptions, absentee voting is not permitted. As a result,
    experts say, Armenia's election rolls are filled with the names of
    people who will not appear in person to vote, creating the potential
    for fraudulent use of those names.

    Mr. Sargsyan and his wife, Rita, paused on Monday to speak with
    reporters after voting at School No. 24 in Yerevan.

    "I have voted for the security of our citizens and our families," he
    said, according to aysor.am, an Armenian Internet news site.




    From: A. Papazian
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