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New Armenian President Will Choose Between EU and Customs Union

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  • New Armenian President Will Choose Between EU and Customs Union

    Izvestiya, Russia
    Jan 11 2013


    New Armenian President Will Choose Between EU and Customs Union.

    Country's Central Electoral Commission Has Completed Registration of
    Candidates for Presidential Election

    by Tigran Oganesyan
    [Translated from Russian]


    The Armenian Central Electoral Commission has completed registration
    of the country's presidential candidates. In the 18 February election,
    eight people will compete for the position, including the favorite,
    incumbent President Serzh Sargsyan. Armenia considers that the Kremlin
    will back him as the most viable candidate.

    Many analysts in Armenia consider, however, that if Sargsyan is
    reelected, he is unlikely to abandon a Euro-Atlantic course. Doctor of
    Political Science Amayak Ovannisyan, president of the Armenian
    Association of Political Analysts, told Izvestiya that many presidents
    of countries in the post-Soviet space gave assurances of loyalty to
    Russia, but forgot about this after their reelection, as happened with
    Ukrainian leader Yanukovych, for example.

    "And then, why should the incumbent president be thankful to Russia,
    if he has no competitors in the coming election? And consequently has
    no need for support from outside," he explained.

    The lack of alternatives to Sargsyan's election as head of state arose
    after the unexpected withdrawal from the race of Gagik Tsarukyan,
    leader of the Prosperous Armenia party, the second political force in
    parliament. At 68 years old, Levon Ter-Petrosyan, the first president
    of Armenia [from 1991-1998], heading the opposition Armenian National
    Congress, also declined to participate in the coming election because
    of his age.

    The recent visit to Yerevan by foreign ministers from Poland, Sweden,
    and Bulgaria also confirmed the fact that Armenia does not intend to
    reject close relations with Europe; during a meeting with the
    ministers, President Sargsyan noted that "relations between Armenia
    and the EU within the framework of the Eastern Partnership are
    developing intensively and have moved onto a qualitatively new plane."
    Significant progress has also been achieved in negotiations on an
    association agreement and on the question of creating an extended and
    comprehensive free trade zone. Both parties hope that the negotiations
    will be completed by November of this year, before the Eastern
    Partnership Summit in Vilnius. And on 17 December a visa facilitation
    agreement was signed, which will give Armenia's young people and
    cultural figures the opportunity to visit EU countries according to a
    simplified procedure.

    Armenia refuses to join the Customs Union, justifying this by the
    absence of common borders with the structure's member countries, and
    is currently pondering the expediency of joining the Eurasian Union.
    In this connection, Richard Kirakosyan, leader of the Regional Studies
    Center, suggested that Russia will try to "punish" Armenia by
    increasing gas prices. Armen Arzumanyan, press secretary to the
    Armenian president, denied to Izvestiya rumors that Vladimir Putin is
    preparing for a visit to Yerevan in the near future.

    "If issues regarding joining the Eurasian Union are clearly set out in
    the incumbent president's election platform, then this will
    undoubtedly create certain guarantees of Armenia's progress along the
    path of Eurasian integration in the postelection period," the head of
    the Armenian Association of Political Analysts considers.

    At the same time, many people in Armenia consider that Russia
    currently has very limited opportunity to influence the outcome of the
    presidential election, which is why Russia will prefer to back the
    "viable" candidate -- incumbent President Serzh Sargsyan.

    [Translated from Russian]

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