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ARMENIAN OPPOSITION: POSSIBILITY OF A TACTICAL ALLIANCE - 2
Vestnik Kavkaza, Russia
July 16 2013
16 July 2013 - 7:58am
Susanna Petrosyan, Yerevan. Exclusively to Vestnik Kavkaza
See Part-1 http://vestnikkavkaza.net/analysis/politics/42636.html
ANC, Prosperous Armenia, and Dashnaktsutyun cannot be strategic
allies, but they can be tactical partners. These forces are hardly
likely to take part in the parliamentary elections on a common list,
even though cooperation in the sphere of election control is quite
possible; moreover, there are certain examples.
The problem of a possible consolidation of the ANC and Prosperous
Armenia, between two prominent leaders - the first president Levon
Ter-Petrosyan and oligarch Gagik Tsarukyan, is the most discussed
issue in the Armenian politic sphere.
The political interests of PA's leader are based on his economic
interests. Tsarukyan strives for legalization of his capital, however,
under the current authorities, this is impossible. The system which
was formed in the country doesn't satisfy him and, as owner of a
huge amount of capital, Tsarukyan can achieve his main goal if he
implements one of two possible options.
The first option is that Tsarukyan encourages the coming to office
of his man, who won't change the current oligarchic system. However,
in this case there will be no real legalization, i.e. Tsarukyan will
still depend on the authorities. The second option is that Tsarukyan
stands for radical political and economic changes which will lead
to elimination of the current system. In this case he could legalize
his property, whoever rules the country.
The second option can be supported by the ANC. The ANC doesn't
consider Tsarukyan's capital to be an object for repressions. ANC
representatives believe that the capital which was accumulated,
including due to ambiguous deals, should be legalized within the
package of the "100 Steps" reforms which were developed by the force
in 2010. It seems Tsarukyan is satisfied with the program. Thus,
the second option requires that Prosperous Armenia and the ANC have
common ground in the political arena.
The possible tactical union between Ter-Petrosyan and Tsarukyan could
be confirmed by the ANC's support of Tsarukyan as a presidential
candidate; at least this possibility was discussed in November and
December of 2012. For instance, the ANC could significantly support
Tsarukyan in Yerevan. However, the developments changed, and the
leader of PA rejected being a presidential candidate.
At the same time, it doesn't mean that such a union is impossible in
the future, i.e. PA and the ANC can establish a tactical union for
fighting to change the power. Probably they will manage to present
a common presidential candidate.
http://vestnikkavkaza.net/analysis/politics/42669.html
From: Baghdasarian
Vestnik Kavkaza, Russia
July 16 2013
16 July 2013 - 7:58am
Susanna Petrosyan, Yerevan. Exclusively to Vestnik Kavkaza
See Part-1 http://vestnikkavkaza.net/analysis/politics/42636.html
ANC, Prosperous Armenia, and Dashnaktsutyun cannot be strategic
allies, but they can be tactical partners. These forces are hardly
likely to take part in the parliamentary elections on a common list,
even though cooperation in the sphere of election control is quite
possible; moreover, there are certain examples.
The problem of a possible consolidation of the ANC and Prosperous
Armenia, between two prominent leaders - the first president Levon
Ter-Petrosyan and oligarch Gagik Tsarukyan, is the most discussed
issue in the Armenian politic sphere.
The political interests of PA's leader are based on his economic
interests. Tsarukyan strives for legalization of his capital, however,
under the current authorities, this is impossible. The system which
was formed in the country doesn't satisfy him and, as owner of a
huge amount of capital, Tsarukyan can achieve his main goal if he
implements one of two possible options.
The first option is that Tsarukyan encourages the coming to office
of his man, who won't change the current oligarchic system. However,
in this case there will be no real legalization, i.e. Tsarukyan will
still depend on the authorities. The second option is that Tsarukyan
stands for radical political and economic changes which will lead
to elimination of the current system. In this case he could legalize
his property, whoever rules the country.
The second option can be supported by the ANC. The ANC doesn't
consider Tsarukyan's capital to be an object for repressions. ANC
representatives believe that the capital which was accumulated,
including due to ambiguous deals, should be legalized within the
package of the "100 Steps" reforms which were developed by the force
in 2010. It seems Tsarukyan is satisfied with the program. Thus,
the second option requires that Prosperous Armenia and the ANC have
common ground in the political arena.
The possible tactical union between Ter-Petrosyan and Tsarukyan could
be confirmed by the ANC's support of Tsarukyan as a presidential
candidate; at least this possibility was discussed in November and
December of 2012. For instance, the ANC could significantly support
Tsarukyan in Yerevan. However, the developments changed, and the
leader of PA rejected being a presidential candidate.
At the same time, it doesn't mean that such a union is impossible in
the future, i.e. PA and the ANC can establish a tactical union for
fighting to change the power. Probably they will manage to present
a common presidential candidate.
http://vestnikkavkaza.net/analysis/politics/42669.html
From: Baghdasarian