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WHAT IS MORE DANGEROUS - CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE OR "OLIGARCHS' REBELLION"?
Tigran Sargsyan called the movement against the transport fare increase
a civil movement, stating that the government should take into account
the fact that civil society forces are being formed in Armenia.
The premier actually recognized that during the decision-making
process it is necessary to think how the society will react. It
is hard to count how many anti-social decisions have not been made
due to the dangerous civil protest. But now, the "good" guys who,
several years ago were allowed everything in Yerevan, admit that it
has become more difficult to cut a tree in a yard.
The government of Armenia is squeezed between interests of the
oligarchy and the social destabilization threat, relating to price
increase. Now, possible harm from destabilization and oligarchs'
rebellion is calculated. What is more dangerous?
The fact that the oligarchs are not silent, and put pressure on
the government, causes no doubt. And Tigran Sargsyan's statement is
addressed to them. He hints that the oligarchs should have moderate
appetites, because there are civil forces that have moved from empty
rallies to the actions of defiance. People just do not pay - and this
is the most terrible blow.
What the "oligarchs' rebellion" is fraught with for the government?
Someone can close their business here and leave for Batumi, someone
else will use compromising materials about Serzh Sargsyan's old
sins and promises. But, "oligarchs' rebellion" will hardly lead to
destabilization, to the contrary, in case of a right policy, it may
be a good reason to tame several insatiable oligarchs.
While, social rebellion and defiance are fraught with unpredictable
for the government events. Moreover now, when Armenia is facing the
important phase of completion of negotiations on the Free Trade Zone
with EU, and now Armenian authorities don't need destabilization
at all.
Protests against the transport fare increase showed that by the end of
the month such disobedience may lead to the refusal to pay for the gas
and electricity. People may decide to pay for the gas at the former
price, and the government will be unable to do anything against it.
Tomorrow, people may agree not to pay the high percentages of bank
loans.
It is obvious that the increase in the price of transport is one of
the last acts of racketeering the Armenian oligarchy prior to the
Association of Armenia and the EU. It is no accident rates were not
increased from 1 August or 1 September, and from July 20 in order
"not to lose" the 10-day profit. After the Association, Armenian
oligarchs will not feel as free as now. And they need to squeeze to
the last during this period.
What will Armenian government choose - rebellion of oligarchs of
social revolt?
Naira Hayrumyan 13:14 25/07/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/country/view/30545
From: Baghdasarian
Tigran Sargsyan called the movement against the transport fare increase
a civil movement, stating that the government should take into account
the fact that civil society forces are being formed in Armenia.
The premier actually recognized that during the decision-making
process it is necessary to think how the society will react. It
is hard to count how many anti-social decisions have not been made
due to the dangerous civil protest. But now, the "good" guys who,
several years ago were allowed everything in Yerevan, admit that it
has become more difficult to cut a tree in a yard.
The government of Armenia is squeezed between interests of the
oligarchy and the social destabilization threat, relating to price
increase. Now, possible harm from destabilization and oligarchs'
rebellion is calculated. What is more dangerous?
The fact that the oligarchs are not silent, and put pressure on
the government, causes no doubt. And Tigran Sargsyan's statement is
addressed to them. He hints that the oligarchs should have moderate
appetites, because there are civil forces that have moved from empty
rallies to the actions of defiance. People just do not pay - and this
is the most terrible blow.
What the "oligarchs' rebellion" is fraught with for the government?
Someone can close their business here and leave for Batumi, someone
else will use compromising materials about Serzh Sargsyan's old
sins and promises. But, "oligarchs' rebellion" will hardly lead to
destabilization, to the contrary, in case of a right policy, it may
be a good reason to tame several insatiable oligarchs.
While, social rebellion and defiance are fraught with unpredictable
for the government events. Moreover now, when Armenia is facing the
important phase of completion of negotiations on the Free Trade Zone
with EU, and now Armenian authorities don't need destabilization
at all.
Protests against the transport fare increase showed that by the end of
the month such disobedience may lead to the refusal to pay for the gas
and electricity. People may decide to pay for the gas at the former
price, and the government will be unable to do anything against it.
Tomorrow, people may agree not to pay the high percentages of bank
loans.
It is obvious that the increase in the price of transport is one of
the last acts of racketeering the Armenian oligarchy prior to the
Association of Armenia and the EU. It is no accident rates were not
increased from 1 August or 1 September, and from July 20 in order
"not to lose" the 10-day profit. After the Association, Armenian
oligarchs will not feel as free as now. And they need to squeeze to
the last during this period.
What will Armenian government choose - rebellion of oligarchs of
social revolt?
Naira Hayrumyan 13:14 25/07/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/country/view/30545
From: Baghdasarian