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  • One Topic Closed. Let'S Go On To The Next

    ONE TOPIC CLOSED. LET'S GO ON TO THE NEXT

    The topic of weapon supply to Azerbaijan by Russia and all the
    accompanying issues have been elaborated sufficiently, everyone who
    found it necessary bothered to express their opinion. Real formats of
    Russian-Armenian relations, framework interests and controversies,
    geopolitical and economic goals and objectives of Russia became
    absolutely clear. A quite elaborate dossier has been collected on most
    Armenian political scientists, experts and commentators which will
    be useful soon. What conclusions can be drawn from this "discussion"?

    The Russian military and political bloc with certain formats was not
    accomplished, and the achievements that are in place are coming apart.

    The main factors and reasons of fiasco of Russian strategies like
    European strategy are on the whole clear, as well as the policy of
    bloc allegiance which is first of all linked to deep and irretrievable
    public, state-political, ethno-demographic and confessional crisis
    of the Russian people.

    Betrayal of interests of partners remains one of the important levers
    and approaches to Russia's foreign policy due to the lack of balance
    between goals and possibilities, priority of short-term goals over
    long-term ones as consequences of "imperial" losses of the Russian
    state and society, extremely economized politics.

    Russia has been unable to set up closer relations with the United
    States, Europe and China, which condemns it to global international
    isolation, i.e. a global marginal role which limits it to the energy
    and raw material model of economy and comprador nature of the economic
    and political class.

    Moscow made sure that despite failure and formation of closer and more
    binding relations with Ankara Turkey has appeared in the shoes of an
    unwanted and problematic partner of the Western community and there are
    hopes for setting up more credible Russian-Turkish relations. One of
    the approaches in this direction is establishment of closer relations
    with Azerbaijan as a factor of rapprochement with Turkey.

    Apart from other goals, mostly economic ones, supply of weapons to
    Azerbaijan intends to put severe pressure on Armenia, force it to make
    incredible concessions, including return of Karabakh to Azerbaijan,
    as well as change of government.

    Such a policy will collapse earlier than Russia will manage to
    "betray" the interests of Armenia but the essence of the Russian
    policy on this direction lies on the principle of "sacrifice and
    sacrifice Armenians". It is understood that bidding on Russia in this
    perspective means accelerating the sad end.

    The current exaggerated "discussion" may have been foreseen by Moscow
    to accelerate the processes and organize scandals which is apparently
    supposed to alert the Western community ahead of the famous decisions
    on the integration of Armenia with the EU. This goal will hardly be
    achieved but at the same time significant changes took place in the
    Armenian society, and its understanding of the need for continuity of
    the chosen foreign political path. The EU and the foreign ministries
    of leading European states have worked out possible scenarios
    of Moscow's reaction to Armenian policy. One is surprised at how
    thoroughly these scenarios have been worked out given the inertness,
    slowness, limited interest of European administrators. Most probably,
    there is a commonly agreed policy. It once again confirms that the
    "discussion" of Russian supply of weapon to Azerbaijan and several
    other questions should be suspended, it is meaningless to continue.

    Armenia will have to step on other political arenas and take care about
    their combat capability. In regard to Russia there is no need to take
    abrupt steps. This is what Moscow is expecting, it did everything one
    could expect. It is necessary not to be a favorable factor for Russia's
    policy aimed at strengthening its relations with Turkey and Azerbaijan.

    Despite the lack of a so-called strategic partnership Russia and
    Armenia have common interests both in regional policy and in a larger
    scope, and it is necessary to handle these tasks. In the current
    situation and in the visible future Russia will not be able to impose
    itself as a rival or radical enemy of Armenia, its possibilities are
    limited. Development of relations of Armenia with NATO and the EU
    will determine the new perspective when the second war in Karabakh
    will lead to complete loss of Russia's position in the region.

    If the current Russian-Armenian contractual relations are ever
    suspended, it will happen only in the result of failure of general
    conditions of the pro-Russian defense bloc. Acceleration of ousting
    Armenia from these relations will only accelerate the collapse of CSTO
    and other relations of Russia with its "partners". These "partners"
    are already wondering about their role in Russia's plans given how
    the Russians treated Armenians.

    There are a number of other interesting topics of geopolitical and
    political nature, including relations with Russia, such as the topic
    of Russia's ties with certain circles in Armenia, which is directly
    linked to national security issues.

    Igor Muradyan 15:19 25/07/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
    http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30546

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