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THREATS OF THE "RUSSIAN SPIRIT"
Along with the growth and success of the protest wave in Armenia,
serious political processes relating to Armenia-European Union
relations happened. The parties completed the negotiations on the
Association and establishment of a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade
Area. The end of negotiations is recorded parallel to the civil
protest wave and strengthening threats by the Russian experts' circles.
Recently, almost all Russian expert-political scientists and Armenian
attaches of that community threatened with regards to the signing of
the Association Agreement with EU.
Parallel to the strengthening of the threats, Armenia is completing the
negotiations about which European officials Stefan Fule and Catherine
Ashton announced with satisfaction.
Several days earlier, the Lithuanian foreign minister stated that
if Armenia wanted, it could have completed the negotiations long
ago. The Lithuanian foreign minister said also about the possibility
of an early initialization of the agreement.
So the question occurs whether Armenia and European Union won't wait
till November and will initialize the agreement earlier. At the same
time, it is interesting whether Russia will accelerate the processes
of counteraction. This will mean that Russia will shift from threats
to concrete actions, in other words, to the fulfillment of some part
of the threat.
Moscow has enough levers to shift from words to actions, moreover,
it has been acting since long. It has a variety of levers - economic,
political, military, social and moral.
At the same time, though, it is probable that the issue on the Russian
threat is exaggerated which has two main reasons.
Experts and political figures both from Russia and Armenia,
who are threatening on behalf of Russia, have personal issues in
this situation. The point is that the more successful Armenia's
relations with the EU are, the more people are dissatisfied with the
Armenian-Russian relations.
The Kremlin has trusted the apologetics of the Armenian-Russian
relations to those people, who were supposed to be responsible of
the moods towards Russia in the Armenian social-political field and
their "reports" and advises have been under the policies worked out
in the Kremlin.
These people were found out to just seize resources from Russia
and provide the opposite outcome on which the state policy was
based and hence it collapsed. Consequently, the threats towards
Armenia don't stand for Kremlin's resistance and complaint but for
the self-preservation of the experts and political figures and their
last effort to justify in front of Kremlin.
The next circumstance that can possibly generate an "atmosphere" of
threats is the mood of a part of home political subjects that can be
used in the internal life of Armenia.
It is hard to say what the real mood in the Kremlin is. On the other
hand, the fact of failure of the contingent that has acted so far is
evident, on the other hand the newly-appointed ambassador of Russia
to Armenia launched his activities meeting the famous representatives
of this contingent. Apparently, it is hard for Kremlin to refuse
the old work style, which makes the necessity to find new partners,
unnecessary. The result is that the Armenian-Russian relation continues
being in a regime of deep regression and Russia undoubtedly realizes
its own responsibility in this matter, but can do nothing against the
"Russian spirit".
But, even the "Russian spirit" fails, not only in Armenia but also
in the world.
Hakob Badalyan 14:10 26/07/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30560
Along with the growth and success of the protest wave in Armenia,
serious political processes relating to Armenia-European Union
relations happened. The parties completed the negotiations on the
Association and establishment of a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade
Area. The end of negotiations is recorded parallel to the civil
protest wave and strengthening threats by the Russian experts' circles.
Recently, almost all Russian expert-political scientists and Armenian
attaches of that community threatened with regards to the signing of
the Association Agreement with EU.
Parallel to the strengthening of the threats, Armenia is completing the
negotiations about which European officials Stefan Fule and Catherine
Ashton announced with satisfaction.
Several days earlier, the Lithuanian foreign minister stated that
if Armenia wanted, it could have completed the negotiations long
ago. The Lithuanian foreign minister said also about the possibility
of an early initialization of the agreement.
So the question occurs whether Armenia and European Union won't wait
till November and will initialize the agreement earlier. At the same
time, it is interesting whether Russia will accelerate the processes
of counteraction. This will mean that Russia will shift from threats
to concrete actions, in other words, to the fulfillment of some part
of the threat.
Moscow has enough levers to shift from words to actions, moreover,
it has been acting since long. It has a variety of levers - economic,
political, military, social and moral.
At the same time, though, it is probable that the issue on the Russian
threat is exaggerated which has two main reasons.
Experts and political figures both from Russia and Armenia,
who are threatening on behalf of Russia, have personal issues in
this situation. The point is that the more successful Armenia's
relations with the EU are, the more people are dissatisfied with the
Armenian-Russian relations.
The Kremlin has trusted the apologetics of the Armenian-Russian
relations to those people, who were supposed to be responsible of
the moods towards Russia in the Armenian social-political field and
their "reports" and advises have been under the policies worked out
in the Kremlin.
These people were found out to just seize resources from Russia
and provide the opposite outcome on which the state policy was
based and hence it collapsed. Consequently, the threats towards
Armenia don't stand for Kremlin's resistance and complaint but for
the self-preservation of the experts and political figures and their
last effort to justify in front of Kremlin.
The next circumstance that can possibly generate an "atmosphere" of
threats is the mood of a part of home political subjects that can be
used in the internal life of Armenia.
It is hard to say what the real mood in the Kremlin is. On the other
hand, the fact of failure of the contingent that has acted so far is
evident, on the other hand the newly-appointed ambassador of Russia
to Armenia launched his activities meeting the famous representatives
of this contingent. Apparently, it is hard for Kremlin to refuse
the old work style, which makes the necessity to find new partners,
unnecessary. The result is that the Armenian-Russian relation continues
being in a regime of deep regression and Russia undoubtedly realizes
its own responsibility in this matter, but can do nothing against the
"Russian spirit".
But, even the "Russian spirit" fails, not only in Armenia but also
in the world.
Hakob Badalyan 14:10 26/07/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30560