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IRAN-U.S.-ARMENIA: PERFECT PARTNERS
It is possible to silence some problems for a long time, or at least
not to publicize them, but sooner or later one has to talk about them.
However, it is not accidental that they are silenced. It is a plan
made by politicians though some circumstances may matter too.
Iran is well-aware of the regional processes and tendencies so it
notices the rapprochement of Armenia with the United States, NATO
and the EU. Does it worry Iran, will it take any counteraction to
prevent the growing influence of the United States and NATO on Armenia
and eventually the South Caucasus? Strangely, this question did not
undergo due discussion because there is no such an "issue".
Iran had such concerns in the 1990s when it did not consider Armenia
politically independent. At that time Iran was faced with the task
of enhancing the independence of Armenia not only from the West,
but also Russia, and Iran considered Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh
highly dependent on them.
Iran was seriously considering the status of associated state for
NKR along with the Afghan province of Herat, South Iraq and several
other territories.
Like Russia, Iran obviously underestimated the ability of the
Armenians to determine their own destiny. Iran did not dramatize
the situation. It accepted Armenia's policy as one in line with its
own interests.
For Iran Armenia is first of all a state which opposes the plans of
Turkish expansion, not the United States or NATO. So, it is understood
that with a view to this task Armenia cannot afford international
isolation, and must develop its relations with the West. Who else
could Armenia otherwise rely on except Russia when the policy of
Armenian national interests is pursued?
Iran is reluctant to advocate of Armenia's interest in case of
escalation of a military conflict with Turkey and Azerbaijan. Even if
Russia fulfils its commitments, it will not prevent it from availing
itself of problems in U.S.-Turkey and EU-Turkey relations. Iran
understands that Armenia cannot allow any harm to Iran, especially
upon the "order" of some Western powers.
There are not many arenas for the overlap of interests of the United
States and Iran in the vast areas of Asia Minor and the Near East.
However, both states understand that there are issues relating to
which the interests of the United States and Iran are in line. One of
these problems is the vulnerable geopolitical position of Armenia but
disruption of the balance of forces here will lead to a geopolitical
catastrophe for Iranand the United States.
The interests of the United States and Iran are growing in line in
Iraq, and soon they may turn out to be in line in Syria (strange
though it may seem). Analogically, Russia is approaching to their
position whose policy on the Near East was a breakthrough. But will
Russia be able to hold this position at least in a short term.
In this pragmatic and cynical world it is strangely difficult to set
up a geopolitical position without relying on partners with close or
similar cultural and historical complexes.
Igor Muradyan 15:50 14/06/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30169
From: Baghdasarian
It is possible to silence some problems for a long time, or at least
not to publicize them, but sooner or later one has to talk about them.
However, it is not accidental that they are silenced. It is a plan
made by politicians though some circumstances may matter too.
Iran is well-aware of the regional processes and tendencies so it
notices the rapprochement of Armenia with the United States, NATO
and the EU. Does it worry Iran, will it take any counteraction to
prevent the growing influence of the United States and NATO on Armenia
and eventually the South Caucasus? Strangely, this question did not
undergo due discussion because there is no such an "issue".
Iran had such concerns in the 1990s when it did not consider Armenia
politically independent. At that time Iran was faced with the task
of enhancing the independence of Armenia not only from the West,
but also Russia, and Iran considered Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh
highly dependent on them.
Iran was seriously considering the status of associated state for
NKR along with the Afghan province of Herat, South Iraq and several
other territories.
Like Russia, Iran obviously underestimated the ability of the
Armenians to determine their own destiny. Iran did not dramatize
the situation. It accepted Armenia's policy as one in line with its
own interests.
For Iran Armenia is first of all a state which opposes the plans of
Turkish expansion, not the United States or NATO. So, it is understood
that with a view to this task Armenia cannot afford international
isolation, and must develop its relations with the West. Who else
could Armenia otherwise rely on except Russia when the policy of
Armenian national interests is pursued?
Iran is reluctant to advocate of Armenia's interest in case of
escalation of a military conflict with Turkey and Azerbaijan. Even if
Russia fulfils its commitments, it will not prevent it from availing
itself of problems in U.S.-Turkey and EU-Turkey relations. Iran
understands that Armenia cannot allow any harm to Iran, especially
upon the "order" of some Western powers.
There are not many arenas for the overlap of interests of the United
States and Iran in the vast areas of Asia Minor and the Near East.
However, both states understand that there are issues relating to
which the interests of the United States and Iran are in line. One of
these problems is the vulnerable geopolitical position of Armenia but
disruption of the balance of forces here will lead to a geopolitical
catastrophe for Iranand the United States.
The interests of the United States and Iran are growing in line in
Iraq, and soon they may turn out to be in line in Syria (strange
though it may seem). Analogically, Russia is approaching to their
position whose policy on the Near East was a breakthrough. But will
Russia be able to hold this position at least in a short term.
In this pragmatic and cynical world it is strangely difficult to set
up a geopolitical position without relying on partners with close or
similar cultural and historical complexes.
Igor Muradyan 15:50 14/06/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30169
From: Baghdasarian