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Expert: Azeri attempt to shoot down NKR-bound planes will lead to war
March 1, 2013 - 16:38 AMT
PanARMENIAN.Net - Azeri attempt to shoot down Kabakh-bound planes will
result in a partial international isolation for the former, a Russian
analyst said.
"Even a single shot-down plane will immediately escalate the Nagorno
Karabakh conflict, where Russia, while not openly supporting Armenia,
will surely not back Azerbaijan," Ivan Sukhov said.
"Baku will also be wrong to count on the West's support. In the event
of a war against Iran, the South Caucasus will be utterly destabilized
with no winning sides left. The West, in pursuit of personal interests
with Armenia, can't guarantee the return of Karabakh and adjacent
territories to Azerbaijan. Turkey might back the return of
territories; however, neither the EU nor the U.S. would wish for
Ankara's increased influence. Baku might have a better chance should
Ankara win in a struggle for the influence in South Caucasus. But even
then, it would be highly unwise for Ankara not to consider Armenia's
interests," the analyst said.
"Baku's siding with West in attacking Iran would be catastophic for
the former. A strike on Iran's side is also possible. Less probable
but still feasible is Armenia's attack or the escalation of Karabakh
conflict, with an increased refugee inflow that Baku will definitely
be unable to handle," vesti.az quoted the expert as saying.
- See more at: http://www.panarmenian.net/eng/news/148143/#sthash.CvBt0Qij.dpuf
March 1, 2013 - 16:38 AMT
PanARMENIAN.Net - Azeri attempt to shoot down Kabakh-bound planes will
result in a partial international isolation for the former, a Russian
analyst said.
"Even a single shot-down plane will immediately escalate the Nagorno
Karabakh conflict, where Russia, while not openly supporting Armenia,
will surely not back Azerbaijan," Ivan Sukhov said.
"Baku will also be wrong to count on the West's support. In the event
of a war against Iran, the South Caucasus will be utterly destabilized
with no winning sides left. The West, in pursuit of personal interests
with Armenia, can't guarantee the return of Karabakh and adjacent
territories to Azerbaijan. Turkey might back the return of
territories; however, neither the EU nor the U.S. would wish for
Ankara's increased influence. Baku might have a better chance should
Ankara win in a struggle for the influence in South Caucasus. But even
then, it would be highly unwise for Ankara not to consider Armenia's
interests," the analyst said.
"Baku's siding with West in attacking Iran would be catastophic for
the former. A strike on Iran's side is also possible. Less probable
but still feasible is Armenia's attack or the escalation of Karabakh
conflict, with an increased refugee inflow that Baku will definitely
be unable to handle," vesti.az quoted the expert as saying.
- See more at: http://www.panarmenian.net/eng/news/148143/#sthash.CvBt0Qij.dpuf