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ABOUT INEVITABILITY OF RESTARTING OF THE WAR FOR NAGORNO-KARABAKH
WPS Agency, Russia
DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
March 18, 2013 Monday
Confrontation between Armenia and Azerbaijan because of
Nagorno-Karabakh may provoke a new conflict
by WPS observer
This is said in a report of director of the US national intelligence
Jams Clapper to the Congress about threats to security. The document
says that high-tone rhetoric, mistrust of the parties and periodical
cases of violence on the contact lines of troops increase the risks
of mistakes that may suddenly make the situation worse. The US
intelligence drew similar conclusions last year. Along with this,
situation related to Nagorno-Karabakh differs from that of the
last year.
Possible aggravation of the situation related to Nagorno-Karabakh
may be caused by the following factors.
1. Wish of Armenia to open an airport near Stepanakert. In this case
Baku will down airplanes above Nagorno-Karabakh, which will lead to
a war inevitably. On January 18 of 2013, the government of Azerbaijan
approved rules for use of the airspace of Azerbaijan. The rules set the
border strip of airspace with width of 25 kilometers that has a special
regime of use. The rules also stipulate a possibility of announcement
of prohibited zones and zones with flight restriction in the airspace
of Azerbaijan. Flights without sending of inquiry, notification of the
air force of Azerbaijan, without permit of a relevant operational body,
non-fulfillment of commands of the flight control points or interceptor
fighters, as well as flights in prohibited zones or flight restriction
zones without special permits are considered breaches of the rules
of use of airspace of the country. This document allows starting
of firing in the direction of flying objects on the territory of
Nagorno-Karabakh Republic and downing of Armenian civil airplanes.
2. In case of victory at the upcoming presidential elections of not
Ilham Aliyev but some of the opposition leaders who pursue radical
revenge goals towards Nagorno-Karabakh. In Azerbaijan these leaders
are well known.
For instance, Eldar Namazov is outstanding among them. He was head of
the secretariat and aide to the President of Azerbaijan between 1993
and 1999. In October of 1999, he resigned because of disputes with the
leader of the state in vision of the solution for the Nagorno-Karabakh
problem. Between 1995 and 2000, he was member of the parliament of
Azerbaijan. He is currently forming a new public political movement
called EL in Azerbaijan.
Leaders of the leading opposition parties Musavat and People's Front of
Azerbaijan Isa Gambar and Ali Kerimli are striving for power besides
Namazov. Meeting of Namazov, Gambar and Kerimli took place on March
7 but its participants did not wish to comment on results of the
meeting in mass media. According to the local press, participants of
the meeting discussed cooperation during the presidential elections
and possible nomination of a uniform candidate.
3. The third factor that may provoke hostilities about Nagorno-Karabakh
is related to possible war of Israel against Iran.
Israel will try to involve the US and possibly other NATO countries
into this war. Hostilities in Iran will definitely provoke an attempt
of Baku to get revenge in the war against Armenia and Azerbaijan will
try to liberate the territories kept by Armenia.
Russia is not interested in any of these factors. In case of
aggravation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict it will definitely have
to insert peacekeeping forces of the CSTO into the conflict zone in
interaction with CSTO allies. It will need to do this earlier than
NATO countries and the US that will try to strengthen their positions
in the South Caucasus. The main goals of Americans and the West there
will be connected with safekeeping of control over the oil and gas
pipelines from the Caspian region to Europe.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
WPS Agency, Russia
DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
March 18, 2013 Monday
Confrontation between Armenia and Azerbaijan because of
Nagorno-Karabakh may provoke a new conflict
by WPS observer
This is said in a report of director of the US national intelligence
Jams Clapper to the Congress about threats to security. The document
says that high-tone rhetoric, mistrust of the parties and periodical
cases of violence on the contact lines of troops increase the risks
of mistakes that may suddenly make the situation worse. The US
intelligence drew similar conclusions last year. Along with this,
situation related to Nagorno-Karabakh differs from that of the
last year.
Possible aggravation of the situation related to Nagorno-Karabakh
may be caused by the following factors.
1. Wish of Armenia to open an airport near Stepanakert. In this case
Baku will down airplanes above Nagorno-Karabakh, which will lead to
a war inevitably. On January 18 of 2013, the government of Azerbaijan
approved rules for use of the airspace of Azerbaijan. The rules set the
border strip of airspace with width of 25 kilometers that has a special
regime of use. The rules also stipulate a possibility of announcement
of prohibited zones and zones with flight restriction in the airspace
of Azerbaijan. Flights without sending of inquiry, notification of the
air force of Azerbaijan, without permit of a relevant operational body,
non-fulfillment of commands of the flight control points or interceptor
fighters, as well as flights in prohibited zones or flight restriction
zones without special permits are considered breaches of the rules
of use of airspace of the country. This document allows starting
of firing in the direction of flying objects on the territory of
Nagorno-Karabakh Republic and downing of Armenian civil airplanes.
2. In case of victory at the upcoming presidential elections of not
Ilham Aliyev but some of the opposition leaders who pursue radical
revenge goals towards Nagorno-Karabakh. In Azerbaijan these leaders
are well known.
For instance, Eldar Namazov is outstanding among them. He was head of
the secretariat and aide to the President of Azerbaijan between 1993
and 1999. In October of 1999, he resigned because of disputes with the
leader of the state in vision of the solution for the Nagorno-Karabakh
problem. Between 1995 and 2000, he was member of the parliament of
Azerbaijan. He is currently forming a new public political movement
called EL in Azerbaijan.
Leaders of the leading opposition parties Musavat and People's Front of
Azerbaijan Isa Gambar and Ali Kerimli are striving for power besides
Namazov. Meeting of Namazov, Gambar and Kerimli took place on March
7 but its participants did not wish to comment on results of the
meeting in mass media. According to the local press, participants of
the meeting discussed cooperation during the presidential elections
and possible nomination of a uniform candidate.
3. The third factor that may provoke hostilities about Nagorno-Karabakh
is related to possible war of Israel against Iran.
Israel will try to involve the US and possibly other NATO countries
into this war. Hostilities in Iran will definitely provoke an attempt
of Baku to get revenge in the war against Armenia and Azerbaijan will
try to liberate the territories kept by Armenia.
Russia is not interested in any of these factors. In case of
aggravation of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict it will definitely have
to insert peacekeeping forces of the CSTO into the conflict zone in
interaction with CSTO allies. It will need to do this earlier than
NATO countries and the US that will try to strengthen their positions
in the South Caucasus. The main goals of Americans and the West there
will be connected with safekeeping of control over the oil and gas
pipelines from the Caspian region to Europe.
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress