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IRAN'S LOSING INTEREST IN ARMENIA
Iran's eternal dream is to communicate with Europe "independently"
from Turkey and Arab states to ensure export and import of billions.
Recently additional ambitions added to this dream - bypass Russia on
the way to Europe.
Along with different clusters of Iranian export one of the strategic
ones is gas which can no way lay out its way to northwest. The European
states are not considering export of Iranian gas as a dangerous and
risky project. Now gas consumption in Europe is not having its peak
but it will not last long. The Europeans have managed to experience
certain decrease of dependence on import of Russian gas and would
like to further diversify import.
All the stakeholders, as well as Iran are waiting for resolution in
Syria and are ready to lay out big pipelines (at least two pipelines
with the carrying capacity of 35 billion cu m) running across Iraq
to the Mediterranean ports of Syria and Lebanon.
Not only the European but also the American companies with big
expectations are following the events in Syria attentively not to
allow a possibility to take part in these projects.
In the meantime, both Iranians and Europeans are considering South
Caucasian routes in designing gas pipelines in the northwest. No doubt
this will lead to resistance by Russia but everything depends on the
states and companies interested in this project. Russia has not been
able to prevent layout of pipelines in the South Caucasus running
from the Caspian Sea to the Black and Mediterranean Seas but easily
thwarted a more large-scale project of gas pipeline for transporting
Iranian gas to Armenia.
Although Iran is against developing communications across Azerbaijan's
territory, the Western community does not wish to links routes of
transportation of Iranian gas to Armenia. That would be too naïve
to suggest that after the September 3 scandal the Europeans would
allow for the implementation of the Armenian route because that would
practically mean the Russian route.
If this aspect is considered as relevant, the West may insist on
laying out the pipeline across Azerbaijan, and Iran may agree.
On the whole, isolation of Armenia from the West leads to the loss of
interest of Iran in Armenia which was always interested in increasing
independence of Armenia from Russia and was interested in developing
relations between Armenia and the EU.
As is known, having lost interest in such a category as "strategic
politics", Iran continues to plan its foreign policy based on
strategic objectives. This special character of Iranian politics
makes it predictable. On the other hand, it is hard to have Iranians
correct their foreign policy.
Igor Muradyan 16:45 01/11/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31221
From: Baghdasarian
Iran's eternal dream is to communicate with Europe "independently"
from Turkey and Arab states to ensure export and import of billions.
Recently additional ambitions added to this dream - bypass Russia on
the way to Europe.
Along with different clusters of Iranian export one of the strategic
ones is gas which can no way lay out its way to northwest. The European
states are not considering export of Iranian gas as a dangerous and
risky project. Now gas consumption in Europe is not having its peak
but it will not last long. The Europeans have managed to experience
certain decrease of dependence on import of Russian gas and would
like to further diversify import.
All the stakeholders, as well as Iran are waiting for resolution in
Syria and are ready to lay out big pipelines (at least two pipelines
with the carrying capacity of 35 billion cu m) running across Iraq
to the Mediterranean ports of Syria and Lebanon.
Not only the European but also the American companies with big
expectations are following the events in Syria attentively not to
allow a possibility to take part in these projects.
In the meantime, both Iranians and Europeans are considering South
Caucasian routes in designing gas pipelines in the northwest. No doubt
this will lead to resistance by Russia but everything depends on the
states and companies interested in this project. Russia has not been
able to prevent layout of pipelines in the South Caucasus running
from the Caspian Sea to the Black and Mediterranean Seas but easily
thwarted a more large-scale project of gas pipeline for transporting
Iranian gas to Armenia.
Although Iran is against developing communications across Azerbaijan's
territory, the Western community does not wish to links routes of
transportation of Iranian gas to Armenia. That would be too naïve
to suggest that after the September 3 scandal the Europeans would
allow for the implementation of the Armenian route because that would
practically mean the Russian route.
If this aspect is considered as relevant, the West may insist on
laying out the pipeline across Azerbaijan, and Iran may agree.
On the whole, isolation of Armenia from the West leads to the loss of
interest of Iran in Armenia which was always interested in increasing
independence of Armenia from Russia and was interested in developing
relations between Armenia and the EU.
As is known, having lost interest in such a category as "strategic
politics", Iran continues to plan its foreign policy based on
strategic objectives. This special character of Iranian politics
makes it predictable. On the other hand, it is hard to have Iranians
correct their foreign policy.
Igor Muradyan 16:45 01/11/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31221
From: Baghdasarian