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IS MOSCOW HINTING AT OFFENSIVE?
Armenia is discussing the statement of the 102nd base of Gyumri Andrey
Ruzinsky who said the Russian base will intervene if Azerbaijan fights
against Karabakh.
And recently General Shamanov known from the war in Chechnya announced
that he is ready to land in Armenia to defend public order. Armenia
has signed an agreement with the CSTO according to which the CSTO
(i.e. Russian forces) will defend public order in Armenia.
Armenians know what "defend public order" means. They experienced
it in the first half of the 1990s. They also saw then what Russian
army's intervention means. The consequence was population displaced
from Armenian settlements and the outrageous "passport regime"
implemented together with the Azerbaijani forces.
The Armenians won when the Russian regiment left Karabakh, leaving
there their weapons.
There is an opinion that the statement of the commander of the 102nd
military base of Gyumri intends to contain possible war by Azerbaijan
and Turkey. It is possible, considering that Russia is the "guarantor
of security" of Armenia. But is Russia able and genuinely willing to
prevent the war and what steps will it take if war starts?
Recent developments show that Russia has entered into binding
relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey which suppose surrender of
Armenian interests. In addition, this process began in 2008 when the
Association Agreement with the EU was not on the agenda yet.
Ostensibly, the association came up when the Armenian political
leadership started discerning danger from Russia's new policy.
During the EU-Armenia negotiations Russia launched blackmail using
security and Karabakh. Eventually, Serzh Sargsyan announced to join
the Customs Union.
Apparently, his announcement was not enough for Moscow, and now hints
on defending "public order" in Armenia are made through a general who
stood out in Chechnya in the 1990s. Moscow thus takes the Armenian
political field under control to prevent surprises.
As to the statement of the commander of the Russian military base,
on the one hand, it is a carrot for the Armenian public, and on the
other hand, a threat to the government which has witnessed the role
of the Russian army in Karabakh. And its role in the possible was
will be prevention of the victory of Armenians.
Haik Aramyan 21:36 02/11/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31230
Armenia is discussing the statement of the 102nd base of Gyumri Andrey
Ruzinsky who said the Russian base will intervene if Azerbaijan fights
against Karabakh.
And recently General Shamanov known from the war in Chechnya announced
that he is ready to land in Armenia to defend public order. Armenia
has signed an agreement with the CSTO according to which the CSTO
(i.e. Russian forces) will defend public order in Armenia.
Armenians know what "defend public order" means. They experienced
it in the first half of the 1990s. They also saw then what Russian
army's intervention means. The consequence was population displaced
from Armenian settlements and the outrageous "passport regime"
implemented together with the Azerbaijani forces.
The Armenians won when the Russian regiment left Karabakh, leaving
there their weapons.
There is an opinion that the statement of the commander of the 102nd
military base of Gyumri intends to contain possible war by Azerbaijan
and Turkey. It is possible, considering that Russia is the "guarantor
of security" of Armenia. But is Russia able and genuinely willing to
prevent the war and what steps will it take if war starts?
Recent developments show that Russia has entered into binding
relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey which suppose surrender of
Armenian interests. In addition, this process began in 2008 when the
Association Agreement with the EU was not on the agenda yet.
Ostensibly, the association came up when the Armenian political
leadership started discerning danger from Russia's new policy.
During the EU-Armenia negotiations Russia launched blackmail using
security and Karabakh. Eventually, Serzh Sargsyan announced to join
the Customs Union.
Apparently, his announcement was not enough for Moscow, and now hints
on defending "public order" in Armenia are made through a general who
stood out in Chechnya in the 1990s. Moscow thus takes the Armenian
political field under control to prevent surprises.
As to the statement of the commander of the Russian military base,
on the one hand, it is a carrot for the Armenian public, and on the
other hand, a threat to the government which has witnessed the role
of the Russian army in Karabakh. And its role in the possible was
will be prevention of the victory of Armenians.
Haik Aramyan 21:36 02/11/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31230