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  • CU Members Do Not Assume Any Obligation About Being Abstained From A

    CU MEMBERS DO NOT ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION ABOUT BEING ABSTAINED FROM ACTIONS CONTRARY TO THE INTERESTS OF ARMENIA

    November 5 2013

    CU members do not assume any obligation about being abstained from
    actions contrary to the interests of Armenia According to political
    scientist Armen Grigoryan, Armenia will lose the ability to make
    decisions independently regarding the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement
    process. - The authorities of Armenia, in the face of Deputy Foreign
    Minister Zohrab Mnatsakanyan, note that the Association Agreement
    will remain in the EU-Armenia dialogue, and the official Yerevan is
    working on "legally repairing" the document. What opportunities do you
    see with the EU Association process to continue? - Since September 3,
    there are processes going on that exclude the possibility of signing
    the Association Agreement. Until then, Armenia, along with Georgia
    and Moldova, had the same level of relations with the EU. Thus, the
    Armenia-EU relations could be reached a qualitatively higher level
    than the Azerbaijan-EU relations, which would have a positive impact
    on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement and democratization
    processes. Now, maximum, a declaration of declarative nature may
    be signed. - On October 24, Armenia agreed to be abstained from any
    statement or action contrary to the interests of the Customs Union,
    which was endorsed in the memorandum on deepening of the relations
    between Armenia and the Eurasian Economic Commission, signed in Minsk.

    What are the implications of the aforesaid obligation for Armenia in
    the correlations with other countries? - This issue a kind of covered
    the previous question. The commitment assumed on October 24 also
    excludes the possibility of signing the Association Agreement. First
    of all, joining CU excludes the possibility of having a free trade
    agreement with a country which is not a CU member. There might occur
    complications related to freight rates and other issues. In addition,
    it will be decided in Russia what an "action contrary to the interests
    of the Customs Union" means, in other words, Armenia's sovereignty
    becomes even more limited. The most dangerous matter is that negative
    changes can occur in the relations with Iran and Georgia. And, at the
    same time, Customs Union members do not assume any obligation to be
    abstained from the actions contrary to the interests of Armenia. - In
    general, what prospects and objective does Russia's recent intensive
    integration policies pursue? What impact might the Russian integration
    processes have in Armenia? - Russia pursues imperialistic, colonial
    objectives, and at the same time, V. Putin is trying to strengthen his
    personal power. A few weeks ago, the Government of Russia decided to
    cut budget expenditures by 5 percent, moreover, drastic reductions are
    foreseen in education, health and social sectors, while the military
    and propaganda expenditures will increase. We need also to keep in
    mind that the U.S. is reducing the imports of oil, and soon it will
    begin exporting gas to Europe, and some European countries are getting
    ready for shale gas industry. Given that Russia's export of energy
    carriers provide more than half of the budget of Russia, significant
    decline is very likely, and V. Putin is trying to strengthen his regime
    by all means: censorship, control over e-messages, extraordinarily
    cynical propaganda, strengthening of black-hundredists of orthodoxy,
    and so on, and, of course, a "land collection," creation of an updated
    version of the Soviet Union. Russia-centered integration process for
    Armenia is more dangerous, because Armenia will lose the ability
    of making decisions on their own on foreign policy; it will stop
    being a subject in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement and in
    the area of international relations, in general, and can become the
    subject of regular Russian-Turkish transaction, or be used for other
    purposes incurred from interests of Russia. Generally, joining the
    Customs Union is a de facto annexation for Armenia. - Along with the
    establishment of the Eurasian Union, Russia is taking steps to control
    the military facilities of the post-Soviet states, recently announced
    the CSTO Secretary General Nickolay Borduja. There were publications
    in the media that the RF is strengthening the military base in Gyumri.

    Is there a risk for Armenia in the context of Russian-Azerbaijani
    cooperation on Karabakh issue? - Really, there are publications
    that the RF is going to deploy helicopter and landing divisions,
    probably, again at the expense of Armenian taxpayers. According to
    Russian experts, this will enable Russian South Caucasian military
    troops to conduct not only defensive but also offensive nature of
    operations. A question arises, against whom? To the point, still a
    month and a half ago, I have predicted the possibility of strengthening
    the presence of Russian military in Armenia, and then increasing
    the pressure over Georgia, and even the aggression. Ultimately,
    Russia should try to prevent the continuation of the process of
    Georgia's European integration, which will enable to control over the
    entire South Caucasus region. In addition, it is vital for Russia
    to establish control over the pipelines to provide the price rise
    of energy carriers, and to maintain its own survival. As for the
    Russian-Azerbaijani cooperation, indeed, the large-scale supply of
    up-to-date weapons by Armenia's 'ally' is even more disturbing.

    Especially when Azerbaijan is openly threatening the security of
    Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. For comparison: South Korea refused
    to sell weapons to Azerbaijan, even though the matter was about the
    weapons that could not be used against Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh.

    There are also other hazards in the context of Russia-Azerbaijan,
    as well as Russian-Turkish cooperation with regard to vassal status
    of Armenia and the possibility of becoming a subject of transaction.

    Emma GABRIELYAN

    Read more at: http://en.aravot.am/2013/11/05/162365/



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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