CU MEMBERS DO NOT ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION ABOUT BEING ABSTAINED FROM ACTIONS CONTRARY TO THE INTERESTS OF ARMENIA
November 5 2013
CU members do not assume any obligation about being abstained from
actions contrary to the interests of Armenia According to political
scientist Armen Grigoryan, Armenia will lose the ability to make
decisions independently regarding the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement
process. - The authorities of Armenia, in the face of Deputy Foreign
Minister Zohrab Mnatsakanyan, note that the Association Agreement
will remain in the EU-Armenia dialogue, and the official Yerevan is
working on "legally repairing" the document. What opportunities do you
see with the EU Association process to continue? - Since September 3,
there are processes going on that exclude the possibility of signing
the Association Agreement. Until then, Armenia, along with Georgia
and Moldova, had the same level of relations with the EU. Thus, the
Armenia-EU relations could be reached a qualitatively higher level
than the Azerbaijan-EU relations, which would have a positive impact
on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement and democratization
processes. Now, maximum, a declaration of declarative nature may
be signed. - On October 24, Armenia agreed to be abstained from any
statement or action contrary to the interests of the Customs Union,
which was endorsed in the memorandum on deepening of the relations
between Armenia and the Eurasian Economic Commission, signed in Minsk.
What are the implications of the aforesaid obligation for Armenia in
the correlations with other countries? - This issue a kind of covered
the previous question. The commitment assumed on October 24 also
excludes the possibility of signing the Association Agreement. First
of all, joining CU excludes the possibility of having a free trade
agreement with a country which is not a CU member. There might occur
complications related to freight rates and other issues. In addition,
it will be decided in Russia what an "action contrary to the interests
of the Customs Union" means, in other words, Armenia's sovereignty
becomes even more limited. The most dangerous matter is that negative
changes can occur in the relations with Iran and Georgia. And, at the
same time, Customs Union members do not assume any obligation to be
abstained from the actions contrary to the interests of Armenia. - In
general, what prospects and objective does Russia's recent intensive
integration policies pursue? What impact might the Russian integration
processes have in Armenia? - Russia pursues imperialistic, colonial
objectives, and at the same time, V. Putin is trying to strengthen his
personal power. A few weeks ago, the Government of Russia decided to
cut budget expenditures by 5 percent, moreover, drastic reductions are
foreseen in education, health and social sectors, while the military
and propaganda expenditures will increase. We need also to keep in
mind that the U.S. is reducing the imports of oil, and soon it will
begin exporting gas to Europe, and some European countries are getting
ready for shale gas industry. Given that Russia's export of energy
carriers provide more than half of the budget of Russia, significant
decline is very likely, and V. Putin is trying to strengthen his regime
by all means: censorship, control over e-messages, extraordinarily
cynical propaganda, strengthening of black-hundredists of orthodoxy,
and so on, and, of course, a "land collection," creation of an updated
version of the Soviet Union. Russia-centered integration process for
Armenia is more dangerous, because Armenia will lose the ability
of making decisions on their own on foreign policy; it will stop
being a subject in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement and in
the area of international relations, in general, and can become the
subject of regular Russian-Turkish transaction, or be used for other
purposes incurred from interests of Russia. Generally, joining the
Customs Union is a de facto annexation for Armenia. - Along with the
establishment of the Eurasian Union, Russia is taking steps to control
the military facilities of the post-Soviet states, recently announced
the CSTO Secretary General Nickolay Borduja. There were publications
in the media that the RF is strengthening the military base in Gyumri.
Is there a risk for Armenia in the context of Russian-Azerbaijani
cooperation on Karabakh issue? - Really, there are publications
that the RF is going to deploy helicopter and landing divisions,
probably, again at the expense of Armenian taxpayers. According to
Russian experts, this will enable Russian South Caucasian military
troops to conduct not only defensive but also offensive nature of
operations. A question arises, against whom? To the point, still a
month and a half ago, I have predicted the possibility of strengthening
the presence of Russian military in Armenia, and then increasing
the pressure over Georgia, and even the aggression. Ultimately,
Russia should try to prevent the continuation of the process of
Georgia's European integration, which will enable to control over the
entire South Caucasus region. In addition, it is vital for Russia
to establish control over the pipelines to provide the price rise
of energy carriers, and to maintain its own survival. As for the
Russian-Azerbaijani cooperation, indeed, the large-scale supply of
up-to-date weapons by Armenia's 'ally' is even more disturbing.
Especially when Azerbaijan is openly threatening the security of
Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. For comparison: South Korea refused
to sell weapons to Azerbaijan, even though the matter was about the
weapons that could not be used against Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh.
There are also other hazards in the context of Russia-Azerbaijan,
as well as Russian-Turkish cooperation with regard to vassal status
of Armenia and the possibility of becoming a subject of transaction.
Emma GABRIELYAN
Read more at: http://en.aravot.am/2013/11/05/162365/
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
November 5 2013
CU members do not assume any obligation about being abstained from
actions contrary to the interests of Armenia According to political
scientist Armen Grigoryan, Armenia will lose the ability to make
decisions independently regarding the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement
process. - The authorities of Armenia, in the face of Deputy Foreign
Minister Zohrab Mnatsakanyan, note that the Association Agreement
will remain in the EU-Armenia dialogue, and the official Yerevan is
working on "legally repairing" the document. What opportunities do you
see with the EU Association process to continue? - Since September 3,
there are processes going on that exclude the possibility of signing
the Association Agreement. Until then, Armenia, along with Georgia
and Moldova, had the same level of relations with the EU. Thus, the
Armenia-EU relations could be reached a qualitatively higher level
than the Azerbaijan-EU relations, which would have a positive impact
on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement and democratization
processes. Now, maximum, a declaration of declarative nature may
be signed. - On October 24, Armenia agreed to be abstained from any
statement or action contrary to the interests of the Customs Union,
which was endorsed in the memorandum on deepening of the relations
between Armenia and the Eurasian Economic Commission, signed in Minsk.
What are the implications of the aforesaid obligation for Armenia in
the correlations with other countries? - This issue a kind of covered
the previous question. The commitment assumed on October 24 also
excludes the possibility of signing the Association Agreement. First
of all, joining CU excludes the possibility of having a free trade
agreement with a country which is not a CU member. There might occur
complications related to freight rates and other issues. In addition,
it will be decided in Russia what an "action contrary to the interests
of the Customs Union" means, in other words, Armenia's sovereignty
becomes even more limited. The most dangerous matter is that negative
changes can occur in the relations with Iran and Georgia. And, at the
same time, Customs Union members do not assume any obligation to be
abstained from the actions contrary to the interests of Armenia. - In
general, what prospects and objective does Russia's recent intensive
integration policies pursue? What impact might the Russian integration
processes have in Armenia? - Russia pursues imperialistic, colonial
objectives, and at the same time, V. Putin is trying to strengthen his
personal power. A few weeks ago, the Government of Russia decided to
cut budget expenditures by 5 percent, moreover, drastic reductions are
foreseen in education, health and social sectors, while the military
and propaganda expenditures will increase. We need also to keep in
mind that the U.S. is reducing the imports of oil, and soon it will
begin exporting gas to Europe, and some European countries are getting
ready for shale gas industry. Given that Russia's export of energy
carriers provide more than half of the budget of Russia, significant
decline is very likely, and V. Putin is trying to strengthen his regime
by all means: censorship, control over e-messages, extraordinarily
cynical propaganda, strengthening of black-hundredists of orthodoxy,
and so on, and, of course, a "land collection," creation of an updated
version of the Soviet Union. Russia-centered integration process for
Armenia is more dangerous, because Armenia will lose the ability
of making decisions on their own on foreign policy; it will stop
being a subject in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement and in
the area of international relations, in general, and can become the
subject of regular Russian-Turkish transaction, or be used for other
purposes incurred from interests of Russia. Generally, joining the
Customs Union is a de facto annexation for Armenia. - Along with the
establishment of the Eurasian Union, Russia is taking steps to control
the military facilities of the post-Soviet states, recently announced
the CSTO Secretary General Nickolay Borduja. There were publications
in the media that the RF is strengthening the military base in Gyumri.
Is there a risk for Armenia in the context of Russian-Azerbaijani
cooperation on Karabakh issue? - Really, there are publications
that the RF is going to deploy helicopter and landing divisions,
probably, again at the expense of Armenian taxpayers. According to
Russian experts, this will enable Russian South Caucasian military
troops to conduct not only defensive but also offensive nature of
operations. A question arises, against whom? To the point, still a
month and a half ago, I have predicted the possibility of strengthening
the presence of Russian military in Armenia, and then increasing
the pressure over Georgia, and even the aggression. Ultimately,
Russia should try to prevent the continuation of the process of
Georgia's European integration, which will enable to control over the
entire South Caucasus region. In addition, it is vital for Russia
to establish control over the pipelines to provide the price rise
of energy carriers, and to maintain its own survival. As for the
Russian-Azerbaijani cooperation, indeed, the large-scale supply of
up-to-date weapons by Armenia's 'ally' is even more disturbing.
Especially when Azerbaijan is openly threatening the security of
Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. For comparison: South Korea refused
to sell weapons to Azerbaijan, even though the matter was about the
weapons that could not be used against Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh.
There are also other hazards in the context of Russia-Azerbaijan,
as well as Russian-Turkish cooperation with regard to vassal status
of Armenia and the possibility of becoming a subject of transaction.
Emma GABRIELYAN
Read more at: http://en.aravot.am/2013/11/05/162365/
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress