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Syria, Egypt Reveal Erdogan's 'Hidden Agenda'
http://www.aina.org/news/20131123122501.htm
Posted GMT 11-23-2013 18:25:1
The eruption of the Syrian conflict early in 2011 heralded the demise
of Turkey 's officially pronounced strategy of "Zero Problems with
Neighbors," but more importantly, it revealed a "hidden agenda" in
Turkish foreign policy under the government of Prime Minister Recep
Tayyip Erdogan.
What Sreeram Chaulia, the Dean of the Jindal School of International
Affairs in India 's Sonipat, described as a "creeping hidden agenda"
(http://rt.com on Sept. 15, 2013) is covered up ideologically as
"Islamist."
But in a more in-depth insight it is unfolding as neo-Ottomanism that
is pragmatically using "Islamization," both of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk's
legacy internally and Turkey 's foreign policy regionally, as a tool
to revive the Ottoman Empire that once was.
Invoking his country's former imperial grandeur, Foreign Minister
Ahmet Davotoglu had written: "As in the sixteenth century ... we will
once again make the Balkans, the Caucasus, and the Middle East,
together with Turkey , the center of world politics in the future.
That is the goal of Turkish foreign policy and we will achieve it."
(Emphasis added)
Quoted by Hillel Fradkin and Lewis Libby, writing in last March/April
edition of www.worldaffairsjournal.org, the goal of Erdogan's AKP
ruling party for 2023, as proclaimed by its recent Fourth General
Congress, is: "A great nation, a great power." Erdogan urged the youth
of Turkey to look not only to 2023, but to 2071 as well when Turkey
"will reach the level of our Ottoman and Seljuk ancestors by the year
2071" as he said in December last year.
"2071 will mark one thousand years since the Battle of Manzikert,"
when the Seljuk Turks defeated the Byzantine Empire and heralded the
advent of the Ottoman one, according to Fradkin and Libby.
Some six months ago, Davotoglu felt so confident and optimistic to
assess that "it was now finally possible to revise the order imposed"
by the British -- French Sykes-Picot Agreement of 1916 to divide the
Arab legacy of the Ottoman Empire between them.
Davotoglu knows very well that Pan-Arabs have been ever since
struggling unsuccessfully so far to unite as a nation and discard the
legacy of the Sykes-Picot Agreement, but not to recur to the Ottoman
status quo ante, but he knows as well that Islamist political
movements like the Muslim Brotherhood International (MBI) and the Hizb
ut-Tahrir al-Islami (Islamic Party of Liberation) were originally
founded in Egypt and Palestine respectively in response to the
collapse of the Ottoman Islamic caliphate.
However, Erdogan's Islamist credentials cannot be excluded as simply a
sham; his background, his practices in office since 2002 as well as
his regional policies since the eruption of the Syrian conflict less
than three years ago all reveal that he does believe in his version of
Islam per se as the right tool to pursue his Ottoman not so-"hidden
agenda."
Erdogan obviously is seeking to recruit Muslims as merely "soldiers"
who will fight not for Islam per se, but for his neo-Ottomanism
ambitions. Early enough in December 1997, he was given a 10-month
prison sentence for voicing a poem that read: "The mosques are our
barracks, the domes our helmets, the minarets our bayonets and the
faithful our soldiers;" the poem was considered a violation of
Kemalism by the secular judiciary.
Deceiving 'Window of Opportunity '
However, Erdogan's Machiavellianism finds no contradiction between his
Islamist outreach and his promotion of the "Turkish model," which
sells what is termed as the "moderate" Sunni Islam within the context
of Ataturk's secular and liberal state as both an alternative to the
conservative tribal-religious states in the Arabian Peninsula and to
the sectarian rival of the conservative Shiite theocracy in Iran.
He perceived in the latest US withdrawal of focus from the Middle East
towards the Pacific Ocean a resulting regional power vacuum providing
him with an historic window of opportunity to fill the perceived
vacuum.
"Weakening of Europe and the US' waning influence in the Middle East"
were seen by the leadership of Erdogan's ruling party "as a new chance
to establish Turkey as an influential player in the region," Günter
Seufert wrote in the German Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) on
last October 14.
The US and Israel , in earnest to recruit Turkey against Iran ,
nurtured Erdogan's illusion of regional leadership. He deluded himself
with the unrealistic belief that Turkey could stand up to and sidestep
the rising stars of the emerging Russian international polar, the
emerging Iranian regional polar and the traditional regional players
of Egypt and Saudi Arabia , let alone Iraq and Syria should they
survive their current internal strife.
For sure, his allies in the Muslim Brotherhood International (MBI) and
his thinly veiled Machiavellian logistical support of al-Qaeda --
linked terrorist organizations are not and will not be a counter
balance.
He first focused his Arab outreach on promoting the "Turkish model,"
especially during the early months of the so-called "Arab Spring," as
the example he hoped will be followed by the revolting masses, which
would have positioned him in the place of the regional mentor and
leader.
But while the eruption of the Syrian conflict compelled him to reveal
his Islamist "hidden agenda" and his alliance with the MBI, the
removal of MBI last July from power in Egypt with all its geopolitical
weight, supported by the other regional Arab heavy weight of Saudi
Arabia, took him off guard and dispelled his ambitions for regional
leadership, but more importantly revealed more his neo-Ottoman "hidden
agenda" and pushed him to drop all the secular and liberal pretensions
of his "Turkish model" rhetoric.
'Arab Idol' No More
Erdogan and his foreign policy engineer Davotoglu tried as well to
exploit the Arab and Muslim adoption of the Palestine Question as the
central item on their foreign policy agendas.
Since Erdogan's encounter with the Israeli President Shimon Peres at
the Economic Summit in Davos in January 2009, the Israeli attack on
the Turkish humanitarian aid boat to Gaza, Mavi Marmara, the next year
and Turkey's courting of the Islamic Resistance Movement "Hamas," the
de facto rulers of the Israeli besieged Palestinian Gaza Strip, at the
same time Gaza was targeted by the Israeli Operation Cast Lead in
2008-2009 then targeted again in the Israeli Operation Pillar of
Defense in 2012, Turkey's premier became the Arab idol who was invited
to attend Arab Leage summit and ministerial meetings.
However, in interviews with ResearchTurkey, CNN Turk and other media
outlets, Abdullatif Sener, a founder of Erdogan's AKP party who served
as deputy prime minister and minister of finance in successive AKP
governments for about seven years before he broke out with Erdogan in
2008, highlighted Erdogan's Machiavellianism and questioned the
sincerity and credibility of his Islamic, Palestinian and Arab public
posturing.
"Erdogan acts without considering religion even at some basic issues
but he hands down sharp religious messages ... I consider the AK Party
not as an Islamic party but as a party which collect votes by using
Islamic discourses," Sener said, adding that, "the role in Middle East
was assigned to him" and "the strongest logistic support" to Islamists
who have "been carrying out terrorist activities" in Syria "is
provided by Turkey" of Erdogan.
In an interview with CNN Turk, Sener dropped a bombshell when he
pointed out that the AKP's spat with Israel was "controlled." During
the diplomatic boycott of Israel many tenders were granted to Israeli
companies and Turkey has agreed to grant partner status to Israel in
NATO: "If the concern of the AKP is to confront Israel then why do
they serve to the benefit of Israel ?" In another interview he said
that the NATO radar systems installed in Malatya are there to protect
Israel against Iran .
Sener argued that the biggest winner of the collapse of the Syrian
government of President Bashar al-Assad would be Israel because it
will weaken Lebanon 's Hizbullah and Iran , yet Erdogan's Turkey is
the most ardent supporter of a regime change in Syria , he said.
Erdogan's Syrian policy was the death knell to his strategy of "Zero
Problems with Neighbors;" the bloody terrorist swamp of the Syrian
conflict has drowned it in its quicksand.
Liz Sly's story in the Washington Post on this November 17 highlighted
how his Syrian policies "have gone awry" and counterproductive by
"putting al-Qaeda on NATO's (Turkish) borders for the first time."
With his MBI alliance, he alienated Egypt , Saudi Arabia and the UAE,
in addition to the other Arab heavy weights of Syria , Iraq and
Algeria and was left with "zero friends" in the region.
According to Günter Seufert, Turkey 's overall foreign policy, not
only with regards to Syria , "has hit the brick wall" because the
leadership of Erdogan's ruling party "has viewed global political
shifts through an ideologically (i.e. Islamist) tinted lens."
Backpedaling too late
Now it seems Erdogan's " Turkey is already carefully backpedaling" on
its foreign policy," said Seufert. It "wants to reconnect" with Iran
and " Washington 's request to end support for radical groups in Syria
did not fall on deaf Turkish ears."
"Reconnecting" with Iran and its Iraqi ruling sectarian brethren will
alienate further the Saudis who could not tolerate similar
reconnection by their historical and strategic US ally and who were
already furious over Erdogan's alliance with the Qatari financed and
US sponsored Muslim Brotherhood and did not hesitate to publicly risk
a rift with their US ally over the removal of the MBI from power in
Egypt five months ago.
Within this context came Davotoglu's recent visit to Baghdad , which
"highlighted the need for great cooperation between Turkey and Iraq
against the Sunni-Shiite conflict," according to www.turkishweekly.net
on this November 13. Moreover, he "personally" wanted "to spend the
month of Muharram every year in (the Iraqi Shiite holy places of)
Karbala and Najaf with our (Shiite) brothers there."
Within the same "backpedaling" context came Erdogan's playing the host
last week to the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government,
Massoud Barzani, not in Ankara , but in Diyarbakir , which Turkish
Kurds cherish as their capital in the same way Iraqi Kurds cherish
Kirkuk .
However, on the same day of Barzani's visit Erdogan ruled out the
possibility of granting Turkish Kurds their universal right of
self-determination when he announced "Islamic brotherhood" as the
solution for the Kurdish ethnic conflict in Turkey , while his deputy,
Bulent Arinc, announced that "a general amnesty" for Kurdish detainees
"is not on today's agenda." Three days earlier, on this November 15,
Turkish President Abdullah Gul said, "Turkey cannot permit (the) fait
accompli" of declaring a Kurdish provisional self-rule along its
southern borders in Syria which his prime minister's counterproductive
policies created together with an al-Qaeda-dominated northeastern
strip of Syrian land.
Erdogan's neo-Ottomanism charged by his Islamist sectarian ideology as
a tool has backfired to alienate both Sunni and Shiite regional
environment, the Syrian, Iraqi, Egyptian, Emirati, Saudi and Lebanese
Arabs, Kurds, Armenians, Israelis and Iranians as well as Turkish and
regional liberals and secularists. His foreign policy is in shambles
with a heavy economic price as shown by the recent 13.2% devaluation
of the Turkish lira against the US dollar.
"Backpedaling" might be too late to get Erdogan and his party through
the upcoming local elections next March and the presidential elections
which will follow in August next year.
By Nicola Nasser
http://en.ammonnews.net
http://www.aina.org/news/20131123122501.htm
Posted GMT 11-23-2013 18:25:1
The eruption of the Syrian conflict early in 2011 heralded the demise
of Turkey 's officially pronounced strategy of "Zero Problems with
Neighbors," but more importantly, it revealed a "hidden agenda" in
Turkish foreign policy under the government of Prime Minister Recep
Tayyip Erdogan.
What Sreeram Chaulia, the Dean of the Jindal School of International
Affairs in India 's Sonipat, described as a "creeping hidden agenda"
(http://rt.com on Sept. 15, 2013) is covered up ideologically as
"Islamist."
But in a more in-depth insight it is unfolding as neo-Ottomanism that
is pragmatically using "Islamization," both of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk's
legacy internally and Turkey 's foreign policy regionally, as a tool
to revive the Ottoman Empire that once was.
Invoking his country's former imperial grandeur, Foreign Minister
Ahmet Davotoglu had written: "As in the sixteenth century ... we will
once again make the Balkans, the Caucasus, and the Middle East,
together with Turkey , the center of world politics in the future.
That is the goal of Turkish foreign policy and we will achieve it."
(Emphasis added)
Quoted by Hillel Fradkin and Lewis Libby, writing in last March/April
edition of www.worldaffairsjournal.org, the goal of Erdogan's AKP
ruling party for 2023, as proclaimed by its recent Fourth General
Congress, is: "A great nation, a great power." Erdogan urged the youth
of Turkey to look not only to 2023, but to 2071 as well when Turkey
"will reach the level of our Ottoman and Seljuk ancestors by the year
2071" as he said in December last year.
"2071 will mark one thousand years since the Battle of Manzikert,"
when the Seljuk Turks defeated the Byzantine Empire and heralded the
advent of the Ottoman one, according to Fradkin and Libby.
Some six months ago, Davotoglu felt so confident and optimistic to
assess that "it was now finally possible to revise the order imposed"
by the British -- French Sykes-Picot Agreement of 1916 to divide the
Arab legacy of the Ottoman Empire between them.
Davotoglu knows very well that Pan-Arabs have been ever since
struggling unsuccessfully so far to unite as a nation and discard the
legacy of the Sykes-Picot Agreement, but not to recur to the Ottoman
status quo ante, but he knows as well that Islamist political
movements like the Muslim Brotherhood International (MBI) and the Hizb
ut-Tahrir al-Islami (Islamic Party of Liberation) were originally
founded in Egypt and Palestine respectively in response to the
collapse of the Ottoman Islamic caliphate.
However, Erdogan's Islamist credentials cannot be excluded as simply a
sham; his background, his practices in office since 2002 as well as
his regional policies since the eruption of the Syrian conflict less
than three years ago all reveal that he does believe in his version of
Islam per se as the right tool to pursue his Ottoman not so-"hidden
agenda."
Erdogan obviously is seeking to recruit Muslims as merely "soldiers"
who will fight not for Islam per se, but for his neo-Ottomanism
ambitions. Early enough in December 1997, he was given a 10-month
prison sentence for voicing a poem that read: "The mosques are our
barracks, the domes our helmets, the minarets our bayonets and the
faithful our soldiers;" the poem was considered a violation of
Kemalism by the secular judiciary.
Deceiving 'Window of Opportunity '
However, Erdogan's Machiavellianism finds no contradiction between his
Islamist outreach and his promotion of the "Turkish model," which
sells what is termed as the "moderate" Sunni Islam within the context
of Ataturk's secular and liberal state as both an alternative to the
conservative tribal-religious states in the Arabian Peninsula and to
the sectarian rival of the conservative Shiite theocracy in Iran.
He perceived in the latest US withdrawal of focus from the Middle East
towards the Pacific Ocean a resulting regional power vacuum providing
him with an historic window of opportunity to fill the perceived
vacuum.
"Weakening of Europe and the US' waning influence in the Middle East"
were seen by the leadership of Erdogan's ruling party "as a new chance
to establish Turkey as an influential player in the region," Günter
Seufert wrote in the German Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) on
last October 14.
The US and Israel , in earnest to recruit Turkey against Iran ,
nurtured Erdogan's illusion of regional leadership. He deluded himself
with the unrealistic belief that Turkey could stand up to and sidestep
the rising stars of the emerging Russian international polar, the
emerging Iranian regional polar and the traditional regional players
of Egypt and Saudi Arabia , let alone Iraq and Syria should they
survive their current internal strife.
For sure, his allies in the Muslim Brotherhood International (MBI) and
his thinly veiled Machiavellian logistical support of al-Qaeda --
linked terrorist organizations are not and will not be a counter
balance.
He first focused his Arab outreach on promoting the "Turkish model,"
especially during the early months of the so-called "Arab Spring," as
the example he hoped will be followed by the revolting masses, which
would have positioned him in the place of the regional mentor and
leader.
But while the eruption of the Syrian conflict compelled him to reveal
his Islamist "hidden agenda" and his alliance with the MBI, the
removal of MBI last July from power in Egypt with all its geopolitical
weight, supported by the other regional Arab heavy weight of Saudi
Arabia, took him off guard and dispelled his ambitions for regional
leadership, but more importantly revealed more his neo-Ottoman "hidden
agenda" and pushed him to drop all the secular and liberal pretensions
of his "Turkish model" rhetoric.
'Arab Idol' No More
Erdogan and his foreign policy engineer Davotoglu tried as well to
exploit the Arab and Muslim adoption of the Palestine Question as the
central item on their foreign policy agendas.
Since Erdogan's encounter with the Israeli President Shimon Peres at
the Economic Summit in Davos in January 2009, the Israeli attack on
the Turkish humanitarian aid boat to Gaza, Mavi Marmara, the next year
and Turkey's courting of the Islamic Resistance Movement "Hamas," the
de facto rulers of the Israeli besieged Palestinian Gaza Strip, at the
same time Gaza was targeted by the Israeli Operation Cast Lead in
2008-2009 then targeted again in the Israeli Operation Pillar of
Defense in 2012, Turkey's premier became the Arab idol who was invited
to attend Arab Leage summit and ministerial meetings.
However, in interviews with ResearchTurkey, CNN Turk and other media
outlets, Abdullatif Sener, a founder of Erdogan's AKP party who served
as deputy prime minister and minister of finance in successive AKP
governments for about seven years before he broke out with Erdogan in
2008, highlighted Erdogan's Machiavellianism and questioned the
sincerity and credibility of his Islamic, Palestinian and Arab public
posturing.
"Erdogan acts without considering religion even at some basic issues
but he hands down sharp religious messages ... I consider the AK Party
not as an Islamic party but as a party which collect votes by using
Islamic discourses," Sener said, adding that, "the role in Middle East
was assigned to him" and "the strongest logistic support" to Islamists
who have "been carrying out terrorist activities" in Syria "is
provided by Turkey" of Erdogan.
In an interview with CNN Turk, Sener dropped a bombshell when he
pointed out that the AKP's spat with Israel was "controlled." During
the diplomatic boycott of Israel many tenders were granted to Israeli
companies and Turkey has agreed to grant partner status to Israel in
NATO: "If the concern of the AKP is to confront Israel then why do
they serve to the benefit of Israel ?" In another interview he said
that the NATO radar systems installed in Malatya are there to protect
Israel against Iran .
Sener argued that the biggest winner of the collapse of the Syrian
government of President Bashar al-Assad would be Israel because it
will weaken Lebanon 's Hizbullah and Iran , yet Erdogan's Turkey is
the most ardent supporter of a regime change in Syria , he said.
Erdogan's Syrian policy was the death knell to his strategy of "Zero
Problems with Neighbors;" the bloody terrorist swamp of the Syrian
conflict has drowned it in its quicksand.
Liz Sly's story in the Washington Post on this November 17 highlighted
how his Syrian policies "have gone awry" and counterproductive by
"putting al-Qaeda on NATO's (Turkish) borders for the first time."
With his MBI alliance, he alienated Egypt , Saudi Arabia and the UAE,
in addition to the other Arab heavy weights of Syria , Iraq and
Algeria and was left with "zero friends" in the region.
According to Günter Seufert, Turkey 's overall foreign policy, not
only with regards to Syria , "has hit the brick wall" because the
leadership of Erdogan's ruling party "has viewed global political
shifts through an ideologically (i.e. Islamist) tinted lens."
Backpedaling too late
Now it seems Erdogan's " Turkey is already carefully backpedaling" on
its foreign policy," said Seufert. It "wants to reconnect" with Iran
and " Washington 's request to end support for radical groups in Syria
did not fall on deaf Turkish ears."
"Reconnecting" with Iran and its Iraqi ruling sectarian brethren will
alienate further the Saudis who could not tolerate similar
reconnection by their historical and strategic US ally and who were
already furious over Erdogan's alliance with the Qatari financed and
US sponsored Muslim Brotherhood and did not hesitate to publicly risk
a rift with their US ally over the removal of the MBI from power in
Egypt five months ago.
Within this context came Davotoglu's recent visit to Baghdad , which
"highlighted the need for great cooperation between Turkey and Iraq
against the Sunni-Shiite conflict," according to www.turkishweekly.net
on this November 13. Moreover, he "personally" wanted "to spend the
month of Muharram every year in (the Iraqi Shiite holy places of)
Karbala and Najaf with our (Shiite) brothers there."
Within the same "backpedaling" context came Erdogan's playing the host
last week to the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government,
Massoud Barzani, not in Ankara , but in Diyarbakir , which Turkish
Kurds cherish as their capital in the same way Iraqi Kurds cherish
Kirkuk .
However, on the same day of Barzani's visit Erdogan ruled out the
possibility of granting Turkish Kurds their universal right of
self-determination when he announced "Islamic brotherhood" as the
solution for the Kurdish ethnic conflict in Turkey , while his deputy,
Bulent Arinc, announced that "a general amnesty" for Kurdish detainees
"is not on today's agenda." Three days earlier, on this November 15,
Turkish President Abdullah Gul said, "Turkey cannot permit (the) fait
accompli" of declaring a Kurdish provisional self-rule along its
southern borders in Syria which his prime minister's counterproductive
policies created together with an al-Qaeda-dominated northeastern
strip of Syrian land.
Erdogan's neo-Ottomanism charged by his Islamist sectarian ideology as
a tool has backfired to alienate both Sunni and Shiite regional
environment, the Syrian, Iraqi, Egyptian, Emirati, Saudi and Lebanese
Arabs, Kurds, Armenians, Israelis and Iranians as well as Turkish and
regional liberals and secularists. His foreign policy is in shambles
with a heavy economic price as shown by the recent 13.2% devaluation
of the Turkish lira against the US dollar.
"Backpedaling" might be too late to get Erdogan and his party through
the upcoming local elections next March and the presidential elections
which will follow in August next year.
By Nicola Nasser
http://en.ammonnews.net