Tweet
Back-Up Scenario Will Be Used For Armenia
One way or another, even despite the interests of some European
circles, the domestic and economic problems of the United States
allowed the EU to try to occupy the niche in foreign policy where if
not vacuum but more or less favorable arena for initiatives and
actions will form.
However close and agreed the relations between the Americans and
Europeans were, as currently the interests are maximum in line, the
existence of two global geopolitical poles determines competition and
divergent interests. However, neither competition, nor rivalry is
concerned but the intentions of Europe to launch a new and more active
policy on the international arena which is determined not only by
political ambitions but also the dream to gain new foreign political
possibilities, including in the security sphere.
Lowered level of responsibility of the United States for several
regions and its focus on Asia Pacific is a global project that has
been fully agreed with the leading European states, which consists in
a division of the areas of influence and is time bound. This is a
historical period of global redistribution of influence, and this is
primarily determined by the relations between the United States and
China but not with other great powers.
Understanding this perspective, Russia perceives it as not so
favorable and is trying to make a lounge into some regions since the
upcoming political blockade and isolation of Russia is quite obvious.
The Western society will carry out this task as efficiently as the
analogical plan on Turkey whose foreign policy model Russia has
copied. It is not ruled out that the neo-Ottoman and neo-Eurasian
doctrines have initiated from the same think-tank of
pseudo-geopolitical plans.
The absolutely meaningless and unacceptable turn - the announcement of
the president of Armenia about the Customs Union - triggered
mobilization of political resources in Europe and the United States
because it was demonstrated how dangerous the policy of a collapsing
but nuclear state is. The Europeans were given another chance to
pretend that they did not understand that expanded influence on the
South Caucasus supposes guarantees of security for the countries of
the region, at least partial.
An opportunity has opened up to use not only the `fresh topic' because
the `Georgian topic' is outdated, especially that the `Armenian topic'
is linked not only to Russia but also Turkey. The Europeans have
overcome the shock and understood that Russia's concession questions
the expectations of the European Union for sovereign geopolitics and
demonstrates futility of a balanced dialogue with the United States.
Besides, isolation will intensify within the European Union, and
arguments for refraining from a confrontation with Russia will be
used. The High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and
Security Policy Madam Ashton has taken care about starting to collect
and process information on the Customs Union. Obviously, the EU will
not be interested in the development of this weird entity.
How about the U.S. policy on regional issues? The United States will
`hand over' Central Asia but how and to whom? Over the past decade the
term `Central Asia' is applied in the American and European political
toponymy which has caused confusion of notions. Apparently, Central
Asia will denote what used to be referred to as Middle Asia in the
Soviet Union, not the South Caucasus.
Post-Soviet Central Asia has been divided, and the South Caucasus is
viewed as part of Europe. Is it naïve? Most probably, it is but in set
terms. The United States will `hand over' Central Asia to China taking
into consideration the fact but even in this situation there are
agreements between the United States and China or at least
understanding has been achieved that despite the existence of SCO and
other empty talks China will not share responsibility for the region
with Russia and will boost independence of these states from Russia.
In fact, the Americans only confirmed China's intentions. Hence,
within the framework of the policy of global containment of China
Central Asia is viewed as an area of Chinese influence with some
matching interests. The Americans have been thinking on a capacity for
the SCO and came to the conclusion that nothing special should be
undertaken because any framework would strengthen China and weaken
Russia in Eurasia. It turns out that global containment first of all
supposes a policy on Southeast Asia, the Pacific and the Far East, not
Eurasia where China could act as a partner to the United States in
reacting to threats.
At present, the EU security policy cannot go without integration of
the South Caucasus and NATO's strengthening in the Black Sea, Caucasus
and Mediterranean region. Currently the fight for Ukraine is underway,
and the West is ready for a lot of compromises and concessions to
Ukraine, including different political parties and forces in this
country but not Russia. Apart from the direct objectives, Ukraine is
considered as a locomotive for other states of Eastern Europe towards
EU integration. In addition, the sad experience of GUAM is taken into
account.
The Euro-Atlantic community made a mistake and did not use two
`independent mechanisms' - NATO and the EU - in parallel. These two
structures should act together. Attempts will be made for the
integration of Eastern European states in an alliance without
reviewing constitutional provisions and adopting new policies. In the
language of concrete military circles, in this real political
situation the armed forces of the Eastern European countries could be
included in NATO without affiliation of these countries with NATO.
No doubt, having exercised its dirty dictate towards Armenia, Russia
will not be better off than before, and the policy of geopolitical
blockade of Russia will intensify, leading the country to another
round of international misery. The upcoming developments in the Near
and Middle East will illustrate this reality.
Igor Muradyan
16:36 19/10/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/politics/view/31138
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
One way or another, even despite the interests of some European
circles, the domestic and economic problems of the United States
allowed the EU to try to occupy the niche in foreign policy where if
not vacuum but more or less favorable arena for initiatives and
actions will form.
However close and agreed the relations between the Americans and
Europeans were, as currently the interests are maximum in line, the
existence of two global geopolitical poles determines competition and
divergent interests. However, neither competition, nor rivalry is
concerned but the intentions of Europe to launch a new and more active
policy on the international arena which is determined not only by
political ambitions but also the dream to gain new foreign political
possibilities, including in the security sphere.
Lowered level of responsibility of the United States for several
regions and its focus on Asia Pacific is a global project that has
been fully agreed with the leading European states, which consists in
a division of the areas of influence and is time bound. This is a
historical period of global redistribution of influence, and this is
primarily determined by the relations between the United States and
China but not with other great powers.
Understanding this perspective, Russia perceives it as not so
favorable and is trying to make a lounge into some regions since the
upcoming political blockade and isolation of Russia is quite obvious.
The Western society will carry out this task as efficiently as the
analogical plan on Turkey whose foreign policy model Russia has
copied. It is not ruled out that the neo-Ottoman and neo-Eurasian
doctrines have initiated from the same think-tank of
pseudo-geopolitical plans.
The absolutely meaningless and unacceptable turn - the announcement of
the president of Armenia about the Customs Union - triggered
mobilization of political resources in Europe and the United States
because it was demonstrated how dangerous the policy of a collapsing
but nuclear state is. The Europeans were given another chance to
pretend that they did not understand that expanded influence on the
South Caucasus supposes guarantees of security for the countries of
the region, at least partial.
An opportunity has opened up to use not only the `fresh topic' because
the `Georgian topic' is outdated, especially that the `Armenian topic'
is linked not only to Russia but also Turkey. The Europeans have
overcome the shock and understood that Russia's concession questions
the expectations of the European Union for sovereign geopolitics and
demonstrates futility of a balanced dialogue with the United States.
Besides, isolation will intensify within the European Union, and
arguments for refraining from a confrontation with Russia will be
used. The High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and
Security Policy Madam Ashton has taken care about starting to collect
and process information on the Customs Union. Obviously, the EU will
not be interested in the development of this weird entity.
How about the U.S. policy on regional issues? The United States will
`hand over' Central Asia but how and to whom? Over the past decade the
term `Central Asia' is applied in the American and European political
toponymy which has caused confusion of notions. Apparently, Central
Asia will denote what used to be referred to as Middle Asia in the
Soviet Union, not the South Caucasus.
Post-Soviet Central Asia has been divided, and the South Caucasus is
viewed as part of Europe. Is it naïve? Most probably, it is but in set
terms. The United States will `hand over' Central Asia to China taking
into consideration the fact but even in this situation there are
agreements between the United States and China or at least
understanding has been achieved that despite the existence of SCO and
other empty talks China will not share responsibility for the region
with Russia and will boost independence of these states from Russia.
In fact, the Americans only confirmed China's intentions. Hence,
within the framework of the policy of global containment of China
Central Asia is viewed as an area of Chinese influence with some
matching interests. The Americans have been thinking on a capacity for
the SCO and came to the conclusion that nothing special should be
undertaken because any framework would strengthen China and weaken
Russia in Eurasia. It turns out that global containment first of all
supposes a policy on Southeast Asia, the Pacific and the Far East, not
Eurasia where China could act as a partner to the United States in
reacting to threats.
At present, the EU security policy cannot go without integration of
the South Caucasus and NATO's strengthening in the Black Sea, Caucasus
and Mediterranean region. Currently the fight for Ukraine is underway,
and the West is ready for a lot of compromises and concessions to
Ukraine, including different political parties and forces in this
country but not Russia. Apart from the direct objectives, Ukraine is
considered as a locomotive for other states of Eastern Europe towards
EU integration. In addition, the sad experience of GUAM is taken into
account.
The Euro-Atlantic community made a mistake and did not use two
`independent mechanisms' - NATO and the EU - in parallel. These two
structures should act together. Attempts will be made for the
integration of Eastern European states in an alliance without
reviewing constitutional provisions and adopting new policies. In the
language of concrete military circles, in this real political
situation the armed forces of the Eastern European countries could be
included in NATO without affiliation of these countries with NATO.
No doubt, having exercised its dirty dictate towards Armenia, Russia
will not be better off than before, and the policy of geopolitical
blockade of Russia will intensify, leading the country to another
round of international misery. The upcoming developments in the Near
and Middle East will illustrate this reality.
Igor Muradyan
16:36 19/10/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/politics/view/31138
From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress