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EXPERT: UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN GEORGIA WILL CHANGE LITTLE
by David Stepanyan
ARMINFO
Friday, October 25, 12:28
October 27 presidential election in Georgia will change little.
Georgian Dream Party will, probably, win. United National Movement
and Nino Burjanadze's party will come the second and the third. Koba
Turmanidze, Director of the Caucasus Research Resources Center
(CRRC-Tbilisi) made such forecasts in an online interview with ArmInfo.
"The upcoming election is special for Georgia, at least, because of
two factors. First, Georgian Dream has no exclusive access to funds
and media outlets. Second, the political programs and ideologies matter
more than personality. These two factors are much more important than
the fight for the second place. Actually, the fight is going on for
the second place rather than for the victory, because the candidate
of the Georgian Dream Party will sure take the first place.
However, he may win in a second round," the expert said.
He said the given factor may change the balance between the political
forces in Georgia after upcoming resignation of Bidzina Ivanishvili.
If the prime minister leaves politics this year as he promised to do,
Georgian Dream will face difficulties with keeping the coalition and
stability in the country, Turmanidze said. According to the results of
public opinion polls, United National Movement has nearly no chances
for victory, while the nationals can claim the second place. At the
same time, he said, Nino Burjanadze's election program calls for snap
elections and she will strive for that irrespective of the outcome
of the presidential election.
"I think that in this case, her second place is less probable. She
will be using the total number of the votes in her favor, especially
those of Tbilisi voters. If her votes are enough to turn her threats
of street protest into reality, Burjanadze will be more consistent
in her demands for snap elections," the Georgian expert said.
Joint online press conference of experts from various countries for
Armenian, Azerbaijani and Georgian mass media on the relevant problems
are organized within the project "Expansion of knowledge of Armenians
and Azerbaijanis about each other and confidence building through
first-hand information". The project of the "Region" Research Center
(Armenia) and Peace and Democracy Institute (Azerbaijan) is supported
by the British Embassies in Armenia and Azerbaijan.
From: Baghdasarian
by David Stepanyan
ARMINFO
Friday, October 25, 12:28
October 27 presidential election in Georgia will change little.
Georgian Dream Party will, probably, win. United National Movement
and Nino Burjanadze's party will come the second and the third. Koba
Turmanidze, Director of the Caucasus Research Resources Center
(CRRC-Tbilisi) made such forecasts in an online interview with ArmInfo.
"The upcoming election is special for Georgia, at least, because of
two factors. First, Georgian Dream has no exclusive access to funds
and media outlets. Second, the political programs and ideologies matter
more than personality. These two factors are much more important than
the fight for the second place. Actually, the fight is going on for
the second place rather than for the victory, because the candidate
of the Georgian Dream Party will sure take the first place.
However, he may win in a second round," the expert said.
He said the given factor may change the balance between the political
forces in Georgia after upcoming resignation of Bidzina Ivanishvili.
If the prime minister leaves politics this year as he promised to do,
Georgian Dream will face difficulties with keeping the coalition and
stability in the country, Turmanidze said. According to the results of
public opinion polls, United National Movement has nearly no chances
for victory, while the nationals can claim the second place. At the
same time, he said, Nino Burjanadze's election program calls for snap
elections and she will strive for that irrespective of the outcome
of the presidential election.
"I think that in this case, her second place is less probable. She
will be using the total number of the votes in her favor, especially
those of Tbilisi voters. If her votes are enough to turn her threats
of street protest into reality, Burjanadze will be more consistent
in her demands for snap elections," the Georgian expert said.
Joint online press conference of experts from various countries for
Armenian, Azerbaijani and Georgian mass media on the relevant problems
are organized within the project "Expansion of knowledge of Armenians
and Azerbaijanis about each other and confidence building through
first-hand information". The project of the "Region" Research Center
(Armenia) and Peace and Democracy Institute (Azerbaijan) is supported
by the British Embassies in Armenia and Azerbaijan.
From: Baghdasarian