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  • Lengthy Endurance Partnership

    LENGTHY ENDURANCE PARTNERSHIP

    Rossiyskaya Gazeta , Russia
    Oct 25 2013

    by Valeriy Vyzhutovich

    The third international At the Foot of Mount Ararat media forum has
    been held in Yerevan.

    Approximately 40 chief editors and senior journalists from Germany,
    France, Spain, Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, and Moldavia, including
    Rossiyskaya Gazeta's political correspondent, took part. The main
    topics of the debate, in which Prime Minister Tigran Sarkisyan was
    given the floor, were "Armenia: Partnership for the Future" and "Role
    of the News Media in the Modern World". The group of participants in
    the forum was received by President Serzh Sargsyan. He conversed with
    the guests about Armenia's relations with neighbouring states and its
    prospects following membership of the Customs Union and also about
    whether it is not losing the respect of the world community owing to
    its close cooperation with Iran.

    In their dialogues with the journalists the president and premier
    particularly underscored Russia's role in the life of Armenia
    and expressed hope for the continued consolidation of strategic
    partnership.

    Why is Armenia so attached to Russia? And is this a long-term
    attachment?

    Armenia is being kept from a reorientation towards the West by the
    allied relations with Russia and geopolitical requirements.

    "Where would it go" -this the first thing Russian experts say when
    they are asked whether Armenia will turn its back on Russia in
    the example of Georgia or Moldavia, say. Truly, the coincidence of
    geopolitical interests in a changed world brought Russia and Armenia
    to the level of strategic partnership. Armenia in the Transcaucasus
    region is the sole country whose relations with Russia leave nothing
    to be desired. Moreover, Armenia is the sole country connected to
    Russia by relations of a defence alliance. And the sole country which
    expresses no desire for the removal of the Russian military bases from
    its territory, on the contrary, it is insisting on a reinforcement
    of the Russian military force contingent.

    What is compelling Armenia today to be a loyal Russian partner needs
    no lengthy explanation. It has strained relations with Turkey, which
    is unwilling to acknowledge its historical blame for the genocide of
    Armenians. It has a chronic conflict with Azerbaijan over Nagornyy
    Karabakh. This is why it not only does not object to the Russian
    military and border presence but considers it an important factor of
    its national security. In turn, Russia also, whose positions in the
    Transcaucasus have weakened noticeably, needs a dependable outpost
    here. The legal structure of Russo-Armenian relations amounts to more
    than 160 documents, including a friendship, cooperation, and mutual
    assistance treaty. But for full satisfaction with the partnership
    Armenia lacks not new political documents and not additional pieces
    of military equipment at Russia's military bases. It lacks more
    fundamental economic ties. For example, the trade balance constantly
    skews in favour of Russia. Fuel, uncut natural diamonds, products
    of aluminium industry, machinery, and equipment are invariably
    preponderant in the structure of Russian exports. Armenian exports
    also are traditional -foodstuffs and wine and cognac. The number of
    enterprises and detached subdivisions with Russian capital in Armenia
    is approximately 1,300. Their proportion in the total number of
    enterprises with the participation of foreign capital is 27.6 per cent.

    Without mutual economic interest, military-technical cooperation
    between Russia and Armenia could weaken. If there's no interaction in
    business, little will eventuate in the military sphere either. Thus
    far it is doing. But it should not be thought that this will go on
    forever. Turkey is eager to become a part of Europe, Armenia also.

    Sooner or later, their European interests will coincide, and relations
    between them will be repaired. It is not inconceivable that Turkey
    will set as a condition of normalization the withdrawal of the
    Russian troops.

    Nor should we consider Armenia an eternal transport dead end and for
    this reason exaggerate its dependence on Russian energy resources.

    Gazprom spokesmen maintain that Armenia cannot be a transit country.

    "Why not? There is the Iranian sector," Armen Darbinyan, principal
    of the Russo-Armenian (Slav) State University, says. "In addition, we
    will one day secure the opening of the Armenian-Turkish border. With
    the help of the United States or Europe. But if we do so without
    Russia's participation, this will be for it a serious failure and
    will result in a loss of influence in the regiona~@¦. Let's give
    thought to genuine integration. It is lacking at this time. There
    is not even a distinct ideology of cooperation. We need to forswear
    cliches and understand that there is to Russo-Armenian relations in
    their present format an alternative."

    Such assertions may be disputed. But they have to be heeded. Because
    there are things that are obvious. For examplea~@¦. Although Armenia
    remains in the sphere of Russian influence, this is not preventing
    it cooperating with NATO within the Partnership for Peace programme.

    Armenia has thus far been held back from a total reorientation towards
    the West -and there undoubtedly is such a desire -by the two centuries
    of allied relations with Russia and geopolitical requirements of the
    moment. It is only this that is preventing it taking decisive steps
    in accommodation of the North Atlantic alliance.

    The American presence in Armenia is not yet dominant. But it could
    become such unless Russia responds to the new world challenges in a
    region of strategic importance to it.

    [Translated from Russian]

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