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BAKU: Crisis Group Warns Against Escalation Of Violence Over Karabak

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  • BAKU: Crisis Group Warns Against Escalation Of Violence Over Karabak

    CRISIS GROUP WARNS AGAINST ESCALATION OF VIOLENCE OVER KARABAKH CONFLICT

    AzerNews, Azerbaijan
    Sept 26 2013

    26 September 2013, 18:34 (GMT+05:00)

    By Sara Rajabova

    The international Crisis Group has recently prepared a report on the
    Armenian-Azerbaijani Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

    "Confrontation, low-intensity but volatile, between Armenia and
    Azerbaijan has entered a period of heightened sensitivity," the
    report said.

    According to the report, the peace talks on Nagorno-Karabakh bogged
    down in 2011, which lead to strident rhetoric.

    The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict emerged in 1988 when Armenia made
    territorial claims against Azerbaijan. Since a lengthy war in the early
    1990s that displaced over one million Azerbaijanis, Armenian armed
    forces have occupied over 20 percent of Azerbaijan's internationally
    recognized territory, including Nagorno-Karabakh and seven adjacent
    regions.

    "An immediate concern is military miscalculation, because their
    consequences will be quite dangerous, as the South Caucasus, a region
    where big powers compete for influence, is now also a major energy
    corridor. Vigorous international engagement is needed to lessen chances
    of violent escalation during coming weeks and months," the report said.

    According to the authors, the strong and coordinated international
    pressure needed to break the diplomatic deadlock is lacking.

    "There is scepticism in both capitals, as well as among
    third-countries, that the officially designated mediators from the
    OSCE Minsk Group - led by Russia, the U.S. and France - can deliver
    results," the report said.

    Recall that peace talks, through the OSCE Minsk Group, are underway
    on the basis of a peace outline proposed by the Minsk Group co-chairs
    and dubbed the Madrid Principles. The negotiations have been largely
    fruitless so far.

    The report authors criticized the arms supplies to the sides of the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

    The report also included the recommendation for the reducing tension
    and settlement of the conflict.

    According to the authors, diplomacy by the Minsk Group co-chairs, the
    European Union (EU) and others should be accompanied by international
    engagement highlighting the risk of miscalculations and the huge
    costs for both sides of resumed hostilities.

    It also said intensified regular contacts as well as meetings between
    ministers and parliamentarians can help in this regard.

    Furthermore, the report said that as a modest confidence builder,
    Armenia and Azerbaijan should step up efforts via the International
    Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) to address prisoner of war issues.

    Finally, according to the authors, Russia, which is highly influential
    in all aspects of the conflict, should act more decisively to broker
    an agreement.

    The document authors believe that Moscow should announce a suspension
    of arms supplies to both sides. Other suppliers, including South
    Korea and Israel, should be encouraged to do the same, the report said.

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