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The Two EUs Race To The Finish In The Caucasus

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  • The Two EUs Race To The Finish In The Caucasus

    THE TWO EUS RACE TO THE FINISH IN THE CAUCASUS

    EurasiaNet.org
    April 17 2014

    April 17, 2014 - 10:33am, by Giorgi Lomsadze

    Armenia may now sign on to the Moscow-led Eurasian Union by the end
    of April, roughly a month before neighboring Georgia is slated to
    enter a free-trade and political pact with the European Union. The
    signings of both agreements have been expedited as the competition
    for the South Caucasus picks up speed between Russia and Europe.

    Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan is scheduled to travel to Belarus
    on April 29 for a meeting of the council of the Eurasian Union,
    an economic bloc roughly modeled by Moscow after (and against)
    the European Union. Armenian officials say that Sargsyan will sign
    an agreement in Minsk on Armenia's joining the Customs Union, the
    flagship project of the Eurasian Union meant to create a shared
    economic space for Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and, Moscow hopes,
    more ex-Soviet states.

    The new sign-on date is not a huge difference from the earlier deadline
    of May, but, apparently, as East-West ties deteriorate over Ukraine,
    someone feels the need to pick up the pace.

    Wary of Ukraine-style pressure from Russia, the EU chiefs have been
    trying to fast-forward their plans with Georgia and Moldova. Jose
    Manuel Borroso, the president of the European Commission, the executive
    body of the EU, is expected in Tbilisi in June to sign an association
    agreement, which includes a free trade deal, with Georgia.

    Armenia chose the Eurasian Union over a closer association with the
    European Union, but Georgia has refused to have anything to do with
    this second "EU," which it sees as a plot to bring the Soviet Union
    back into business.

    Their respective EU choices -- European or Eurasian -- are likely
    to place Georgia and Armenia in an awkward place, though. Accession
    to competing economic projects is likely to complicate trade between
    the neighbors.

    Armenia will have to take on the shared export and import tariffs of
    the Custom Union, though Yerevan is negotiating exemptions.

    Free trade with the EU does not impose new trade duties on Georgia,
    but the country will need to comply with the EU's production-safety
    regulations, which are expected to result in higher prices on
    Georgian goods.

    The third South-Caucasus country, Azerbaijan, has opted to stay out
    of this EU rivalry. Unlike its natural resources-poor neighbors,
    Azerbaijan does not feel the need to align itself with any club to
    improve its economy. Oil and gas sales already are doing the trick.


    From: Baghdasarian
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