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Azerbaijan Achieved Its Goal: Two States Left In South Caucasus

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  • Azerbaijan Achieved Its Goal: Two States Left In South Caucasus

    Azerbaijan Achieved Its Goal: Two States Left In South Caucasus

    Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
    Comments - Saturday, 19 April 2014, 15:03


    Soon after September 3 Lragir.am wrote that the situation in the South
    Caucasus will change, and the United States and NATO, considering it
    meaningless to continue to develop relations with countries that have
    stopped being a subject in the South Caucasus, will realize the
    necessity to bid on Azerbaijan together with Georgia, of course.

    A vassal state located in the South Caucasus is not only unpleasant
    and useless but also poses danger as an enclosed Russian base. But
    then, in autumn, there was sensitivity of Europe, while the United
    States burnt the bridges with the Russian vassal. There were hopes for
    some interest in NATO to offer some obliging dialogue with the Russian
    vassal through the United States and other states that would save
    those relations.

    However, Maidan catalyzed the process and led the vassal states into
    explicit international isolation. A recent decision of NATO regarding
    cooperation with partners demonstrates that the United States and NATO
    have no reason to take care of the security of a hostile Russian
    vassal.

    In spring and summer 2013 Lragir.am tried to explain the meaning of
    the position of the United States and NATO on the problems of military
    cooperation between Turkey and Azerbaijan. The position of the United
    States and NATO was that of containment of the Turkish-Azerbaijani
    defense factor, and NATO thought that the Turkish-Azerbaijani
    agreement on mutual assistance and preparation of military forces are
    not legitimate from the point of view of both NATO and the UN.

    The United States and NATO occupied a watchful and critical position
    on this cooperation, as well as, in fact, threatened NATO policy in
    case of Turkish intervention in the South Caucasian armed conflict. In
    addition, a direct intervention of Turkey would be viewed by NATO as
    aggression with all the ensuing conclusions. Hence, NATO and the
    United States appeared to be a key factor of containment of Turkish
    intervention and escalation of a possible conflict.

    It is better to be beside NATO than against NATO or indifferent to the
    goals and objectives of the alliance. Now only memories are left from
    this situation. The community of experts does not have doubts that
    arrangements between Turkey and Azerbaijan in the sphere of defense
    have been agreed with the United States and NATO. It is so convincing
    and obvious that nobody denies.

    Over many years the United States conducted a policy of containment of
    Turkey in different regional directions, including in the South
    Caucasus but Russia's actions in Ukraine necessitated reanimation of
    Turkey's role as a partner of the United States and NATO in the Black
    Sea and the Caucasian region. Will it lead to normalization of
    relations between Turkey and the West? It is not easy to tell now but
    Turkish support to Azerbaijan is important to the United States and
    Europe, which is more than obvious and reprehensible.

    The United States could create a security `umbrella' under different
    impressions but when Russia openly demonstrates military expansion,
    one should use Turkey's services. In parallel to the South Caucasian
    objective, distracting Turkey's attention from the Near East was
    pursued, which is an important direction in the U.S. policy on the
    region.

    Turkey has obviously received a cart blanche in Syria and will not
    miss this chance, as well as other opportunities. Most importantly,
    however, the United States needs to cause a clash between Turkey and
    Russia in a large-scale geopolitical conflict. The South Caucasus
    would feel comfortable in a situation when the United States conducts
    a policy of `double containment' of Russia and Turkey. But to what
    extent will this policy be corrected and what new highlights will it
    have when vassal countries are crossed out of the list of partners and
    the South Caucasus consists of two states, Georgia and Azerbaijan?

    Now the new geopolitics in the South Caucasus is gaining features that
    were not imagined earlier, and this scenario will be progressing. The
    new geopolitics certainly concerns Georgia, but the main user of the
    new situation will be or already is Azerbaijan which has been waiting
    for the three components of international politics. The United States
    and NATO approved the Turkish-Azerbaijani military alliance, and it is
    legitimate from the point of view of and proceeding from the interests
    of the Western community. All the problems and claims of the Russian
    vassal have lost even the limited recognition, the Russian expansion
    towards Azerbaijan was recognized as a destructive policy and the West
    is ready to support it in resisting expansion.

    - See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32306#sthash.SA9T6sk1.dpuf



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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