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Lawrence Sheets: Any Further Escalation In Karabakh Conflict Zone Ri

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  • Lawrence Sheets: Any Further Escalation In Karabakh Conflict Zone Ri

    LAWRENCE SHEETS: ANY FURTHER ESCALATION IN KARABAKH CONFLICT ZONE RISKS SPILLOVER TO NEIGHBORING STATES

    by Nana Martirosyan

    http://www.arminfo.am/index.cfm?objectid=B88968A0-21F3-11E4-B51D0EB7C0D21663
    Tuesday, August 12, 11:38

    "Any further escalation risks spillover to neighboring states such
    as Georgia and would threaten to drag in Russia, Turkey and possibly
    Iran," Bloomberg writes citing Lawrence Sheets, an analyst on the
    Caucasus region and the author of "8 Pieces of Empire," a memoir that
    deals with the post-Soviet wars in the region.

    "The nature of the clashes is totally unprecedented," said Lawrence
    Sheets. "What has changed is that over the past weeks, we have seen
    the first instances of the use of high-caliber weapons, not just small
    arms as had previously often been the case. The verbal threats have
    also hit an unprecedented peak."

    "With all the current violent upheavals in the world, from Ukraine
    to Iraq and beyond, unfortunately some are not taking the current
    major escalation between Azerbaijan and Armenia seriously enough,"
    Sheets said. "This is a war, and we are now only a step away from any
    of the sides deciding to resort to the use of highly destructive and
    sophisticated missile systems they have acquired, capable of causing
    massive casualties and destruction."

    For his part, Thomas de Waal, senior associate at the Carnegie
    Endowment for International Peace in Washington, said by e-mail
    yesterday: "No way do they need a war in Karabakh. "Russia has a strong
    incentive in preventing a new conflict, as it would cause massive
    instability in its southern tier. It also has treaty obligations
    to defend Armenia militarily and would therefore also destroy its
    carefully developed relationship with Azerbaijan."

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