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  • Sergey Markedonov: Russia Starts 'Revamping' Only When It Feels A Th

    SERGEY MARKEDONOV: RUSSIA STARTS 'REVAMPING' ONLY WHEN IT FEELS A THREAT OF BEING OUSTED FROM THE FIELDS AND REGIONS OF ITS INTERESTS

    by David Stepanyan

    ARMINFO
    Thursday, August 14, 12:00

    It would be rather strangely if Moscow began "brushing out" the
    institutes that somehow ensure the status quo around the Karabakh
    conflict. That is why in Sochi the presidents did not mention any
    fundamentally new approach to the NK conflict's resolution that would
    somehow ran contrary to the renovated Madrid Principles. The remarks
    came from Sergey Markedonov, Associate Professor at the Russian State
    Humanitarian University, well-known political analyst, in an interview
    with ArmInfo.

    To recall, the trilateral meeting Sargsyan-Aliyev-Putin in Sochi on
    10 August was the initiative of the Russian leader. The sides agreed
    to continue the peace talks and defuse tensions in the conflict zone.

    "Anyway, the Russian president's rhetoric that reaffirmed the
    importance and inalterability of the existing international formats
    of the NK peace process means that Moscow does not seek to replay
    the Karabakh "game" in a radically new way. In the given case, it
    was nothing but pragmatism, considering that new formats may be very
    unpredictable. Considering the ongoing Ukrainian crisis, Russia is
    not interested in new challenges along its borders, the analyst said.

    Markedonov explains Moscow's efforts to minimize new risks with a
    desire to suspend the situation in Eurasia. According to him, Moscow
    starts 'revamping' only when it feels a threat of being ousted from
    the fields and regions of its interests, like it happened in Ossetia
    and Abkhazia. The West, specifically the USA, could easily use the
    Karabakh conflict as a precedent for other regions in Eurasia, if
    they viewed the Sochi meeting outcome in the sense of pragmatism.

    "Although it is difficult to say if the tripartite mediating body
    on the NK conflict will become permanent or not, it is obvious that
    the given format is again demanded, hardly replaceable and extremely
    needed," the analyst said for conclusion.

    Since 1992 the OSCE Minsk Group represented by co-chairs from Russia,
    U.S. and France has been mediating in resolution of the conflict
    unleashed by Azerbaijan in 1988. At present the peace process is
    based on the Madrid Principles suggested by the OSCE MG in 2007 in
    Madrid and renovated in 2009.


    From: Baghdasarian
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