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BAKU: Turkish-Russian Union: Armenia On Threshold Of Serious Unrest

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  • BAKU: Turkish-Russian Union: Armenia On Threshold Of Serious Unrest

    TURKISH-RUSSIAN UNION: ARMENIA ON THRESHOLD OF SERIOUS UNREST

    Trend, Azerbaijan
    Dec 19 2014

    19 December 2014, 22:20 (GMT+04:00)

    By Rufiz Hafizoglu - Trend:

    Anti-Russian sanctions, applied after the Crimean events by the West,
    also became in every sense a good chance for Turkey, along with the
    fact that they forced Moscow to shrink its economic grip and led to
    a sharp drop in the rate of the ruble.

    Ignoring the US and EU sanctions against Russia, representatives
    of Ankara declared that they would continue economic cooperation
    with Moscow.

    Although there are dark sides in the relationship of the parties
    regarding the Turkish Stream gas project, it can be seen that both
    sides are persistent in the implementation of this project.

    Numerous political events taking place in the region, sanctions
    against Russia, the attitude of the EU to Turkey gives grounds to
    say that the Moscow-Ankara union, which was once just a dream, is real.

    If this alliance is a necessity for Moscow, for Ankara the union
    is also a tough response to Europe, using the "human rights" and
    "freedom of thought" as a cover, along with the fact that it is the
    realization of economic interests.

    In fact, the rapprochement between Moscow and Ankara, which is
    considered a historic breakthrough, could have a serious repurcussions
    in the region.

    Speaking at his 10th annual press conference on Dec.18, Russian
    President Vladimir Putin said that Turkey and Russia have many common
    interests. He said the two countries have many coinciding regional
    interests, adding that it is impossible to resolve these issues
    without Turkey's participation.

    In reality, Putin's remarks prove the increasing regional influence
    of Turkey, which is a 'door of hope' for Moscow. The main unresolved
    regional issue is the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

    It is highly likely that the strengthening of the alliance between
    Ankara and Moscow will have a serious impact on the region and change
    of interests. The Russian alliance with Armenia, which seeks to mark
    the 100th anniversary of the 'Armenian genocide' this year, will be
    overshadowed for Moscow.

    Being seriously anxious about the rapprochement between the two
    countries, Armenia will have to turn to the West and the US in search
    of patrons and it cannot be ruled out that against the backdrop of the
    economic union between Ankara and Moscow, Yerevan will face serious
    political unrest.

    As a result of the political processes in the South Caucasus and the
    strengthening ties between Moscow and Ankara it looks like Armenia,
    which is the weakest player in the region, will be the losing party.

    In fact, Moscow is well aware that its alliance with Armenia will
    not save its crumbling economy; but more adversely, the crisis in
    the Russian economy is moreover "a sign of the end of the world" for
    Armenia. The effect of which has sent protestors into the streets of
    Yerevan demanding the government relieve the growing economic stress
    on the population by Dec. 23 or incur unforeseeable consequences.

    The economic crisis in Russia may also have an indirect effect on the
    Turkish market, although it is not as dangerous for Ankara as it is
    for Yerevan.

    Today, it is undeniable that along with strengthening of relations
    between Ankara and Moscow, and the Moscow-Yerevan relations receding
    into the background, the relations between Baku and Ankara stand at
    a high level still.

    Considering that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is a fundamental
    factor affecting the prosperity and economic growth in the region,
    I can say that the conflict's settlement will be a higher priority
    issue amid these current developments.

    Turkey, which has constantly supported the position and territorial
    integrity of Azerbaijan, will never take any action against the
    interests of Azerbaijan; no matter what course the improvement of
    relations between Ankara and Moscow may take.

    The fact that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is a national issue for
    Turkey and is a major impediment to stability in the region; it is
    one that Turkey has personal interest in seeing it removed from the
    list of frozen conflicts.

    http://en.trend.az/world/turkey/2345775.html

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