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  • EurasiaNet: Fall Of Oil Prices Hits Reserves Of Azerbaijan's Central

    EURASIANET: FALL OF OIL PRICES HITS RESERVES OF AZERBAIJAN'S CENTRAL BANK: AUTHORITIES HAVE NOT PREPARED PEOPLE FOR HARD TIMES

    19:47 23/12/2014 >> POLITICS

    With Brent crude oil, the benchmark for the oil market, now hovering
    around $60 a barrel, Baku might well have something to fear. In an
    interview with Russia's Rossiya-24 TV channel earlier in December,
    President Ilham Aliyev admitted that falling oil prices could have
    a negative impact on the government's budgetary plans, reports
    informational - analytic portal EurasiaNet.

    As noted in the article one-third of the 2015 budget is slotted for
    investment projects; 20 percent of those investments are slated to
    fund a presidential pet project, the May 2015 European Olympic Games
    in the capital, Baku, economists estimate. Aliyev, however, stated
    that infrastructure projects could be reduced, if need be.

    The industry generates the most economic activity outside of the energy
    sector, noted economist Samir Aliyev, editor-in-chief of the Economic
    Forum Magazine, an analytical monthly. "If the government halts such
    projects now, it will leave lots of people unemployed," he predicted.

    As it is noted in the article, where the price will go in the coming
    weeks is hard to predict. What is certain is that the Azerbaijani
    government's margin for expansive spending is slim.

    In comments to EurasiaNet, Oil Fund spokesperson Jamala Aliyeva
    confirmed that "annual transfers and financing of strategic projects
    ...

    may cause [a] deficit SOFAZ budget for 2015" as world oil prices
    decline.

    Economist Samir Aliyev claims the Azerbaijani Central Bank's reserves
    already have been impacted, too, writes the EurasiaNet and adds
    that the Bank did not respond to a request for comment in time for
    publication.

    According to economist Natig Jafarli it was necessary to fight
    corruption, diversify the state budget revenues, encourage small and
    medium enterprises; however, the government never did that.

    "For those who already struggle to make ends meet in Azerbaijan,
    lower oil prices are a source of unease. Salman Guliyev, 74, who sells
    candies in one of Baku's backstreets, worries about what higher prices
    will mean for his ability to support his disabled wife and himself,"
    the portal writes.

    Source: Panorama.am

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