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West's "Armenian" Proposal: What's The Purpose?
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - Saturday, 08 February 2014, 13:42
In a week from the failure of the European integration of Armenia on
September 3, at least two Western powers offered, as a way out,
normalization with Turkey, including "exchange" of recognition of the
genocide with the recognition of the rights of Armenia to Karabakh.
This proposal came from specific and identical spheres of two powers,
either integrated with or part of the government agencies. In
addition, both powers offered their services during the process of
normalization of relations between Armenia and Turkey.
The question occurs whether these powers consider this political trick
as the only means of withdrawal of Armenia from Russian dependence
because this is a favor to Turkey or both. Most probably, yes.
However, such a proposal could be made to a country which either lacks
political resources and has to review the political-historical
paradigm of existential meaning, or there are plans of acceleration of
integration with the Atlantic community.
It should be noted that this proposal was rapidly put forth in a
period when relations of these two powers with Turkey are deplorable,
and there is total uncertainty. Only one way out is left - doing a
favor to Turkey and ending Russia's high status in the South Caucasus.
Or, there is, nevertheless, a more complicated option, i.e. boost
control over Turkey. No matter how simple or complicated the possible
options may be, leaving Armenia between Turkey and Azerbaijan as a
victim is hardly possible because the West does not need total lack of
balance in the result of Turkish dominance in the Black Sea and
Caucasian region.
It should be noted that these proposals are presented in detail,
applying different factors and explanations, as well as ethnic and
psychological matters. In other words, there is a well-made project,
also intending to corner Turkey in 2015. Apparently, Armenia's
situation is also taken into account. In this simple crossword there
are no labyrinths and unsolved puzzles. Everything could have been
more complicated had there not been for September 3. Maybe not
everything but a lot went well after this disgrace. Then every option
was called by their real names. Now every option can be called
"normalization".
In the "Armenian school of vanity" one may try to guess how to use
this situation to gain a respectable place in the government under the
Russian aegis, occupying a traditionally collaborationist position.
At the same time, if the Armenian political leadership does not try
too hard to pretend to believe in the success of the Customs Union, it
is possible to find a way out of this idiotic and dangerous situation
without accepting the proposals by the Western powers. The page of the
experimental period in Obama's policy has been turned over, and this
has been stated. Russia need not be dominant in this region and it
will not dare dictate its will to Armenia, even if it does not intend
to oppose. For the time being, Putin has been asked to behave himself,
and even if he does not do, the page has been turned over.
Shall we continue to wait until someone will hold Armenia's hand and
lead it towards a better future despite what is happening or, more
exactly, is not happening in Armenia? The Armenian topic is a demo
model, which was confirmed once again by this situation. Despite the
skepticism of the Western community towards Armenia (in the
post-Vilnius period), the plan on Armenia was made immediately or
there might have been a reserve plan.
Shall we work it out, guys? Of course, we will. It is important to
break through, not to wait.
- See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31886#sthash.id76uaj6.dpuf
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - Saturday, 08 February 2014, 13:42
In a week from the failure of the European integration of Armenia on
September 3, at least two Western powers offered, as a way out,
normalization with Turkey, including "exchange" of recognition of the
genocide with the recognition of the rights of Armenia to Karabakh.
This proposal came from specific and identical spheres of two powers,
either integrated with or part of the government agencies. In
addition, both powers offered their services during the process of
normalization of relations between Armenia and Turkey.
The question occurs whether these powers consider this political trick
as the only means of withdrawal of Armenia from Russian dependence
because this is a favor to Turkey or both. Most probably, yes.
However, such a proposal could be made to a country which either lacks
political resources and has to review the political-historical
paradigm of existential meaning, or there are plans of acceleration of
integration with the Atlantic community.
It should be noted that this proposal was rapidly put forth in a
period when relations of these two powers with Turkey are deplorable,
and there is total uncertainty. Only one way out is left - doing a
favor to Turkey and ending Russia's high status in the South Caucasus.
Or, there is, nevertheless, a more complicated option, i.e. boost
control over Turkey. No matter how simple or complicated the possible
options may be, leaving Armenia between Turkey and Azerbaijan as a
victim is hardly possible because the West does not need total lack of
balance in the result of Turkish dominance in the Black Sea and
Caucasian region.
It should be noted that these proposals are presented in detail,
applying different factors and explanations, as well as ethnic and
psychological matters. In other words, there is a well-made project,
also intending to corner Turkey in 2015. Apparently, Armenia's
situation is also taken into account. In this simple crossword there
are no labyrinths and unsolved puzzles. Everything could have been
more complicated had there not been for September 3. Maybe not
everything but a lot went well after this disgrace. Then every option
was called by their real names. Now every option can be called
"normalization".
In the "Armenian school of vanity" one may try to guess how to use
this situation to gain a respectable place in the government under the
Russian aegis, occupying a traditionally collaborationist position.
At the same time, if the Armenian political leadership does not try
too hard to pretend to believe in the success of the Customs Union, it
is possible to find a way out of this idiotic and dangerous situation
without accepting the proposals by the Western powers. The page of the
experimental period in Obama's policy has been turned over, and this
has been stated. Russia need not be dominant in this region and it
will not dare dictate its will to Armenia, even if it does not intend
to oppose. For the time being, Putin has been asked to behave himself,
and even if he does not do, the page has been turned over.
Shall we continue to wait until someone will hold Armenia's hand and
lead it towards a better future despite what is happening or, more
exactly, is not happening in Armenia? The Armenian topic is a demo
model, which was confirmed once again by this situation. Despite the
skepticism of the Western community towards Armenia (in the
post-Vilnius period), the plan on Armenia was made immediately or
there might have been a reserve plan.
Shall we work it out, guys? Of course, we will. It is important to
break through, not to wait.
- See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31886#sthash.id76uaj6.dpuf