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Is Armenia Getting Ready For War?

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  • Is Armenia Getting Ready For War?

    IS ARMENIA GETTING READY FOR WAR?

    Naira Hayrumyan, Political Commentator
    Country - Friday, 14 February 2014, 17:16

    Yesterday the ministry of defense called a meeting with the supreme
    command and discussed military tasks, including deployment of forces,
    use of long-range missiles, distribution of new arms and machines,
    as well as the probability of defense and counterattack.

    The press release on this meeting resembled breaking news from the
    battlefield. It might have been determined by several circumstances:
    either the Armenian army has learned about possibility of resumption
    of military actions or the information is a warning shot addressed
    to someone.

    Experts increasingly say that at some point someone will not resist
    temptation and will dare start military actions in Karabakh. There are
    so many direct and indirect sides to this conflict that the balance
    of forces and status quo brings about a knot of intricate negotiations.

    However, the status quo is headed for a change. The ex-minister of
    foreign affairs Vahan Papazyan says after Armenia's decision to join
    the Customs Union the dividing lines in the region have been shifted,
    and new status quo is needed. And with incompatible interests of the
    sides, it may appear in the result of military actions.

    Some analysts state that after Sochi Russia will get down to the South
    Caucasus and the adjacent regions. Different options are possible,
    including recognition of Karabakh by Moscow, prohibition of profitable
    transit deals with Iran and opening of the border with Turkey, as
    well as provocation of military actions.

    The position of the Western states is not definite yet. Today the
    American co-chair of the OSCE Minsk Group twitted that it is time
    Karabakh participate in talks. The impression is that the United
    States came up with a proposal to the Armenian states to which the
    Armenians traditionally answered with claims to participation in the
    talks. We agree, the U.S. co-chair says. How about the Armenian side?

    The message of the defense ministry is alarming. Despite the brave
    notes that we have long-range missiles, the impression is negative -
    we might be involved in an adventure the results of which will be
    positive for everyone except Armenia. Any change of status quo will
    be against Armenia.

    - See more at:
    http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/country/view/31922#sthash.H6YwcVfy.dpuf




    From: A. Papazian
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