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THE CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR: GEOPOLITICAL SIGNIFICANCE OF AZERBAIJAN IS BLOWN OUT OF PROPORTION
number of targeted public relations stunts have attempted to present
Azerbaijan as a model partner for the West. However, Azerbaijan's
allegiance to the Western international order is dubious, especially
when it comes to democratic norms, rule of law, and respect for human
rights, reads the article published in American on-line paper The
Christian Science Monitor.
The authors note that with the recent developments happening in
and around Ukraine, Svante E. Cornell's June 10 op-ed "Why America
must step up its role in resolving Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict"
attempts to compare the Nagorno Karabakh conflict with Crimea. This
attempted comparison disregards important historical, geographic,
legal, and political differences that exist between the two conflicts.
The article reads that the Nagorno Karabakh conflict has deep
historical and legal roots with various junctures along the way. The
most recent phase of the conflict began in February of 1988, when the
citizens of the Armenian Soviet Socialist Republic and Nagorno Karabakh
Autonomous Oblast (NKAO) began peaceful demonstrations to once again
petition the Soviet authorities in Moscow for re-unification of NKAO
with the Armenian SSR. Tensions rose rapidly after the anti-Armenian
pogroms in the Azerbaijani cities. Tensions spilled eventually turned
into a full-scale war that lasted until 1994.
Moscow's role (both under the USSR and the Russian Federation) in
the Artsakh conflict mediation is usually overemphasized. At the same
time, the genuine desire of the people of Artsakh Republic (Nagorno
Karabakh) to live in a state and society of their own choosing is
often disregarded.
"During the Artsakh-Azerbaijan war, Baku recruited Afghan mujahideen
and Chechen insurgents to fight on its side, many of whom would end up
in Russia's North Caucasus region in pursuit of jihad, thus presenting
a direct national security threat to Russia. Given its geographic
proximity and Russia's ownproblems in its North Caucasus region,
Moscow could not and cannot disregard the Artsakh peace process,"
the article reads.
The US has also been active in the mediation process of the Artsakh
conflict within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmanship.
One notable example was the US-organized talks in Key West in the
summer of 2001, which was the closest the parties had ever come
to reaching a peace deal since the ceasefire agreement seven years
earlier.
In recent times, experienced analysts of the South Caucasus and
government officials, such as Richard Kauzlarich, Thomas De Waal,
Eric Rubin, and others have criticized Azerbaijan's faulty human
rights track record, its attempt to lead on both the West and Russia,
and its waning importance as a US ally.
The article also reads that recent examples of Baku's crackdown
on critics both foreign and domestic include criticism of the US
ambassador to Baku, Richard Morningstar and criticism of OSCE Minsk
Group US co-chairman James Warlick.
"Human Right Watch periodically reports on egregious arrests of
bloggers and journalists, including the recent airport detainment of
prominent human rights defender Leyla Yunus and her husband. Another
example is the extradition of Rauf Mirkadirov," The Christian Science
Monitor writes.
Another factor that presents a challenge to the premise that Azerbaijan
is a reliable Western ally is its recent major arms acquisitions from
Russia, valued at $4 billion.
"The geopolitical significance of the country is blown out of
proportion. For instance its gas supplies to Europe are negligible in
the larger picture (only 2 percent of EU demand) and could not replace
Russia's volumes. And within the context of improving relations between
the West and Iran, Azerbaijan's role will likely shrink further. The
US withdrawal from Afghanistan, the recent shale gas revolution,
and the general pivot to Asia add additional reasons why the South
Caucasus will lose its strategic significance for the US and the West
in general.
According to the authors the U.S. could convince to remove the
snipers from the line of contact (to which Azerbaijan do not agree)
which would be a positive step forward. Reinstatement of the Artsakh
Republic representation at the negotiations table is also imperative,
as no durable peace is possible without the involvement of the people
affected the most.
"The US needs to play an active role in the mediation process, together
with the other co-chair countries. But a final agreement to end the
Artsakh conflict cannot be imposed from the outside and needs to be
reached by the three parties themselves exclusively through peaceful
means," the author concludes.
http://www.panorama.am/en/politics/2014/06/19/azerbaijan-christian-science/
From: A. Papazian
number of targeted public relations stunts have attempted to present
Azerbaijan as a model partner for the West. However, Azerbaijan's
allegiance to the Western international order is dubious, especially
when it comes to democratic norms, rule of law, and respect for human
rights, reads the article published in American on-line paper The
Christian Science Monitor.
The authors note that with the recent developments happening in
and around Ukraine, Svante E. Cornell's June 10 op-ed "Why America
must step up its role in resolving Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict"
attempts to compare the Nagorno Karabakh conflict with Crimea. This
attempted comparison disregards important historical, geographic,
legal, and political differences that exist between the two conflicts.
The article reads that the Nagorno Karabakh conflict has deep
historical and legal roots with various junctures along the way. The
most recent phase of the conflict began in February of 1988, when the
citizens of the Armenian Soviet Socialist Republic and Nagorno Karabakh
Autonomous Oblast (NKAO) began peaceful demonstrations to once again
petition the Soviet authorities in Moscow for re-unification of NKAO
with the Armenian SSR. Tensions rose rapidly after the anti-Armenian
pogroms in the Azerbaijani cities. Tensions spilled eventually turned
into a full-scale war that lasted until 1994.
Moscow's role (both under the USSR and the Russian Federation) in
the Artsakh conflict mediation is usually overemphasized. At the same
time, the genuine desire of the people of Artsakh Republic (Nagorno
Karabakh) to live in a state and society of their own choosing is
often disregarded.
"During the Artsakh-Azerbaijan war, Baku recruited Afghan mujahideen
and Chechen insurgents to fight on its side, many of whom would end up
in Russia's North Caucasus region in pursuit of jihad, thus presenting
a direct national security threat to Russia. Given its geographic
proximity and Russia's ownproblems in its North Caucasus region,
Moscow could not and cannot disregard the Artsakh peace process,"
the article reads.
The US has also been active in the mediation process of the Artsakh
conflict within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairmanship.
One notable example was the US-organized talks in Key West in the
summer of 2001, which was the closest the parties had ever come
to reaching a peace deal since the ceasefire agreement seven years
earlier.
In recent times, experienced analysts of the South Caucasus and
government officials, such as Richard Kauzlarich, Thomas De Waal,
Eric Rubin, and others have criticized Azerbaijan's faulty human
rights track record, its attempt to lead on both the West and Russia,
and its waning importance as a US ally.
The article also reads that recent examples of Baku's crackdown
on critics both foreign and domestic include criticism of the US
ambassador to Baku, Richard Morningstar and criticism of OSCE Minsk
Group US co-chairman James Warlick.
"Human Right Watch periodically reports on egregious arrests of
bloggers and journalists, including the recent airport detainment of
prominent human rights defender Leyla Yunus and her husband. Another
example is the extradition of Rauf Mirkadirov," The Christian Science
Monitor writes.
Another factor that presents a challenge to the premise that Azerbaijan
is a reliable Western ally is its recent major arms acquisitions from
Russia, valued at $4 billion.
"The geopolitical significance of the country is blown out of
proportion. For instance its gas supplies to Europe are negligible in
the larger picture (only 2 percent of EU demand) and could not replace
Russia's volumes. And within the context of improving relations between
the West and Iran, Azerbaijan's role will likely shrink further. The
US withdrawal from Afghanistan, the recent shale gas revolution,
and the general pivot to Asia add additional reasons why the South
Caucasus will lose its strategic significance for the US and the West
in general.
According to the authors the U.S. could convince to remove the
snipers from the line of contact (to which Azerbaijan do not agree)
which would be a positive step forward. Reinstatement of the Artsakh
Republic representation at the negotiations table is also imperative,
as no durable peace is possible without the involvement of the people
affected the most.
"The US needs to play an active role in the mediation process, together
with the other co-chair countries. But a final agreement to end the
Artsakh conflict cannot be imposed from the outside and needs to be
reached by the three parties themselves exclusively through peaceful
means," the author concludes.
http://www.panorama.am/en/politics/2014/06/19/azerbaijan-christian-science/
From: A. Papazian