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ARMENIAN TRAIN THROUGH GEORGIA?
EurasiaNet.org
June 20 2014
June 20, 2014 - 11:24am, by Giorgi Lomsadze
Armenia needs a train to make full use of its upcoming economic
integration with Russia's Customs Union, but the only track still
accessible to it runs via separatist Abkhazia. Now, after years of
firm opposition from Tbilisi, Yerevan appears to sense an opening.
During a June 18-19 drop-in visit to Tbilisi, Armenian President Serzh
Sargsyan revisited with his Georgian hosts the idea of re-launching the
Soviet-era train route. The reopening of the railway though Abkhazia,
closed since Tbilisi's 1992-1994 war with Abkhaz separatists, "is of
vital importance for us," Sargsyan said, news sites reported.
It is vital, indeed. For landlocked Armenia, the land route to Russia -
a prime market for Armenia exports and migrant workers - bottlenecks
through the Georgian mountains. This route is susceptible to political
and natural disasters, such as the 2008 war with Russia or a recent
deadly landslide, and has limited cargo transit capacity.
Georgia did not leap at Sargsyan's overture, but indicated that
there is room for discussion. Georgian officials said that Moscow and
Tbilisi may discuss the Abkhazia railway at their next round of talks,
and that the National Security Council will also mull over the matter.
Retired Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili, who is widely seen as
the real ruler of Georgia, has indicated in the past that he looks
favorably on the railway both as a way to bridge Abkhaz and Georgian
differences and as an economic boon for everyone involved.
Moscow, for its part, also has an interest. Vladimir Yakunin,
the chief executive officer of Russian Railways, which essentially
operates Armenia's domestic railway system, stated recently that now
was the time to start thinking about the topic.
But while everyone seems willing to sit around and think about the
railway, the Abkhaz train, like any international project in the South
Caucasus, touches a web of conflicting or interconnected interests.
Any consent by Tbilisi to the line reopening will inevitably face
domestic criticism from political opponents, who believe the railway
would only consolidate Abkhazia's claim to independence.
The Abkhaz themselves have indicated that, while the railway could
bring benefits, they would expect to be included in the planning as
a full-fledged state. That's unlikely to come from Tbilisi.
Meanwhile, Georgia's neighbor , Azerbaijan, has its own territorial
conflict to think about. The struggle over Nagorno Karabakh means Baku
will hardly be pleased to see Tbilisi facilitating trade opportunities
for Yerevan, Baku's sworn enemy .
Azerbaijan has a separate railway project in Georgia designed to
connect both Caucasus countries to Turkey's railway system, and
potentially further afield, to Europe.
And then there are the differences between Armenia and Georgia. The
two countries are opting for different final destinations - Russia
and Europe, respectively - both in terms of railway routes and
geopolitically. Armenia plans to sign on with Russia, Kazakhstan and
Belarus' Eurasian Union, while Georgia is about to connect to the
European Union through an association and free trade agreements.
With all this happening, Yerevan-Moscow train is unlikely to be
departing soon.
http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68711
From: A. Papazian
EurasiaNet.org
June 20 2014
June 20, 2014 - 11:24am, by Giorgi Lomsadze
Armenia needs a train to make full use of its upcoming economic
integration with Russia's Customs Union, but the only track still
accessible to it runs via separatist Abkhazia. Now, after years of
firm opposition from Tbilisi, Yerevan appears to sense an opening.
During a June 18-19 drop-in visit to Tbilisi, Armenian President Serzh
Sargsyan revisited with his Georgian hosts the idea of re-launching the
Soviet-era train route. The reopening of the railway though Abkhazia,
closed since Tbilisi's 1992-1994 war with Abkhaz separatists, "is of
vital importance for us," Sargsyan said, news sites reported.
It is vital, indeed. For landlocked Armenia, the land route to Russia -
a prime market for Armenia exports and migrant workers - bottlenecks
through the Georgian mountains. This route is susceptible to political
and natural disasters, such as the 2008 war with Russia or a recent
deadly landslide, and has limited cargo transit capacity.
Georgia did not leap at Sargsyan's overture, but indicated that
there is room for discussion. Georgian officials said that Moscow and
Tbilisi may discuss the Abkhazia railway at their next round of talks,
and that the National Security Council will also mull over the matter.
Retired Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili, who is widely seen as
the real ruler of Georgia, has indicated in the past that he looks
favorably on the railway both as a way to bridge Abkhaz and Georgian
differences and as an economic boon for everyone involved.
Moscow, for its part, also has an interest. Vladimir Yakunin,
the chief executive officer of Russian Railways, which essentially
operates Armenia's domestic railway system, stated recently that now
was the time to start thinking about the topic.
But while everyone seems willing to sit around and think about the
railway, the Abkhaz train, like any international project in the South
Caucasus, touches a web of conflicting or interconnected interests.
Any consent by Tbilisi to the line reopening will inevitably face
domestic criticism from political opponents, who believe the railway
would only consolidate Abkhazia's claim to independence.
The Abkhaz themselves have indicated that, while the railway could
bring benefits, they would expect to be included in the planning as
a full-fledged state. That's unlikely to come from Tbilisi.
Meanwhile, Georgia's neighbor , Azerbaijan, has its own territorial
conflict to think about. The struggle over Nagorno Karabakh means Baku
will hardly be pleased to see Tbilisi facilitating trade opportunities
for Yerevan, Baku's sworn enemy .
Azerbaijan has a separate railway project in Georgia designed to
connect both Caucasus countries to Turkey's railway system, and
potentially further afield, to Europe.
And then there are the differences between Armenia and Georgia. The
two countries are opting for different final destinations - Russia
and Europe, respectively - both in terms of railway routes and
geopolitically. Armenia plans to sign on with Russia, Kazakhstan and
Belarus' Eurasian Union, while Georgia is about to connect to the
European Union through an association and free trade agreements.
With all this happening, Yerevan-Moscow train is unlikely to be
departing soon.
http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68711
From: A. Papazian