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The Price for Empire
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - Friday, 28 February 2014, 16:29
Moscow is anxious and hurt. It is trying every method, including
military blackmail. The Russians want to resemble the Americans,
borrowing their style and approaches to regional policy, and they
think it is enough to use the American political technologies and
success is guaranteed.
However, no matter how hard they try, in this situation they will not
achieve what the Americans achieved in the warm seas and deserts of
the east. The actions of Russians in the regions will always achieve
results that will be similar to Czechoslovakia, Hungary and
Afghanistan.
The mass media informed that Russia has launched some unplanned
military maneuvers close to the Ukrainian border. What next? Invasion,
bloodshed, thousands of victims and an eternal deadlock, guaranteed
blockade in the Western direction.
Apparently, Moscow hopes to get the support of the Russian-speaking
population of the Left Bank and Novorossiya. It is complete
profanation based on the traditional typing of the Ukrainian people
living in the Russian consciousness and perceptions.
The establishment of the state of Moscow and formation of the
political space of the Russian empire took place with the
participation and partnership of different peoples, first of all
Ukrainians. The Ukrainians made the basic ethnicity of emergence of
Kazaks, which was a crucial factor of the establishment of the empire,
defense of the boundless areas of the steppe and Siberia. The Russian
state was unable to defend these territories without the Kazaks.
In all times the Russian elite, including generals, scientists and
manufacturers were Ukrainians (remember the names of marshals and
generals of World War II). In the result of enlargement of the empire,
not only Siberia, Ural, Far East, North Caucasus and Central Asia, but
also the region of Donetsk and the Black Sea territories were
populated by Russians and Ukrainians.
When the Republic of Ukraine was being set up, Pavel Skoropadsky,
Mykhailo Hrushevskyi and others did not pretend to Novorossiya and
Tavria, as well as Donetsk. In the soviet period, however, territorial
division was based on ethnic and geopolitical principles.
Currently Ukrainians are a minority in Crimea but half of the
population of Donetsk and Lugansk regions distinguished for their
pro-Russian sentiment is Ukrainian.
Certainly, Crimea, Odessa are part of Russia in ethnic, cultural,
linguistic and historical terms but it is hard to tell the same about
other regions of the country.
Currently, Moscow's bet on the Russian-speaking population is an
illusion. The Ukrainian population of the southeast mostly support
close relations with Russia but will never agree to the division or
collapse of the country or unification of those regions with Russia.
The developments in Ukraine show that the process of collapse of the
USSR is not over, and the lightness and simplicity of collapse at the
beginning of the 1990s was a delayed-action mine. It would be stupid
to ascribe such strategic thinking to Yeltzin's team but the "mine"
was planted there when the soviet states were being formed in the
1920s, not at the time of the collapse.
One way or another, Russia will achieve a compromise with Ukraine, and
Ukraine may have to concede some territories, such as Crimea, and gain
great external independence. At the same time, Ukraine will hardly
trade off its right to join the European Union and NATO.
The sooner Russia settles it up, the earlier it will rid of the burden
that is beyond the empire, paying for it with its own aspirations.
- See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32003#sthash.sppQq7DK.dpuf
From: A. Papazian
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - Friday, 28 February 2014, 16:29
Moscow is anxious and hurt. It is trying every method, including
military blackmail. The Russians want to resemble the Americans,
borrowing their style and approaches to regional policy, and they
think it is enough to use the American political technologies and
success is guaranteed.
However, no matter how hard they try, in this situation they will not
achieve what the Americans achieved in the warm seas and deserts of
the east. The actions of Russians in the regions will always achieve
results that will be similar to Czechoslovakia, Hungary and
Afghanistan.
The mass media informed that Russia has launched some unplanned
military maneuvers close to the Ukrainian border. What next? Invasion,
bloodshed, thousands of victims and an eternal deadlock, guaranteed
blockade in the Western direction.
Apparently, Moscow hopes to get the support of the Russian-speaking
population of the Left Bank and Novorossiya. It is complete
profanation based on the traditional typing of the Ukrainian people
living in the Russian consciousness and perceptions.
The establishment of the state of Moscow and formation of the
political space of the Russian empire took place with the
participation and partnership of different peoples, first of all
Ukrainians. The Ukrainians made the basic ethnicity of emergence of
Kazaks, which was a crucial factor of the establishment of the empire,
defense of the boundless areas of the steppe and Siberia. The Russian
state was unable to defend these territories without the Kazaks.
In all times the Russian elite, including generals, scientists and
manufacturers were Ukrainians (remember the names of marshals and
generals of World War II). In the result of enlargement of the empire,
not only Siberia, Ural, Far East, North Caucasus and Central Asia, but
also the region of Donetsk and the Black Sea territories were
populated by Russians and Ukrainians.
When the Republic of Ukraine was being set up, Pavel Skoropadsky,
Mykhailo Hrushevskyi and others did not pretend to Novorossiya and
Tavria, as well as Donetsk. In the soviet period, however, territorial
division was based on ethnic and geopolitical principles.
Currently Ukrainians are a minority in Crimea but half of the
population of Donetsk and Lugansk regions distinguished for their
pro-Russian sentiment is Ukrainian.
Certainly, Crimea, Odessa are part of Russia in ethnic, cultural,
linguistic and historical terms but it is hard to tell the same about
other regions of the country.
Currently, Moscow's bet on the Russian-speaking population is an
illusion. The Ukrainian population of the southeast mostly support
close relations with Russia but will never agree to the division or
collapse of the country or unification of those regions with Russia.
The developments in Ukraine show that the process of collapse of the
USSR is not over, and the lightness and simplicity of collapse at the
beginning of the 1990s was a delayed-action mine. It would be stupid
to ascribe such strategic thinking to Yeltzin's team but the "mine"
was planted there when the soviet states were being formed in the
1920s, not at the time of the collapse.
One way or another, Russia will achieve a compromise with Ukraine, and
Ukraine may have to concede some territories, such as Crimea, and gain
great external independence. At the same time, Ukraine will hardly
trade off its right to join the European Union and NATO.
The sooner Russia settles it up, the earlier it will rid of the burden
that is beyond the empire, paying for it with its own aspirations.
- See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32003#sthash.sppQq7DK.dpuf
From: A. Papazian