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Economist: Anatolia (Mostly) Loves Erdogan

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  • Economist: Anatolia (Mostly) Loves Erdogan

    ANATOLIA (MOSTLY) LOVES ERDOGAN

    The Economist
    March 6 2014

    A bastion of loyalty to Recep Tayyip Erdogan is tested by recent
    scandals

    Mar 8th 2014 | KAYSERI | From the print edition

    "WE GAVE you new hospitals, we gave you proper schools," roars the
    mayor of Kayseri, Mehmet Ozhaseki. Veiled housewives chant back,
    "Kayseri is proud of you," as the mayor boasts of the achievements of
    the ruling Justice and Development (AK) party at an election rally in
    the city's Eskisehir district. Eskisehir was a slum full of squatters
    and open sewers until Mr Ozhaseki, a local businessman, was elected
    mayor in 1999. Now its pristine streets are lined with two-storey
    houses built on land given by AK. Mr Ozhaseki is also restoring an
    ancient Armenian church. "Kayseri is very nationalist, I am getting
    criticised for this," he confides.

    Sitting next to one of Turkey's highest mountains, Mount Erciyes,
    Kayseri was once home to thousands of Greeks and Armenians until
    they were driven out or slaughtered a century ago. Their once grand
    mansions stand derelict, the basements dotted with gaping holes where
    looters tunnelled to look for gold. But today Kayseri symbolises the
    "new Islam" ushered in by AK when it came to power in 2002. This
    mix of piety and entrepreneurship has produced a class of so called
    "Islamic Calvinists" who have popularised such things as Turkish jeans
    and furniture across the world. Abdullah Gul, Turkey's president and
    a co-founder of AK, is Kayseri's most famous son.

    Mr Ozhaseki, who was elected with 60% of the vote in 2009, ought to
    be a shoo-in for a fourth consecutive term as mayor. But a seemingly
    unending stream of sleaze allegations against AK, and specifically
    against Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the prime minister, may yet dent its
    vote in the municipal elections on March 30th. Mr Ozhaseki parrots
    the government line that the corruption probe is a foreign-inspired
    plot carried out by Fethullah Gulen, a hard-nosed Muslim preacher
    and former ally of Mr Erdogan's, who lives in self-imposed exile in
    rural Pennsylvania and whose disciples have flooded the ranks of the
    police force and the judiciary under AK's watch.

    That does not persuade Memduh Boydak, whose family-run conglomerate,
    Boydak Holding, is one of the 20 biggest Turkish companies, employing
    around 16,000 people. Like many "Anatolian tigers" who have thrived
    under AK rule, Boydak has been hurt by Turkey's sharp economic
    slowdown, a sudden fall in the lira and a big rise in interest rates.

    These troubles have been exacerbated by the continuing power struggle
    between AK and the Gulenists. A clash of views and egos between their
    leaders has played a big part. "There is a 10% drop in business and
    there is a problem with corruption," admits Mr Boydak, though he adds
    that he believes in the country and that the problem will pass.

    But few of Mr Erdogan's supporters appear to care so much. "OK, so
    they steal, but unlike the others [ie, the opposition] they get things
    done," says Gokhan Baydur, a waiter, gesturing towards Mount Erciyes
    where the municipality recently completed what Mr Ozhaseki insists
    is a world-class ski resort. "We will win comfortably, no problem,"
    he predicts of the March election.

    He is probably right. Yet many believe that AK's share of the vote
    is likely to drop. This is because Kayseri also has a big base of
    Gulenist support. The movement runs one university, 16 lycees and 18
    crammers in the city. A recent law passed by AK to phase out thousands
    of crammers across Turkey (two-thirds of these are thought to be Gulen
    franchises) is designed to deprive the Gulenists of cash and recruits.

    But that angers thousands of conservative families who praise the
    quality of the Gulenists' tutoring and their family values. "They
    are outraged by Erdogan's calumnies against our hodja [ie, Mr Gulen]
    and will no longer vote for AK," a member of the movement claims.

    "These elections are a contest between Erdogan and the [Gulen]
    community," noted Rusen Cakir, an analyst. "Both spring from Islamic
    traditions and they, therefore, face a difficult task," he added in
    an interview with the Haberturk news channel. This might explain why
    the astute Mr Ozhaseki has chosen not to join in Mr Erdogan's rants
    against the hodja.

    http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21598726-bastion-loyalty-recep-tayyip-erdogan-tested-recent-scandals-anatolia-mostly-loves




    From: A. Papazian
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