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Armenian Leaders Reticent On Ukraine Crisis

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  • Armenian Leaders Reticent On Ukraine Crisis

    ARMENIAN LEADERS RETICENT ON UKRAINE CRISIS

    Institute for War and Peace Reporting, UK
    IWPR Caucasus Reporting #726
    March 7 2014

    Government too closely tied to Moscow to say anything controversial,
    although it plans to work with new Kiev leaders.

    By Vahe Harutyunyan - Caucasus

    Armenian officials are treading a careful line over the Ukraine crisis,
    keen to avoid angering their allies in the Kremlin but also anxious
    to avoid supporting an intervention in a sovereign state.

    Just before Russian troops fanned out across Crimea, Armenian deputy
    foreign minister Shavarsh Kocharyan pledged to maintain ties with
    the new Ukrainian administration set up after President Viktor
    Yanukovich fled.

    "This is our position - to continue cooperating with Ukraine, and to
    always act in line with Armenia's interests," Kocharyan told reporters.

    While this position is out of step with Russian policy, which refuses
    to recognise the removal of Yanukovich, Armenian officials refused
    to join the Ukrainians in condemning what the Kiev leadership says
    is an invasion of Crimea.

    "Our ambassador is in Kiev and is carefully following the course of
    events," said foreign ministry spokesman Tigran Balayan.

    Analysts in Armenia say the government is in a tricky position. Russia
    is Armenia's chief trading partner, a strategic military ally and home
    to the largest Armenian diaspora. Ukraine, meanwhile, is Armenia's
    fourth largest trading partner, and home to a 100,000-strong Armenian
    community.

    Officials in Yerevan are therefore trying not to antagonise either
    side.

    "The situation is, shall we say, delicate. The government in Armenia
    is trying to keep quiet until the outcome of the Ukrainian crisis
    becomes clear," Sergei Minasyan, deputy director of the Caucasus
    Institute in Yerevan, told IWPR.

    Ruben Mehrabyan, of the Centre for Political and International Studies,
    added that "even if the Armenian government recognises the dangers
    posed by Russia, they still can't criticise the Kremlin since they
    are under its control,"

    Armenia has faced dilemmas about foreign policy direction similar to
    those that form the backdrop to Ukraine's current crisis. In early
    September, President Serzh Sargsyan announced that Armenia was to
    join the Russia-Kazakstan-Belarus Customs Union, ditching plans to
    sign an Association Agreement with the European Union.

    Armenia is already part of the Moscow-led Collective Security Treaty
    Organisation, hosts a large Russian military presence, does a quarter
    of its foreign trade with that country.

    Although ties have always been close, many Armenians still suspect
    that President Sargsyan was pushed into applying for Customs Union
    membership - and that the same pressure is making other leading
    figures stay silent on Crimea.

    Hovhannes Sahakyan, secretary of the ruling Republican Party's
    parliamentary group, reflected this caution in studiously guarded
    remarks.

    "It is important to us for the crisis in Ukraine to be resolved
    peacefully. At the same time, however, it is no less important that
    a solution is reached in line with the norms of international law,"
    he said.

    Most opposition parties have taken a similarly cautious line, the
    only exception being the Heritage party, which strongly condemned
    Moscow's actions.

    "Russian actions in Crimea and in other parts of Ukraine constitute
    aggression and a gross violation of international law. Their aim
    is to force Kiev into Moscow's orbit," Styopa Safaryan, the party's
    general secretary, told IWPR.

    Many Armenians share this view.

    Daniel Ionisyan, 27, who spent several hours behind bars last year
    after protesting against a visit to Yerevan by President Vladimir
    Putin, said the outcome of the Ukraine crisis would seal the fate of
    Armenians, too.

    A Committee for Solidarity With the Maidan - the Kiev square where
    protesters massed to oppose Yanukovich - has been set up in Yerevan.

    It too damned Putin's government as the aggressor, and likened the
    official silence in Armenia to appeasement.

    "These actions resemble those shameful episodes in European history
    - the German Anschluss of Austria in 1938, and the annexation of
    Czechoslovakia by Adolf Hitler," a statement from the committee said.

    The Maidan solidarity committee includes prominent rights activists
    like Artur Sakunts, head of the Vanadzor office of the Helsinki
    Civilian Assembly, Boris Navasardyan, head of the Yerevan Press Club,
    and Davit Shahnazaryan, former director of the National Security
    Service, as well as many ordinary people.

    The Armenian business sector has been as reluctant as the politicians
    to express forthright opinions on events in Ukraine.

    Gagik Makaryan, head of the Republican Union of Employers, said
    he was concerned about the potential impact of the crisis on the
    Russian economy, which is already weakening despite consistently high
    oil prices.

    "The possibility that the international community will impose sanctions
    against Russia is also a matter of concern to us. Such a course of
    events would strike a blow against Armenian businessmen," Makaryan
    told IWPR. "The instability of the Ukrainian economy is also having
    a negative impact on us."

    Vahe Harutiunyan is a freelance journalist in Armenia.

    http://iwpr.net/report-news/armenian-leaders-reticent-ukraine-crisis

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