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Crimean Crisis Creates Political Maze For Armenians

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  • Crimean Crisis Creates Political Maze For Armenians

    CRIMEAN CRISIS CREATES POLITICAL MAZE FOR ARMENIANS

    EDITORIAL | MARCH 24, 2014 11:26 AM
    ________________________________

    By Edmond Y. Azadian

    The facts are already well known about the crisis in Crimea, whose
    population just voted in a referendum with 96.6 percent approval to
    join the Russian Federation.

    For world leaders, the situation is rather simple, political facts
    being perceived in black and white. For the West -- and especially
    the US -- it was a violation of international law. For Moscow and
    for the Russian residents of Crimea, it was a legitimate expression
    of people's right to self-determination.

    But for the Republic of Armenia and the Armenian residents of the
    former Soviet territories, a political maze of sympathies and interests
    is being engendered by these new developments.

    Armenians have been living in Ukraine since the Middle Ages and their
    ranks have been replenished with recent emigration from the homeland.

    Many oligarchs and business leaders have emerged in the
    Ukrainian-Armenian community, generously supporting many projects
    in Armenia.

    By necessity, Ukrainian-Armenians will support the new government
    in Kiev, while the Union of Armenians in Russia has come up with a
    declaration sympathizing with Moscow's strong-arm tactics in Ukraine
    and Crimea.

    Russian Armenians have been equally supportive of the Armenian Republic
    in larger measures than is even known in the diaspora.

    The government in Armenia has been treading more cautiously about the
    developments in the region. Although a strategic partner to Moscow,
    Yerevan has been reluctant to refuse recognizing the new government
    in Kiev and has not yet rushed to embrace the result of the vote
    in Crimea.

    Armenians have been living in Crimea since the eighth century AD and
    have enjoyed a prosperous cultural life in the peninsula, which has
    suffered two major wars between tsarist Russia and the Ottoman Empire.

    There were almost half a million Tatars in Crimea, left over from
    the Mongol invasions of Genghis Khan who were later decimated when in
    1941 Stalin deported 200,000 of them to Central Asia, accusing them of
    collaborating with the Nazis. That move changed the ethnic balance in
    Crimea, whose 2-million population is 53 percent Russian. The Tatars
    now constitute only 12 percent of the population, although the new
    constitution allows them 20-percent participation in government
    institutions.

    By contrast, Armenians in Crimea constitute only .5 percent of the
    total population, but traditionally, they have been a vocal minority.

    The Crimean Armenian community National Council adopted a resolution
    calling on Armenians to participate in the referendum and voting
    in favor of the peninsula joining Russia. The Council's chairman,
    Vagharshak Melkonian, indicated that the new Crimean constitution
    will guarantee the Crimean Tatars 20 percent quota in the governing
    bodies of the peninsula and has continued to state that, "We Armenians,
    Bulgarians, Greeks and Germans have united under one association and
    we demand that they be guided by the same principles also with respect
    to us, if the said principle is applied for the Crimean Tatars."

    As we can see, the Crimean crisis reflects in a different and sometimes
    contradictory way on Armenians, who are scattered in different parts
    of the former Soviet Union. This is a microcosm of the nature of the
    Armenian people, who because of a variety of assaults as well as a
    full-scale genocide, have become scattered across the world.

    The major question for us remains how this referendum will impact on
    the destiny of the people of Karabagh.

    Like the other unrecognized republics of South Ossetia and Abkhazia,
    the Foreign Ministry of Karabagh has released a communique which
    "considers the referendum held on March 16 in the Autonomous Republic
    of Crimea as yet another manifestation of the realization of the
    right of people to self-determination ... as it is enshrined in
    the UN Charter and a number of fundamental international documents,
    is a key principle of international law."

    Since the inviolability of the borders in the former Soviet bloc was
    broken in Kosovo and -- with a counter measure -- continues today in
    Crimea, political observers are waiting to see what actions Moscow
    may resort to next in Trans-Dniester and Karabagh.

    At this point, the destiny of Karabagh hinges on two main factors:

    * Thus far, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe
    (OSCE) co-chairmanship has been consistent in maintaining the principle
    of Azerbaijan's territorial integrity versus Karabagh people's right
    to self-determination, making a solution impossible.

    Therefore, if the Crimean crisis undermines the consensus within OSCE,
    Moscow may resort to unilateral action.

    * Crimean Tatars have received assurances from Turkey's Foreign
    Minister Ahmed Davutoglu that their rights will be guaranteed. The
    Tatars have vocally opposed to Crimea joining Russia. They have also
    appealed to Ilham Aliyev for support. Should Azerbaijan engage in
    any policy contravening Moscow's interests in the peninsula, Putin
    may use his options in Karabagh.

    Thus far, the political upheaval has not extended its ramifications
    to the peripheral issues which affect Armenia and Karabagh; however,
    it has already created a political maze which can move in any
    unpredictable direction.

    - See more at:
    http://www.mirrorspectator.com/2014/03/24/crimean-crisis-creates-political-maze-for-armenians/#sthash.o9g8QUQr.dpuf

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