WHAT IS STUCK IN PUTIN'S THROAT?
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
Comments - Friday, 30 May 2014, 18:01
Astana has angered the vibrant society of Armenia. The latest brunt
to the nation's reputation met a backlash but there also seems to be
misunderstanding, particularly of Serzh Sargsyan's behavior.
He did not appear to be shocked, bewildered, panicky, stunned or
otherwise bothered. Moreover, he looked surprisingly indifferent.
Serzh Sargsyan listened to Aliyev's letter as if it concerned
Kyrgyzstan, not Armenia.
Of course, there is a matter of adequacy, which is relative. On the
one hand, Sargsyan's reaction is not adequate, on the other hand, it
is. From the point of view of the state, it is not adequate because
Serzh Sargsyan listed with a "nirvanaish" face to something that
illustrated at what dangerous crossroad Armenia has appeared after
the Customs U-turn of September 3.
>From the point of view of his personal-governmental interest, Serzh
Sargsyan's "nirvana" was adequate because the issue that Aliyev
brought up is a problem for Putin. And Serzh Sargsyan's face said:
"Why would I be bothered? Let Putin think."
Due to Serzh Sargsyan's policy not only Armenia but also Putin
encountered a dramatic issue. For Armenia this problem is not new.
Armenia regularly encounters such problems due to Serzh Sargsyan's
policy or lack of policy, facing the fact of loss of sovereignty.
This is the first time Putin encountered the fact of loss of Armenia's
sovereignty, realizing that by surrender of Armenia to Russia Serzh
Sargsyan has also delegated to Putin his responsibility for Armenia's
problems. And now Putin has to respond to Aliyev and accept his
"condition" on Armenia.
For the time being, the essence of his condition is not quite clear.
Aliyev is speaking about the borders recognized by the United Nations
but it is not clear whether he requires just records or a BCP between
Armenia and Artsakh. Apparently, Aliyev will not achieve a BCP as
this would cause problems for itself. However, he will certainly try
to generate his condition and use it to make Moscow meet its claims,
especially that Nazarbayev is going to help him.
Putin has invaded Armenia and now he has to account for Armenia. What
is there he can do? Either satisfy Azerbaijan in some way to accept
Armenia to the Eurasian Union or not accept Armenia to the Eurasian
Union because it is not realistic to overcome this problem through
resolving the issue of Artsakh. This would cause a number of problems
with the West, Turkey, Iran, and even Azerbaijan.
It is not ruled out that Moscow will eventually draw some conclusions
and ask Serzh Sargsyan to be a little "independent" and resist or
consider replacing him with a viceroy who would resist a little.
- See more at:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32515#sthash.02gKuIQO.dpuf
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
Comments - Friday, 30 May 2014, 18:01
Astana has angered the vibrant society of Armenia. The latest brunt
to the nation's reputation met a backlash but there also seems to be
misunderstanding, particularly of Serzh Sargsyan's behavior.
He did not appear to be shocked, bewildered, panicky, stunned or
otherwise bothered. Moreover, he looked surprisingly indifferent.
Serzh Sargsyan listened to Aliyev's letter as if it concerned
Kyrgyzstan, not Armenia.
Of course, there is a matter of adequacy, which is relative. On the
one hand, Sargsyan's reaction is not adequate, on the other hand, it
is. From the point of view of the state, it is not adequate because
Serzh Sargsyan listed with a "nirvanaish" face to something that
illustrated at what dangerous crossroad Armenia has appeared after
the Customs U-turn of September 3.
>From the point of view of his personal-governmental interest, Serzh
Sargsyan's "nirvana" was adequate because the issue that Aliyev
brought up is a problem for Putin. And Serzh Sargsyan's face said:
"Why would I be bothered? Let Putin think."
Due to Serzh Sargsyan's policy not only Armenia but also Putin
encountered a dramatic issue. For Armenia this problem is not new.
Armenia regularly encounters such problems due to Serzh Sargsyan's
policy or lack of policy, facing the fact of loss of sovereignty.
This is the first time Putin encountered the fact of loss of Armenia's
sovereignty, realizing that by surrender of Armenia to Russia Serzh
Sargsyan has also delegated to Putin his responsibility for Armenia's
problems. And now Putin has to respond to Aliyev and accept his
"condition" on Armenia.
For the time being, the essence of his condition is not quite clear.
Aliyev is speaking about the borders recognized by the United Nations
but it is not clear whether he requires just records or a BCP between
Armenia and Artsakh. Apparently, Aliyev will not achieve a BCP as
this would cause problems for itself. However, he will certainly try
to generate his condition and use it to make Moscow meet its claims,
especially that Nazarbayev is going to help him.
Putin has invaded Armenia and now he has to account for Armenia. What
is there he can do? Either satisfy Azerbaijan in some way to accept
Armenia to the Eurasian Union or not accept Armenia to the Eurasian
Union because it is not realistic to overcome this problem through
resolving the issue of Artsakh. This would cause a number of problems
with the West, Turkey, Iran, and even Azerbaijan.
It is not ruled out that Moscow will eventually draw some conclusions
and ask Serzh Sargsyan to be a little "independent" and resist or
consider replacing him with a viceroy who would resist a little.
- See more at:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32515#sthash.02gKuIQO.dpuf