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Strong Blow At Nakhijevan

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  • Strong Blow At Nakhijevan

    STRONG BLOW AT NAKHIJEVAN

    Haikazn Ghahriyan, Editor-in-Chief
    Comments - 08 October 2014, 23:11

    The RA Minister of Defense Seiran Ohanyan and CSTO Secretary General
    Bordyuzha visited the southwest of the Armenian-Azerbaijani border,
    Armenian military positions, the press release informed.

    This is the first time Bordyuzha visited Armenian positions and is
    going to make a report on the situation at the border. Why does the
    CSTO Secretary General suddenly remember about the Armenian borders
    and what report is he going to make? Note that CSTO has never condemned
    Azerbaijan's aggression against its member state Armenia.

    This time Bordyuzha has visited Armenia, according to the MFA, to
    strengthen mechanisms of cooperation with a view to the security of
    the state borders of CSTO member states. Bordyuzha and Nalbandyan
    also discussed issues of coordination of the foreign policy of CSTO
    member states.

    Recently the Armenian foreign minister Nalbandyan has been lobbying
    for CSTO, which has caused serious disagreement in Armenia. Earlier,
    the armed forces of Armenia have announced for many times that Armenia
    does not need CSTO peacekeepers and is able to maintain peace in the
    area of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict on its own.

    Apparently, after the war in August when the Armenian army proved
    its capacity, Moscow started thinking of other options of stationing
    forces, and the objective of security of state borders of member
    states was announced.

    After Nalbandyan Bordyuzha met with Serzh Sargsyan who announced
    during the meeting that the behavior of CSTO member states does
    not foster peace in the region and pushes Azerbaijan to aggressive
    actions. He actually meant Russia, Kazakhstan and Belarus who are
    arming Azerbaijan and supporting it on international floors.

    In the diplomatic language this means that Armenia cannot trust this
    organization. In fact, this is absurd. CSTO member states support a
    country which attacks another CSTO member state, which is not a CSTO
    member state. In fact, CSTO is a threat for its member state Armenia,
    and the Armenian side has diplomatically declined stationing of CSTO
    peacekeepers to Karabakh.

    In this respect, Bordyuzha's visit to the border of Nakhijevan is
    interesting. By the way, recently Nalbandyan has also visited the
    border with Nakhijevan.

    Aliyev has created a Turkish-Azerbaijani army in Nakhijevan which is
    armed with modern Russian weapons and includes Turkish units. Earlier
    in June the army attacked the Armenian positions but the Armenian army
    occupied new positions taking under control a rather vast territory.

    At that time the Armenian Ministry of Defense informed that Turkish
    soldiers were spotted on the Azerbaijani side.

    Apparently, Bordyuzha was taken there to make sure that Armenia is
    also capable of protecting its borders independently, and there is
    no need for CSTO peacekeepers.

    In fact, Nakhijevan has recently been a topical issue. Under the new
    geopolitical realities when Russia is in isolation, Nakhijevan may
    be a way out for Iran which is normalizing its relations with the West.

    This situation does not favor Russia because the "opening" of Iran
    threatens Russia with serious political and economic consequences,
    and Nakhijevan must be kept closed to prevent it.

    On the other hand, Russia has started speaking about "lifting the
    blockade" of Armenia because Armenia and Russia do not have land
    communication within the Eurasian Union. Return of several territories
    in Karabakh to Azerbaijan in return for lifting the blockade is
    being considered.

    The Armenian side has declined this option. Can the blockade be lifted
    in the direction of Nakhijevan?

    At present, however, amid tough international sanctions and isolation,
    Russia may face the need to depart from the South Caucasus. The
    experience of the Armenian-Russian political relations demonstrates
    that when Russia "leaves", the Armenian factor becomes strong in the
    region. Russia is currently facing political and economic collapse
    which Moscow's official circles are not hiding. In a similar situation
    in the 1990s Armenia got out of the Russian-Turkish claws and returned
    Karabakh. In other words, the classic scheme of Armenian-Russian
    relations repeated.

    What report will Bordyuzha prepare in the result of his visit? The
    problem is that besides Nakhijevan he will also control this region.

    The problem is that the one who opens up Nakhijevan will control it.

    It can be Russia or Armenia. The second is the most probable and
    preferable option.

    http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/33074#sthash.vs63IJ7o.dpuf

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