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  • The varieties of denialism (Turkish denial of Armenian Genocide)

    http://scientiasalon.wordpress.com/2014/10/28/the-varieties-of-denialism/

    The varieties ofdenialism

    By SciSal on October 28, 2014
    by Massimo Pigliucci


    I have just come back from a stimulating conference at Clark University
    about `Manufacturing Denial,' which brought together scholars from wildly
    divergent disciplines - from genocide studies to political science to
    philosophy - to explore the idea that `denialism' may be a sufficiently
    coherent phenomenon underlying the willful disregard of factual evidence by
    ideologically motivated groups or individuals.
    Let me clarify at the outset that we are not talking just about cognitive
    biases here. This isn't a question of the human tendency to pay more
    attention to evidence supporting one's view while attempting to ignore
    contrary evidence. Nor are we talking about our ability as intelligent
    beings to rationalize the discrepancy between what we want to believe and
    what the world is like. All of those and more affect pretty much all human
    beings, and can be accounted for and at the least partially dealt with in
    the course of normal discussions about whatever it is we disagree about.

    Rather, the Oxford defines a denialist as `a person who refuses to admit the
    truth of a concept or proposition that is supported by the majority of
    scientific or historical evidence,' which represents a whole different level
    of cognitive bias or rationalization. Think of it as bias on steroids.

    The conference began exploring the topic of denialism with a delightful
    keynote by Brendan Nyhan [1] who set the tone with a talk on `The Challenge
    of Denial: Why People Refuse to Accept Unwelcome Facts.' This was followed
    by three sessions of three talks each, on Modern Strategies and Rhetoric of
    Denial, Political Uses of Denial, and Countering Denial: How and When?
    Hopefully the video of the conference will be available soon, and since
    contributors were asked to submit a paper to go along with their
    contribution, hopefully we will soon see an collection in print. I was asked
    to be on the final panel of the conference, attempting to bring together the
    several threads I noticed during the main proceedings and offer some general
    reflections. So the rest of this essay will refer only in passing to my
    colleagues' fascinating contributions, and expand instead on the general
    commentary I offered.

    The first two things that became clear during our discussions of denialism
    are particularly disturbing to me as a scientist and philosopher. First, as
    a scientist: it's just not about the facts, indeed - as Brendan showed data
    in hand during his presentation - insisting on facts may have
    counterproductive effects, leading the denialist to double down on his
    belief.

    This, of course, should not be taken to mean that the facts don't matter. If
    I want to push the idea that climate change is real, or that evolution is a
    valid scientific theory, or that the Armenian genocide was indeed a
    genocide, I better get my facts as straight as possible. It's a pure and
    simple question of intellectual integrity. But if I think that simply
    explaining the facts to the other side is going to change their mind, then
    I'm in for a rude awakening.

    That was a lesson I learned many years ago while debating creationists. A
    debate is a fun event, during which your testosterone is pumped into your
    veins, which can rally your troops (helping, say, with a fund raising), and
    which may even grab the attention of fence sitters and others who knew
    little about the subject matter. What it certainly won't do is to convince
    your opponent or any of his committed supporters. Indeed, my best moments as
    a debater (against Institute for Creation Research's Duane Gish, or
    Discovery Institute's Jonathan Wells) came when I was able to show the
    audience that these people were consciously lying to them. Nobody likes to
    be treated as a fool, not even a creationist.

    As a philosopher, I found to be somewhat more disturbing the idea that
    denialism isn't even about critical thinking. Teaching about logical
    fallacies isn't going to do any better than teaching about scientific facts.
    Indeed, the evidence from the literature is overwhelming that denialists
    have learned to use the vocabulary of critical thinking against their
    opponents. To begin with, of course, they think of themselves as `skeptics,'
    thus attempting to appropriate a word with a venerable philosophical
    pedigree and which is supposed to indicate a cautiously rational approach to
    a given problem. As David Hume put it, a wise person (i.e., a proper
    skeptic) will proportion her beliefs to the evidence. But there is nothing
    of the Humean attitude in people who are `skeptical' of evolution, climate
    change, vaccines, and so forth.

    Denialists have even begun to appropriate the technical language of informal
    logic: when told that a majority of climate scientists agree that the planet
    is warming up, they are all too happy to yell `argument from authority!'
    When they are told that they should distrust statements coming from the oil
    industry and from `think tanks' in their pockets they retort `genetic
    fallacy!' And so on. Never mind that informal fallacies are such only
    against certain background information, and that it is eminently sensible
    and rational to trust certain authorities (at the least provisionally), as
    well as to be suspicious of large organizations with deep pockets and an
    obvious degree of self-interest.

    What then? What commonalities can we uncover across instances of denialism
    that may allow us to tackle the problem beyond facts and elementary logic?

    Participants at the conference agreed that what the large variety of
    denialisms have in common is a very strong, overwhelming, ideological
    commitment that helps define the denialist identity in a core manner. This
    commitment can be religious, ethnical or political in nature, but in all
    cases it fundamentally shapes the personal identity of the people involved,
    thus generating a strong emotional attachment, as well as an equally strong
    emotional backlash against critics. Think of Jenny McCarthy's `I don't care
    about science, my son is my science' refrain, or of people who are convinced
    that leftist environmentalists are out to undermine the American style of
    life, or of the Turkish government who equates acknowledgement of the
    Ottoman atrocities against the Armenians as a permanent moral stain on the
    very idea of a Turkish state, or again of the religious fundamentalist who
    equates accepting Darwin's theory with the rejection of the divine, the end
    of morality and the destruction of any meaning in life. That's why facts and
    reason can only do so much (or little) to turn the denialist.

    Another important issue to understand is that denialists exploit the
    inherently tentative nature of scientific or historical findings to seek
    refuge for their doctrines. Even though there is an overwhelming consensus
    about climate change within the relevant community of experts (i.e., climate
    scientists, not meteorologists, medical doctors, or a random assemblage of
    people with PhD's), science is a human epistemic activity, and as such it is
    fallible. Scientists have been wrong before, and doubtlessly will be again
    in the future, many times. But the issue is rather one of where it is most
    rational to place your bets as a Bayesian updater: with the scientific
    community or with Faux News?

    This attitude of course indicates a poor appreciation of the very nature of
    science, both as an empirical and as a theoretical enterprise. I cannot tell
    you how many times I heard the `evolution is just a theory' refrain,
    obviously uttered in all sincerity by otherwise rational people - at the
    least as indicated by how well they can otherwise reason and function in a
    complex society such as our own.

    Is there anything that can be done in this respect? I personally like the
    idea of teaching `science appreciation' classes in high school and college
    [2], as opposed to more traditional (usually rather boring, both as a
    student and as a teacher) science instruction. Unless one is going to major
    in a scientific field, it will do little good to cram a lot of science facts
    into his brain, but exposing him to the beauty as well as inner workings
    (and limits) of the scientific enterprise might.

    Something like that goes also for writing about science for the general
    public, where too often the picture presented is one of speculations
    asserted as facts (think string theory) and where the reader is told about
    the results but not about the messy, fascinating process that led to them.
    Science should be portrayed as a human story of failure and discovery, not
    as a body of barely comprehensible facts arrived at by epistemic priests.

    Denialists also exploit the media's self imposed `balanced' approach to
    presenting facts, which leads to the false impression that there really are
    two approximatelyequal sides to every debate. This is a rather recent
    phenomenon, and it is likely the result of a number of factors affecting the
    media industry. One, of course, is the onset of the 24-hr media cycle, with
    its pernicious reliance on punditry. Another is the increasing blurring of
    the once rather sharp line between reporting and editorializing. Opinions,
    in the editorial page, really ought to be presented in a balanced way by any
    serious news outlet. But facts are not opinions, even if we acknowledge that
    of course facts aren't out there in the world devoid of theoretical and yes,
    even sometimes ideological, contexts.

    Indeed, one could argue that the complex relation between facts and opinions
    is precisely why traditional media have kept the two as separate as
    possible: one gets as much of the factual information as it is humanly
    possible to disentangle from the ideological background by way of good
    reporting; one then turns to (hopefully insightful) op-ed pieces to put the
    reporting into a broader context.

    The problem with the media is of course made far worse by the ongoing crisis
    in contemporary journalism, with newspapers, magazines and even television
    channels constantly facing an uncertain future of revenues, not knowing how
    to adapt to the electronic era of `free' information (in case you still have
    doubts: there is no such thing, ever [3]). An increasingly interesting, and
    problematic, aspect of this issue is represented by the rise of the
    blogosphere (and yes, I know you are reading a webzine edited by someone who
    has published his own blog for more than a decade). Blogs rarely offer
    reporting, because reporting costs a lot of money; and while they do allow
    many more people to be part of ongoing societal conversations, they also
    increase the overall cacophony because there is little if any quality
    control.

    During the conference at Clark there were some aspects of the problem that
    are highly relevant but were not addressed - naturally enough for a one-day
    event limited to a dozen speakers. For instance, during the final summary
    panel, Johanna Volhardt pointed out that psychologists surely have something
    to add to our understanding of denialism. And I submitted that sociologists
    should be at the table as well, especially in the context of the study of
    anti-intellectualism in the US, well understood since the classical work of
    Richard Hofstadter [4], and that clearly applies to the issue of denialism.

    Indeed, Denialism Studies (I'm rather happy to use that term!) is a highly
    interdisciplinary field, arguably one of the most interdisciplinary I can
    think of, including history, political science, law, natural science (from
    physics to biology), psychology, sociology, philosophy (in various forms,
    from political philosophy to ethics to epistemology), to mention just some
    of the principal contributors. And for once, this is an academic discipline
    that first and foremost deals directly with urgent issues that concern us
    all.

    Which brings me to a number of suggestions about what to do in practice. To
    begin with, we need to understand that the fight is a long term one, which
    will be characterized by advances and setbacks, as it has always been
    whenever we want to move society to a better place against inertia,
    contrarianism, and entrenched interests. And yet, we also have a number of
    clear victories, or at the least indubitable advances, to point to and keep
    in mind, so there is a rational basis for hope.

    The first thing to realize is that the push back against denialism, in all
    its varied incarnations, is likely to be more successful if we shift the
    focus from persuading individual members of the public to making political
    and media elites accountable. This is a major result coming out of Brendan's
    research. He showed data set after data set demonstrating two fundamental
    things: first, large sections of the general public do not respond to the
    presentation of even highly compelling facts, indeed - as mentioned above -
    are actually more likely to entrench further into their positions.

    Second, whenever one can put pressure on either politicians or the media,
    they do change their tune, becoming more reasonable and presenting things in
    a truly (as opposed to artificially) balanced way.

    Third, and most crucially, there is plenty of evidence from political
    science studies that the public does quickly rally behind a unified
    political leadership. This, as much as it is hard to fathom now, has
    happened a number of times even in somewhat recent times. Perhaps this
    should hardly be surprising: when leaders really do lead, the people follow.
    It's just that of late the extreme partisan bickering in Washington has made
    the two major parties entirely incapable of working together on the common
    ground that they have demonstrably had in the past. You may remember the
    joint television ad by Nancy Pelosi and Newt Gingrich on climate change:
    that could have been the beginning of a beautifully productive period to
    finally acknowledge and begin addressing the problem.

    Instead, it was a last desperate gasp drowned out by the sort of acrimony
    that - ironically - was started precisely by Gingrich's divisive attitude
    during the famous Republican takeover of Congress in the '90s.

    Another thing we can do about denialism: we should learn from the detailed
    study of successful cases and see what worked and how it can be applied to
    other instances. At the conference we discussed in detail what is perhaps
    the best example of this genre: the complete debacle of the tobacco
    industry, especially after internal memos came out demonstrating that
    industry operators knew very well of the dangers of smoking while they
    officially kept denying them.

    Indeed, the story of the tobacco industry's response to the initial health
    reports that put their business at risk (as early as the 1952 Readers'
    Digest publication of a report critical of the industry, entitled `Cancer by
    the carton') gives us the blueprint for pretty much all denialist reactions.
    As the recent documentary `Merchants of Doubt' [5] clearly shows, tobacco
    companies began to peddle skepticism, asserting in publicity campaign after
    publicity campaign that the science wasn't settled yet, that there may or
    may not be a link between smoking and cancer. Sounds familiar? This is
    precisely the same playbook deployed by the oil industry on climate change,
    or by the Turkish government in order to cast doubt on the Armenian
    genocide.

    And speaking of genocides, there too there are obvious success stories of
    governments who have acknowledged the events and acted constructively in
    order to repair the social fabric. One can point of course to the way
    Germany has handled the Holocaust after World War II, but more recently and
    perhaps interestingly one can also learn much from the actions of the
    Rwandan government. Why the differences between Rwanda and Turkey? What
    worked? What sort of pressures or cultural situations led to the different
    outcomes?
    Yet another thing we can do: seek allies. In the case of evolution denial -
    for which I have the most first-hand experience - it has been increasingly
    obvious to me that it is utterly counterproductive for a strident atheist
    like Dawkins (or even a relatively good humored one like yours truly) to
    engage creationists directly. It is far more effective when we have clergy
    (Barry Lynn of Americans United for the Separation of Church and State [6]
    comes to mind) and religious scientists (e.g., Ken Miller [7]) getting into
    the fray. That's not to suggest that Dawkins or I don't have contributions
    to make to public discourse, of course we do. But it matters very much who
    our audience is, and especially how we address it. (Yes, I'm talking about
    `tone,' among other things. We are educators, so we ought to know that
    nobody ever responds positively to being told that they are idiots or
    ignoramuses.)

    Finally, a note on housekeeping: discussions of denialism, be they about
    evolution, climate change or genocide, involve a delicate balance between
    academic freedom and academic integrity [8], as participant Marc Mamigonian
    pointed out during the Clark proceedings. On the one hand, the academic (and
    not) freedom of speech of denialists ought to be protected. I am adamantly
    against laws, popular in Europe and Canada, that criminalize certain types
    of denialism, like that of the Holocaust. Such laws are clearly poised on a
    slippery slope that may very well end in a fascistic control of speech by
    governments and university administrators (though, ironically, that
    particular danger seems much closer to be realized in the United States at
    moment, despite the more liberal take that American law has on freedom of
    speech).

    On the other hand, however, individuals, organizations, academics and
    academic presses ought to be held accountable for their actions,
    particularly when what they do or say violates the duty toward integrity
    that should be the flip side of the right to speech. There was much
    discussion at the conference, for instance, about a systematic denial of the
    Armenian genocide fostered by a particular editor at the University of Utah
    Press. How are we to deal with such instances of willful public
    mischaracterization of facts? Again, successful precedents lead the way. A
    few years ago a similar controversy engulfed Princeton University Press, and
    it was dealt with by an onslaught of public, well argued and well
    researched, reviews and commentaries that effectively shamed Princeton Press
    into action. Outside of academe, of course, we have the infamous case of the
    CEOs of tobacco companies denying the obvious (under oath) in front of
    Congress. Besides the possible legal action that can be taken in the latter
    type of case, the most effective response at the time was the ridicule that
    was heaped on those gentlemen (I use the word with a significant amount of
    irony) by late night comedians, a ridicule that made abundantly clear to the
    general public that those individuals had gone way beyond plausible
    deniability.

    Make no mistake about it: denialism in its various forms is a pernicious
    social phenomenon, with potentially catastrophic consequences for our
    society. It requires a rallying call for all serious public intellectuals,
    academic or not, who have the expertise and the stamina to join the fray to
    make this an even marginally better world for us all. It's most definitely
    worth the fight.
    _____
    Massimo Pigliucci is a biologist and philosopher at the City University of
    New York. His main interests are in the philosophy of science and
    pseudoscience. He is the editor-in-chief of Scientia Salon, and his latest
    book (co-edited with Maarten Boudry) is Philosophy of Pseudoscience:
    Reconsidering the Demarcation Problem (Chicago Press).

    [1] Brendan has been a guest on my Rationally Speaking podcast.
    [2] See: Science is not afrog, by Steven Paul Leiva, Scientia Salon, 25
    August 2014.
    [3] Information doesn't want to be free, by Massimo Pigliucci, Rationally
    Speaking, 22 February 2013.
    [4] Anti-Intellectualism in American Life, by Richard Hofstadter, Vintage,
    1966.
    [5] Merchants of Doubt, directed by Robert Kenner, 2014.
    [6] Barry Lynn.
    [7] Ken Miller.
    [8] See: Stifling discourse, on yourLeft, by Massimo Pigliucci, Scientia
    Salon, 28 July 2014.


    From: Baghdasarian
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