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Turkey Isn't Asleep: Russia Fragmentation Plan
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - 04 September 2014, 08:01
Turkey is scrutinizing developments in Ukraine and trying to develop
its policy which is not fully identified yet.
Turkey has appeared between several positions: Russia, U.S., Germany,
NATO and EU. This is an overly complicated situation even for such a
big country as Turkey. In addition, no less dangerous processes are
unfolding in the Near East. Turkey is trying to identify its goals
relating to Ukraine and Russia in several dimensions.
In late August and early September a conference with a strange agenda
was organized in one of the beautiful towns of South Ukraine. A big
group of experts from Turkey, as well as Azerbaijan, Tataria,
Chuvashia, Gagauzia, Crimea and many other republics and communities
of the Volga basis and North Caucasus were attending the forum.
Such conferences are usually organized in a hangout mode, with rich
exterior and interior design and catering. This time there was a
business atmosphere, purposeful and specific questions. The matters
discussed concerned several problems, all of them geopolitical.
Turkish experts announced that the notion of "ethnopolitical
conflicts" is a merely adherent characteristic and in reality there is
geopolitical confrontation and tough antagonism. Furthermore, this
thesis became the key focus of consideration of the prospective
political work of groups of experts and politicians of these republics
and communities in Ukraine and Russia.
The following objectives were considered using the methods of
comparison, juxtaposition and complex analysis: the U.S. and NATO
policy on the Black Sea region; Crimean-Tatar problem in terms of
geopolitical antagonism; expectations relating to Russia's
fragmentation, emergence of independent or more or less sovereign
states in its territory.
I have attended a lot of forums organized by pan-Turkism groups but I
have never seen such sincere statements and specificity, appropriate
looks and proficiency in languages of peoples living in Eastern
Europe.
Of interest are statements by experts of the Volga basin and the North
Caucasus. For example, it was stated that the ongoing developments in
Ukraine and NATO-Russia antagonism have resulted in a favorable
atmosphere for the secession of several ethnic political formations
from the Russian Federation, primarily Tataria and Chuvashia.
The representational delegation of Crimean Tatars was from Crimea,
presenting claims to Turkey for its passiveness towards the issue of
this region.
The representatives of Azerbaijan tried to raise the Karabakh issue
but the leadership of the conference rudely interrupted them and
reminded that the topic of the forum was different.
Two Armenians attending the conference did not represent Armenia or
Armenian organizations but other countries. On the whole, the
impression was that Turks would like to sell up their possibilities in
Eastern Europe to Americans or Europeans.
At the same time, the purpose was to warn Russia about Turkey's
potential in the Russian territory. In other words, the West was
obviously the consumer of this action.
At the same time, the day before the closing of this long and
meaningful conference it became known that the municipality of the
town where it was held was highly concerned about what was happening,
and Ukraine's Security Service openly demonstrated interest in it.
Furthermore, neither local nor any other mass media were able to
access the hotel where the conference was held, and the participants
who left the hotel refused interviews and contacts in general.
However, all this would have been understood were there not for one
circumstance. A thorough plan of fragmentation of Russia and return of
Crimea under Ukraine's control was presented during the conference. It
was not a recommendation developed in the result of research but a
thorough program.
But the most interesting thing happened after the conference. Some
Ukrainian experts of Kiev cooperating with local political and
analytical centers of the West turned out to be aware of this action.
They had been invited to the conference but refused to attend.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32931#sthash.jnDRJeVn.dpuf
From: A. Papazian
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - 04 September 2014, 08:01
Turkey is scrutinizing developments in Ukraine and trying to develop
its policy which is not fully identified yet.
Turkey has appeared between several positions: Russia, U.S., Germany,
NATO and EU. This is an overly complicated situation even for such a
big country as Turkey. In addition, no less dangerous processes are
unfolding in the Near East. Turkey is trying to identify its goals
relating to Ukraine and Russia in several dimensions.
In late August and early September a conference with a strange agenda
was organized in one of the beautiful towns of South Ukraine. A big
group of experts from Turkey, as well as Azerbaijan, Tataria,
Chuvashia, Gagauzia, Crimea and many other republics and communities
of the Volga basis and North Caucasus were attending the forum.
Such conferences are usually organized in a hangout mode, with rich
exterior and interior design and catering. This time there was a
business atmosphere, purposeful and specific questions. The matters
discussed concerned several problems, all of them geopolitical.
Turkish experts announced that the notion of "ethnopolitical
conflicts" is a merely adherent characteristic and in reality there is
geopolitical confrontation and tough antagonism. Furthermore, this
thesis became the key focus of consideration of the prospective
political work of groups of experts and politicians of these republics
and communities in Ukraine and Russia.
The following objectives were considered using the methods of
comparison, juxtaposition and complex analysis: the U.S. and NATO
policy on the Black Sea region; Crimean-Tatar problem in terms of
geopolitical antagonism; expectations relating to Russia's
fragmentation, emergence of independent or more or less sovereign
states in its territory.
I have attended a lot of forums organized by pan-Turkism groups but I
have never seen such sincere statements and specificity, appropriate
looks and proficiency in languages of peoples living in Eastern
Europe.
Of interest are statements by experts of the Volga basin and the North
Caucasus. For example, it was stated that the ongoing developments in
Ukraine and NATO-Russia antagonism have resulted in a favorable
atmosphere for the secession of several ethnic political formations
from the Russian Federation, primarily Tataria and Chuvashia.
The representational delegation of Crimean Tatars was from Crimea,
presenting claims to Turkey for its passiveness towards the issue of
this region.
The representatives of Azerbaijan tried to raise the Karabakh issue
but the leadership of the conference rudely interrupted them and
reminded that the topic of the forum was different.
Two Armenians attending the conference did not represent Armenia or
Armenian organizations but other countries. On the whole, the
impression was that Turks would like to sell up their possibilities in
Eastern Europe to Americans or Europeans.
At the same time, the purpose was to warn Russia about Turkey's
potential in the Russian territory. In other words, the West was
obviously the consumer of this action.
At the same time, the day before the closing of this long and
meaningful conference it became known that the municipality of the
town where it was held was highly concerned about what was happening,
and Ukraine's Security Service openly demonstrated interest in it.
Furthermore, neither local nor any other mass media were able to
access the hotel where the conference was held, and the participants
who left the hotel refused interviews and contacts in general.
However, all this would have been understood were there not for one
circumstance. A thorough plan of fragmentation of Russia and return of
Crimea under Ukraine's control was presented during the conference. It
was not a recommendation developed in the result of research but a
thorough program.
But the most interesting thing happened after the conference. Some
Ukrainian experts of Kiev cooperating with local political and
analytical centers of the West turned out to be aware of this action.
They had been invited to the conference but refused to attend.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32931#sthash.jnDRJeVn.dpuf
From: A. Papazian