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Ilham Aliyev faces declining oil revenues and is interested in tensi

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  • Ilham Aliyev faces declining oil revenues and is interested in tensi

    The Economist: Ilham Aliyev faces declining oil revenues and is
    interested in tensions on line of contact

    16:58 05/09/2014 >> IN THE WORLD


    Conflict in Nagorno Karabakh - contested region between Armenia and
    Azerbaijan has recently been exacerbating, writes British the
    Economist. Though the current conflict started in 1988, its roots go
    back to the beginning of the previous century. Ethnic Armenians
    constitute the majority of the region's population.

    The article notes that the conflict between the two countries began
    during the breakup of the Soviet Union. Despite the 1994 ceasefire
    brokered by Russia the region remains a hot spot where tensions are
    increasing periodically, targeting civilians.

    Heavy Azeri losses at the start of August provoked bellicose rhetoric
    from the president, Ilham Aliyev. "The war is not over," he declared.
    "Only the first stage of it is," quotes the article.

    After the meeting between Presidents of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia
    in Sochi at the beginning of August, tensions have cooled.

    According to Thomas de Waal, current tensions partly have to do with
    some external circumstances. The situation in Ukraine diverts the
    attention of the international community, at the same time in
    Azerbaijan a discontent grows towards the Minsk Group's ineffective
    process, while tensions between Russia and West further complicate the
    cooperation with the Minsk Group. We have also witnessed worrying
    incidents, even in Nakhichevan, where until recently there was a
    peaceful situation, has noted the expert.

    According to De Waal, the party interested in fuelling tensions is
    Azerbaijan since the losing side as a rule tends to exacerbate the
    situation.

    "Major challenges Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev will confront in
    his third term are declining oil revenues, a poor track record on
    human rights and the possibility of renewed conflict over
    Nagorno-Karabakh," says the article by Sabine Freizer, senior fellow
    with the Dinu Patriciu Eurasia Center and the Program on Transatlantic
    Relations.


    Source: Panorama.am

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