Tweet
RECOGNITION OF ARTSAKH AND INDEPENDENCE OF NAKHIJEVAN
Naira Hayrumyan, Political Commentator
Comments - 17 September 2014, 00:09
This week the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs will visit the area of the
Karabakh conflict and afterwards the foreign ministers of Armenia and
Azerbaijan will meet at the U.N. General Assembly, the Azerbaijani
foreign minister Elmar Mammedyarov announced.
The U.S. co-chair James Warlick has already arrived in Armenia
and made some statements on the necessity to change the format of
negotiations. He said the sides must define the format.
Most probably, it is time to announce to eliminate the OSCE Minsk
Group, and now each of the co-chairs is trying to take the lead of
the Karabakh settlement in their own way. Russia, for example, tried
to station troops in Karabakh and draw its borders anew. The United
States is doing it through recognition of Karabakh by its states.
After Moscow's failure to station troops it may also want to recognize
the independence of Karabakh not to cede leadership to the United
States or France. For example, the famous Russian expert Modest
Kolerov has announced that it is getting almost inevitable.
"Russia may face the necessity of unilateral recognition of
independence of Nagorno-Karabakh, which even Armenia has not done for
reasons that are well known. The Armenian people have had to pay a
high price for their country for many times during their history. And
this example is obvious. No deal will relieve anyone of anything,"
Kolerov wrote.
In fact, the famous Russian expert is speaking about the existence
of such plans. Furthermore, speaking about recognition, he adds that
soon "Nakhijevan will appear in the area of achievement of virtual
independence, self-sufficient Iran, being steadily provoked by
Azerbaijan, will appear in the state of defense readiness".
Different schemes are being drawn in the region, and after October 10,
if Armenia joins the Eurasian Union, the Russian scheme will win.
Moscow will have to recognize Karabakh but in order not to upset
Azerbaijan and not to abort deals worth billions, NKR will be
recognized within the borders of the Autonomous District of
Nagorno-Karabakh, and the rest will be shared with Baku.
Five U.S. states have recognized Karabakh within its current borders.
Unlike Russia, the United States is not afraid of upsetting
Azerbaijan. And in order to have this scheme win, Armenia must have
the courage to refuse programs that fragment Karabakh.
Russia does not refuse the Minsk Group-mediated talks but obviously
the United States will provoke Moscow to take this step. And it can
"provoke" through Armenia only if they persuade that the offered plan
is favorable and give guarantees in case of Russia's fury.
An interesting line is noticed in Modest Kolerov's speech. He is
speaking about the independence of Nakhijevan which is now being used
as an indefeasible part of transformation of the region. Perhaps,
it is not accidental that the Armenian foreign minister Nalbandyan
suddenly visited Vayots Dzor and looked at Nakhijevan from the
Armenian border. He is considering something ahead of the meeting in
the United States
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32987#sthash.ZBSDnLFM.dpuf
Naira Hayrumyan, Political Commentator
Comments - 17 September 2014, 00:09
This week the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs will visit the area of the
Karabakh conflict and afterwards the foreign ministers of Armenia and
Azerbaijan will meet at the U.N. General Assembly, the Azerbaijani
foreign minister Elmar Mammedyarov announced.
The U.S. co-chair James Warlick has already arrived in Armenia
and made some statements on the necessity to change the format of
negotiations. He said the sides must define the format.
Most probably, it is time to announce to eliminate the OSCE Minsk
Group, and now each of the co-chairs is trying to take the lead of
the Karabakh settlement in their own way. Russia, for example, tried
to station troops in Karabakh and draw its borders anew. The United
States is doing it through recognition of Karabakh by its states.
After Moscow's failure to station troops it may also want to recognize
the independence of Karabakh not to cede leadership to the United
States or France. For example, the famous Russian expert Modest
Kolerov has announced that it is getting almost inevitable.
"Russia may face the necessity of unilateral recognition of
independence of Nagorno-Karabakh, which even Armenia has not done for
reasons that are well known. The Armenian people have had to pay a
high price for their country for many times during their history. And
this example is obvious. No deal will relieve anyone of anything,"
Kolerov wrote.
In fact, the famous Russian expert is speaking about the existence
of such plans. Furthermore, speaking about recognition, he adds that
soon "Nakhijevan will appear in the area of achievement of virtual
independence, self-sufficient Iran, being steadily provoked by
Azerbaijan, will appear in the state of defense readiness".
Different schemes are being drawn in the region, and after October 10,
if Armenia joins the Eurasian Union, the Russian scheme will win.
Moscow will have to recognize Karabakh but in order not to upset
Azerbaijan and not to abort deals worth billions, NKR will be
recognized within the borders of the Autonomous District of
Nagorno-Karabakh, and the rest will be shared with Baku.
Five U.S. states have recognized Karabakh within its current borders.
Unlike Russia, the United States is not afraid of upsetting
Azerbaijan. And in order to have this scheme win, Armenia must have
the courage to refuse programs that fragment Karabakh.
Russia does not refuse the Minsk Group-mediated talks but obviously
the United States will provoke Moscow to take this step. And it can
"provoke" through Armenia only if they persuade that the offered plan
is favorable and give guarantees in case of Russia's fury.
An interesting line is noticed in Modest Kolerov's speech. He is
speaking about the independence of Nakhijevan which is now being used
as an indefeasible part of transformation of the region. Perhaps,
it is not accidental that the Armenian foreign minister Nalbandyan
suddenly visited Vayots Dzor and looked at Nakhijevan from the
Armenian border. He is considering something ahead of the meeting in
the United States
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32987#sthash.ZBSDnLFM.dpuf