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  • Scottish Referendum: Vote In Scotland Over Independence To Set New P

    SCOTTISH REFERENDUM: VOTE IN SCOTLAND OVER INDEPENDENCE TO SET NEW PRECEDENT FOR SELF-DETERMINATION

    Karabakh | 17.09.14 | 11:02

    By Naira Hayrumyan
    ArmeniaNow correspondent

    The September 18 referendum on independence in Scotland is being
    watched closely far beyond the country as its very fact and outcome
    may have a significant influence on many regional affairs in a world
    dotted with movements for self-determination.

    Nagorno-Karabakh is just one of the world areas where people have
    long advocated the right to self-determination, seeking a formal
    recognition of their status as an independent country. After holding a
    referendum of its own back in 1991, Nagorno-Karabakh had to fight for
    more than two years to win its de-facto sovereignty from Azerbaijani
    in the battlefield. But more than two decades after establishing its
    life as an independent entity the country has to assert its rights
    as such on the international arena.

    For some the Scottish referendum on independence will become another
    milestone for peoples around the world, including for the people
    of Nagorno-Karabakh, to assert their right to self-determination
    internationally. Others, however, cite the peculiarities of the vote
    in Scotland and argue that it cannot be regarded as an event that
    could have a significant impact on conflicts over self-determination
    rights in the rest of the world.

    The outcome of the referendum in Scotland is hardly predictable
    as opinion polls show the number of supporters and opponents of
    independence almost split in halves. But either way the United Kingdom
    will win - if Scotland votes to remain part of the Kingdom, it will
    mean that Great Britain will preserve its territorial integrity by
    the will of the Scots, if Scotland votes for secession, then the
    UK will get the image of the world's most democratic country where
    everything is decided by the will of the people.

    But many observers say that the referendum in Scotland in any case
    could become the detonator of some global processes. In November,
    Catalonia, a province in Spain, is going to hold a referendum on
    independence against the wishes of the central government in Madrid.

    Experts estimate that there are more than 10 regions in Europe
    where people may also wish to decide their future status through
    referendums. Scotland may become a precedent of a peaceful secession
    of a country, and it will also have its influence on the Karabakh
    conflict settlement.

    Karabakh's 1991 referendum was not recognized by Baku and the
    international community. Now mediators brokering a solution to the
    protracted conflict suggest holding a new referendum as part of the
    settlement deal. However, in Karabakh and Armenia they believe the
    results of the already held plebiscite should be recognized instead.

    They say unlike in Scotland there was and still is consensus in
    Karabakh regarding its self-determination.

    The referendum in Scotland will be watched closely also from Russia,
    which has a dispute with Ukraine over Crimea, a Ukrainian peninsula
    that held an unrecognized referendum in March to join Russia. Thus,
    the precedent in Scotland may give the Russian authorities a powerful
    argument in favor of the international recognition of the results of
    the referendum, and not only in Crimea.

    There is also a similar dispute in eastern Ukraine on parts of which
    pro-Russian separatists have proclaimed so-called people's republics
    or Novorossia (New Russia). The referendums that were held in Ukraine's
    Donetsk and Luhansk regions has not yet been recognized even by Russia,
    but if deemed appropriate, they may be remembered as the paramount
    will of the people.

    In this sense, the referendum in Scotland will become a historic
    precedent - it is one of the few peaceful processes of secessionism.

    And although there is also a history of Scottish separatism, the
    central government in London would not resort to pressure methods,
    which may turn it into a role model. After the peaceful referendum in
    Scotland, Madrid will lose the moral right to use force in Catalonia
    or not to accept the outcome of the referendum.

    A peaceful referendum will allow the UK and Scotland, in the case
    of the latter's secession, to maintain normal communication and
    avoid confrontation. In many other cases, referendums would end in
    conflicts, severing of ties and in the case with Karabakh in full
    ethnic segregation. Azerbaijan refuses to issue entry visas even to
    people with Armenian surnames.

    Scotland is often called a penultimate splinter of the British Empire
    (Northern Ireland is still deemed as the ultimate one). However,
    international analysts also talk about the construction of an empire
    of a new type by Britain today - a system empire with common energy
    and financial systems where the entities are not separate countries,
    but corporations. In this sense, territorial integrity has only a
    secondary meaning.

    Russia, meanwhile, adheres to the old imperial philosophy - gathering
    lands. It is important for Moscow to have as many areas as possible
    as territory controlled by it and it is contrary to the philosophy
    of the new world order. The new philosophy will once lead to the very
    notion of territorial integrity becoming conventional. And it is then,
    perhaps, that territorial disputes will be finally resolved.

    http://armenianow.com/karabakh/56883/armenia_scotland_independence_referendum_karabakh



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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