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Stepanakert Explained Reason Of Clampdown

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  • Stepanakert Explained Reason Of Clampdown

    STEPANAKERT EXPLAINED REASON OF CLAMPDOWN

    Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
    Comments - 04 February 2015, 20:15

    The Artsakh Deputy Prime Minister Arthur Aghabekyan commented on
    the January 31 incident and the preceding developments. There are
    interesting nuances between the lines of his comments which help
    figure out the picture and motives of the NKR government's clampdown
    on the car march of the Founding Parliament.

    After the incident the society is trying to understand the reason of
    such cruel and tough, disproportionate and obviously demonstrative
    use of force of the government of Artsakh.

    What Arthur Aghabekyan conveys between the lines helps shed a light
    on the possible reason or reasons.

    Aghabekyan has announced that the Artsakh president, chief of police,
    deputy prime minister, prosecutor general, head of the National
    Security Service, the minister and deputy minister of defense who is
    also the head of the Union of Veterans have done everything they could
    to have the march cancelled, explaining it by a sensitive situation
    for Artakh, challenges at the border etc.

    In fact, the deputy prime minister of Artsakh points to the involvement
    of the entire elite. It is difficult to imagine that there was a need
    to involve the entire elite in the so-called negotiations to prevent
    the car march. This indicates that the problem was given a broader
    importance, more exactly, in the context of the government of Artsakh.

    Evidence to this is the December meeting of President Bako Sahakyan
    and all the listed officials with Zhirair Sefilyan and two others to
    dissuade them from organizing the march to Artsakh.

    Arthur Aghabekyan says the atmosphere seemed good, and they seemed
    to have reached an agreement but they were surprised when the new
    day of the march was announced after January. Aghabekyan says they
    again set to prevent the march.

    During January there were other developments. The most important
    of them was the announcement of several members of the ARF Artsakh
    Committee to leave the party and share the ideas and programs of the
    Founding Parliament. When this fact is juxtaposed with the upcoming
    parliamentary election in Artsakh, which is a key event ahead of the
    end of Bako Sahakyan's presidency, the reason of involvement of the
    entire elite of the government of Artsakh in the prevention of the
    march becomes clear.

    Most probably, the march and the statement of the ARF Artsakh
    committee have caused concerns in the elite in terms of control
    over the process of forming government, which led to a decision to
    use force after a futile "negotiation" process. The key issue was
    the issue of government, not stability in Artsakh because the march
    itself did not and could not threaten this stability.

    The possible participation in forming government was seen as a threat,
    especially in the context of political statements heard in Artsakh
    prior to the march.

    In fact, not the march was prevented but, as the clampdown decision
    makers think, influence on the process of forming government was
    prevented. The problem is not how substantial their concerns or fears
    were. The problem is that there was fear, and this fear led to the
    decision on clampdown because force is the first and last haven of
    the ruling system in Armenia and Artsakh to keep power, and all the
    rest is intermediate.

    The problem is more urgent to the elite in Artsakh because Bako
    Sahakyan is a leaving president. Perhaps this is the reason why the
    prevention of the car march became a primary issue for Artsakh, in
    other words, all the participants of the government viewed it through
    the prism of their personal security and risks to their offices,
    viewing force as the most reliable guarantee by far.

    "Zhiro, I can't let that action happen," Arthur Aghabekyan quotes
    Baku Sahakyan's words of his December meeting.

    Bako Sahakyan is a leaving president, and he has commitments to the
    ruling elite which he must implement in full. He is leaving while
    the others must stay, therefore their requirements to Sahakyan are
    intensifying, and at their core is the guarantee of the closed joint
    stock nature of government.

    In addition, it is not ruled out that the demonstration of force is
    the message of Artsakh to all the possible Yerevan-based subjects who
    have aspirations to power in Artsakh, official Yerevan as well. It
    is a message that in the process of forming government in Artsakh,
    in case of any scenario, it will be necessary to take into account
    everyone who has been involved in the prevention of the march.

    In addition, it should be noted that the problem is not the
    justification of concerns of the government of Artsakh, especially with
    regard to a specific subject, but the general moods and disposition
    ahead of an important stage of forming government.

    http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/33587#sthash.giB4qS4j.dpuf

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